Projected Income Statement: Kao Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -208,332 -140,412 -153,183 -226,654 -80,140 -188,550 -224,555 -270,844
Change - 32.6% -9.1% -47.96% 64.64% -135.28% -19.1% -20.61%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 87,766 94,567 93,178 93,530 101,136 89,163 90,300 91,117
Change - 7.75% -1.47% 0.38% 8.13% -11.84% 1.28% 0.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 108,292 - 109,303 108,055 98,544 129,404 140,602 155,005
Change - - - -1.14% -8.8% 31.32% 8.65% 10.24%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.27% 12.88% 9.76% 14.43% 14.8% 15.63% 15.86% 16.26%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.12% 7.1% 3.92% 9.01% 9.72% 10.61% 10.96% 11.5%
EBT Margin (%) 10.57% 7.47% 4.17% 9.27% 10.06% 10.9% 11.23% 11.75%
Net margin (%) 7.73% 5.55% 2.86% 6.62% 7.11% 7.67% 7.89% 8.23%
FCF margin (%) 7.63% - 7.13% 6.64% 5.84% 7.16% 7.5% 8%
FCF / Net Income (%) 98.77% - 249.15% 100.27% 82.06% 93.42% 95.07% 97.14%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.9% 6.75% 3.65% 8.3% 6.42% 7.22% 7.58% 7.86%
ROE 11.6% 8.9% 4.5% 10.5% 11.3% 12.84% 13.14% 13.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.19% 6.1% 6.08% 5.74% 5.99% 4.94% 4.82% 4.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.02% 47.33% 62.27% 39.79% 40.47% 31.58% 30.38% 28.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 81.05% - 85.25% 86.56% 102.63% 68.9% 64.22% 58.78%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 207.1 187.2 143.6 211.1 223.2 248.5 262.2 287.6
Change - -9.62% -23.32% 47.07% 5.71% 11.32% 5.53% 9.67%
Dividend per Share 1 72 74 75 76 77 78.12 79.5 81
Change - 2.78% 1.35% 1.33% 1.32% 1.46% 1.76% 1.89%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,018 1,046 1,058 1,148 1,176 1,251 1,311 1,397
Change - 2.68% 1.19% 8.54% 2.43% 6.32% 4.81% 6.61%
EPS 1 115.3 91.64 47.18 116 130.2 154.8 166.4 180.6
Change - -20.52% -48.51% 145.78% 12.23% 18.93% 7.49% 8.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 947,760 929,661 929,726 928,972 904,635 904,758 904,758 904,758
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.5x 20.9x
PBR 2.78x 2.65x
EV / Sales 1.64x 1.56x
Yield 2.25% 2.29%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
3,478.00JPY
Average target price
4,038.46JPY
Spread / Average Target
+16.11%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 4452 Stock
  4. Financials Kao Corporation
-40%: Exceptional extension
d
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