Projected Income Statement: H World Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: H World Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,817 7,106 -4,585 -6,581 -4,570 -7,310 -10,066 -12,862
Change - 47.52% -164.52% -43.53% 30.56% -59.96% -37.7% -27.78%
Announcement Date 23/03/22 27/03/23 20/03/24 20/03/25 18/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: H World Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,675 1,053 901 898 838 939.8 926.5 930.1
Change - -37.13% -14.43% -0.33% -6.68% 12.14% -1.41% 0.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -333 444 6,773 6,620 7,541 6,478 8,457 9,461
Change - 233.33% 1,425.45% -2.26% 13.91% -14.1% 30.55% 11.88%
Announcement Date 23/03/22 27/03/23 20/03/24 20/03/25 18/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: H World Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.29% 4.4% 31.41% 28.55% 33.48% 34.79% 36.62% 37.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 1.28% -2.12% 21.54% 21.77% 26.95% 29.52% 31.69% 32.78%
EBT Margin (%) -3.19% -11.59% 24.44% 20.11% 28.85% 29.02% 31.48% 32.9%
Net margin (%) -3.64% -13.14% 18.67% 12.76% 20.07% 20.11% 21.86% 23.03%
FCF margin (%) -2.6% 3.2% 30.95% 27.71% 29.8% 24.02% 29.56% 31.05%
FCF / Net Income (%) 71.61% -24.38% 165.8% 217.19% 148.44% 119.4% 135.26% 134.8%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.4% -2.2% 6.59% 4.83% 7.76% 8.3% 8.85% 9.52%
ROE -2.34% -13.98% 39.48% 24.86% 40.67% 42.25% 41.45% 39.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.07x 11.65x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -14.47x 16x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.1% 7.6% 4.12% 3.76% 3.31% 3.48% 3.24% 3.05%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 106.62% 172.62% 13.11% 13.17% 9.89% 10.01% 8.85% 8.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -503% 237.16% 13.3% 13.56% 11.11% 14.51% 10.96% 9.83%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.309 2.08 22.9 22.93 25.8 24.59 28.07 30.26
Change - -51.73% 1,000.69% 0.15% 12.51% -4.7% 14.17% 7.81%
Dividend per Share 1 1.378 1.454 6.695 11.6 14.5 13.6 14.22 15.18
Change - 5.54% 360.45% 73.2% 25.06% -6.23% 4.58% 6.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 35.11 29.82 38.12 39.09 - 45.44 58.03 70.69
Change - -15.08% 27.85% 2.54% - - 27.71% 21.83%
EPS 1 -1.49 -5.85 12.55 9.64 15.97 17.22 20.52 23.06
Change - -292.62% 314.53% -23.19% 65.66% 7.83% 19.14% 12.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 322,500 323,446 318,774 305,375 307,668 307,524 307,524 307,524
Announcement Date 23/03/22 27/03/23 20/03/24 20/03/25 18/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 17.7x 14.9x
PBR 6.71x 5.25x
EV / Sales 3.2x 2.93x
Yield 4.46% 4.67%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
304.83CNY
Average target price
406.14CNY
Spread / Average Target
+33.23%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. HTHT Stock
  4. Financials H World Group Limited