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After hours 18:33:33 | |||
| 77.55 EUR | +0.71% |
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77.90 | +0.45% |
| 02-06 | Berenberg Revises Kerry Group Price Target, Estimates as Consumer Headwinds Expected to Persist | MT |
| 02-05 | Berenberg cuts Fresnillo; Citi cuts Babcock | AN |
Projected Income Statement: Kerry Group plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 6,953 | 7,351 | 8,772 | 8,020 | 7,981 | 6,857 | 6,991 | 7,320 |
| Change | - | 5.71% | 19.34% | -8.57% | -0.49% | -14.08% | 1.95% | 4.71% |
| EBITDA 1 | 997.9 | 1,077 | 1,216 | 1,165 | 1,251 | 1,227 | 1,289 | 1,387 |
| Change | - | 7.93% | 12.92% | -4.19% | 7.36% | -1.92% | 5.05% | 7.62% |
| EBIT 1 | 727.1 | 794.7 | 911.8 | 866 | 928.2 | 934.1 | 989.3 | 1,074 |
| Change | - | 9.3% | 14.74% | -5.02% | 7.18% | 0.64% | 5.91% | 8.57% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -72.4 | -69.9 | -66.2 | -50.3 | -53.9 | -56.93 | -57.27 | -54.9 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 635.3 | 816.3 | 699 | 822.6 | 841.8 | 846.7 | 904.1 | 989.4 |
| Change | - | 28.49% | -14.37% | 17.68% | 2.33% | 0.59% | 6.77% | 9.44% |
| Net income 1 | 554.1 | 763 | 606.4 | 728.3 | 734.4 | 716.8 | 759.4 | 835.1 |
| Change | - | 37.7% | -20.52% | 20.1% | 0.84% | -2.4% | 5.95% | 9.97% |
| Announcement Date | 16/02/21 | 16/02/22 | 16/02/23 | 15/02/24 | 18/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Kerry Group plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,946 | 2,124 | 2,217 | 1,604 | 1,926 | 1,903 | 1,618 | 1,380 |
| Change | - | 9.15% | 4.38% | -27.65% | 20.07% | -1.18% | -14.98% | -14.71% |
| Announcement Date | 16/02/21 | 16/02/22 | 16/02/23 | 15/02/24 | 18/02/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Kerry Group plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 268.5 | 296.4 | 182.9 | 281.9 | 305.8 | 306.6 | 314 | 326.4 |
| Change | - | 10.39% | -38.29% | 54.13% | 8.48% | 0.25% | 2.42% | 3.94% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 403.7 | 357.6 | 640.4 | 755.9 | 682.9 | 643.8 | 701.4 | 746.4 |
| Change | - | -11.42% | 79.08% | 18.04% | -9.66% | -5.73% | 8.96% | 6.41% |
| Announcement Date | 16/02/21 | 16/02/22 | 16/02/23 | 15/02/24 | 18/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Kerry Group plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 14.35% | 14.65% | 13.86% | 14.53% | 15.67% | 17.89% | 18.44% | 18.95% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 10.46% | 10.81% | 10.39% | 10.8% | 11.63% | 13.62% | 14.15% | 14.67% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 9.14% | 11.11% | 7.97% | 10.26% | 10.55% | 12.35% | 12.93% | 13.52% |
| Net margin (%) | 7.97% | 10.38% | 6.91% | 9.08% | 9.2% | 10.45% | 10.86% | 11.41% |
| FCF margin (%) | 5.81% | 4.86% | 7.3% | 9.42% | 8.56% | 9.39% | 10.03% | 10.2% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 72.86% | 46.87% | 105.61% | 103.79% | 92.99% | 89.81% | 92.36% | 89.38% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 6.45% | 7.32% | 6.6% | 6.08% | 5.58% | 6.04% | 6.56% | 7.02% |
| ROE | 13.26% | 14.88% | 13.22% | 11.98% | 10.35% | 11.75% | 11.97% | 12.2% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.95x | 1.97x | 1.82x | 1.38x | 1.54x | 1.55x | 1.26x | 0.99x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4.82x | 5.94x | 3.46x | 2.12x | 2.82x | 2.96x | 2.31x | 1.85x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 3.86% | 4.03% | 2.09% | 3.51% | 3.83% | 4.47% | 4.49% | 4.46% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 26.91% | 27.52% | 15.04% | 24.2% | 24.45% | 24.99% | 24.36% | 23.53% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 66.51% | 82.89% | 28.56% | 37.29% | 44.78% | 47.62% | 44.76% | 43.73% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 3.791 | 3.685 | 4.062 | 5.84 | 5.705 | 7.255 | 7.816 | 8.292 |
| Change | - | -2.82% | 10.24% | 43.78% | -2.31% | 27.17% | 7.74% | 6.09% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.865 | 0.952 | 1.048 | 1.154 | 1.271 | 1.372 | 1.493 | 1.642 |
| Change | - | 10.06% | 10.08% | 10.11% | 10.14% | 7.94% | 8.86% | 9.95% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 26.3 | 31.68 | 35.15 | 37.1 | 38.98 | 39.44 | 42.54 | 45.61 |
| Change | - | 20.45% | 10.96% | 5.53% | 5.07% | 1.19% | 7.86% | 7.21% |
| EPS 1 | 3.125 | 4.296 | 3.413 | 4.097 | 4.238 | 4.316 | 4.648 | 5.198 |
| Change | - | 37.47% | -20.55% | 20.04% | 3.44% | 1.85% | 7.68% | 11.84% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 176,700 | 176,845 | 176,985 | 175,788 | 169,284 | 160,677 | 160,677 | 160,677 |
| Announcement Date | 16/02/21 | 16/02/22 | 16/02/23 | 15/02/24 | 18/02/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 17.8x | 16.6x |
| PBR | 1.95x | 1.81x |
| EV / Sales | 2.08x | 2x |
| Yield | 1.78% | 1.94% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Global
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Kerry Group plc
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