Projected Income Statement: Holcim Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: Holcim Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,977 6,032 7,896 8,448 3,785 5,054 4,146 3,172
Change - -39.54% 30.9% 6.99% -55.2% 33.53% -17.97% -23.49%
Announcement Date 25/02/22 24/02/23 28/02/24 28/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Holcim Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,532 1,549 1,505 1,650 1,061 1,111 1,258 1,273
Change - 1.11% -2.84% 9.63% -35.7% 4.67% 13.32% 1.12%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,513 3,013 3,705 3,801 1,727 1,951 2,603 2,714
Change - -14.23% 22.97% 2.59% -54.56% 12.97% 33.44% 4.26%
Announcement Date 25/02/22 24/02/23 28/02/24 28/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Holcim Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.83% 23.68% 24.94% 25.28% 25.39% 25.45% 26.34% 26.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.19% 16.28% 17.62% 19.12% 18.29% 18.55% 19.43% 20.23%
EBT Margin (%) 13.58% 15.61% 15.45% 15.23% 5.94% 16.42% 17.59% 18.92%
Net margin (%) 8.56% 11.33% 11.33% 11.08% 83.81% 12.14% 12.89% 13.8%
FCF margin (%) 13.09% 10.32% 13.72% 14.39% 10.98% 11.89% 14.52% 14.4%
FCF / Net Income (%) 152.87% 91.08% 121.08% 129.9% 13.1% 97.93% 112.69% 104.36%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.06% 5.63% 5.55% 5.47% 4.05% 6% 6.51% 6.83%
ROE 8.55% 11.74% 11.19% 10.99% 8.08% 12.58% 14.68% 13.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.44x 0.87x 1.17x 1.27x 0.95x 1.21x 0.88x 0.63x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.84x 2x 2.13x 2.22x 2.19x 2.59x 1.59x 1.17x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.71% 5.31% 5.57% 6.25% 6.75% 6.77% 7.02% 6.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.1% 22.41% 22.34% 24.71% 26.58% 26.6% 26.65% 25.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 43.61% 51.41% 40.62% 43.41% 61.44% 56.92% 48.34% 46.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.243 7.575 9.609 10.12 5.032 5.446 6.695 7.397
Change - -8.11% 26.85% 5.31% -50.28% 8.23% 22.92% 10.49%
Dividend per Share 1 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 1.7 1.842 2.04 2.288
Change - 13.64% 12% 10.71% -45.16% 8.38% 10.7% 12.15%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.53 48.72 45.67 48.64 27.75 29.87 32.09 34.4
Change - 6.99% -6.26% 6.51% -42.94% 7.61% 7.45% 7.21%
EPS 1 3.73 5.46 5.35 5.22 23.79 3.568 4.153 4.698
Change - 46.38% -2.01% -2.43% 355.75% -85% 16.39% 13.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 611,712 608,010 579,125 561,823 538,766 553,125 553,125 553,125
Announcement Date 25/02/22 24/02/23 28/02/24 28/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 21.4x 18.4x
PBR 2.55x 2.38x
EV / Sales 2.88x 2.58x
Yield 2.42% 2.67%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
76.26CHF
Average target price
78.93CHF
Spread / Average Target
+3.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise