Projected Income Statement: Kesko Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kesko Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,310 1,907 2,104 2,560 2,908 3,359 3,403 3,409
Change - -17.45% 10.33% 21.67% 13.59% 15.5% 1.31% 0.18%
Announcement Date 03/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 30/01/24 05/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kesko Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 398.4 276.6 449.2 678.9 675.9 473.8 413.5 394.5
Change - -30.57% 62.4% 51.14% -0.44% -29.91% -12.72% -4.59%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 754 875.4 466 370.6 332.3 336.3 588.7 648.3
Change - 16.1% -46.77% -20.47% -10.33% 1.21% 75.02% 10.14%
Announcement Date 03/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 30/01/24 05/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kesko Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.91% 10.98% 10.86% 10.46% 10.09% 9.93% 10.27% 10.56%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.32% 6.74% 6.77% 6.04% 5.45% 5.28% 5.48% 5.76%
EBT Margin (%) 4.95% 6.2% 6.32% 5.21% 3.96% 4.26% 4.58% 4.89%
Net margin (%) 4.06% 4.97% 5.07% 4.21% 3.18% 3.44% 3.68% 3.97%
FCF margin (%) 7.07% 7.61% 3.87% 3.14% 2.79% 2.7% 4.52% 4.81%
FCF / Net Income (%) 173.97% 153.1% 76.41% 74.78% 87.65% 78.46% 122.76% 121.15%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.4% 8.4% 8.45% 6.51% 4.67% - - -
ROE 17.8% 24.1% 23.2% 18.5% 13.8% 15.52% 16.74% 17.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.19x 1.51x 1.61x 2.08x 2.42x 2.71x 2.55x 2.4x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.06x 2.18x 4.52x 6.91x 8.75x 9.99x 5.78x 5.26x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.73% 2.41% 3.73% 5.76% 5.67% 3.8% 3.18% 2.93%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 37.69% 21.91% 34.35% 55.08% 56.19% 38.28% 30.94% 27.73%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.84% 31.6% 96.39% 183.19% 203.4% 140.86% 70.24% 60.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.91 2.902 2.303 2.64 2.53 2.127 2.58 2.395
Change - -0.29% -20.62% 14.63% -4.17% -15.94% 21.32% -7.17%
Dividend per Share 1 0.75 1.06 1.08 1.02 1.02 0.92 1.006 1.094
Change - 41.33% 1.89% -5.56% 0% -9.8% 9.35% 8.75%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.52 8.52 6.899 6.93 6.84 6.999 7.274 7.576
Change - 54.35% -19.02% 0.44% -1.3% 2.32% 3.94% 4.15%
EPS 1 1.09 1.44 1.53 1.25 0.95 1.068 1.202 1.338
Change - 32.11% 6.25% -18.3% -24% 12.42% 12.55% 11.31%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 396,739 397,115 397,457 397,770 397,956 398,119 398,119 398,119
Announcement Date 03/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 30/01/24 05/02/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 17.1x 15.2x
PBR 2.61x 2.51x
EV / Sales 0.86x 0.82x
Yield 5.04% 5.51%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
18.25EUR
Average target price
19.88EUR
Spread / Average Target
+8.90%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise