Projected Income Statement: Great Portland Estates Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Great Portland Estates Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 522 590 527 718 816 917 939 986
Change - 13.03% -10.68% 36.24% 13.65% 12.45% 2.4% 5.01%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 19/05/22 24/05/23 24/05/24 21/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Great Portland Estates Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 61.2 120.9 120.6 128.4 147.3 165 216.6 125.5
Change - 97.55% -0.25% 6.47% 14.72% 12.02% 31.29% -42.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -44.6 -114.2 -122.3 -7.7 -4.6 -39 -20 -14
Change - -156.05% -7.09% 93.7% 40.26% -747.83% 48.72% 30%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 19/05/22 24/05/23 24/05/24 21/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Great Portland Estates Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 52.17% 35.87% 23.57% 22.33% 22.51% 39.58% 46.41% 47.56%
EBIT Margin (%) 49.6% 17.34% 21.71% 20.65% 20.7% 35.61% 41.08% 48.07%
EBT Margin (%) -325.28% 197.98% -179.82% -322.64% 125.05% 145.85% 146.26% 135.71%
Net margin (%) -325.12% 198.57% -179.71% -322.64% 123.14% 140.42% 156.01% 125.45%
FCF margin (%) -71.82% -135.63% -134.1% -8.07% -4.88% -37.18% -15.9% -9.19%
FCF / Net Income (%) 22.09% -68.3% 74.62% 2.5% -3.97% -26.48% -10.19% -7.33%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.51% 1.03% 0.91% 0.72% 0.73% 1.02% 1.29% -
ROE 1.92% 1.34% 1.19% 1.02% 1.13% 1.52% 1.98% 2.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 16.11x 19.53x 24.52x 33.69x 38.47x 22.09x 16.08x 13.62x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.71x -5.16x -4.31x -93.18x -177.28x -23.51x -46.95x -70.46x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 98.55% 143.59% 132.24% 134.59% 156.37% 157.31% 172.18% 82.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 188.89% 400.33% 560.93% 602.82% 694.81% 397.5% 371.01% 173.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -137.22% -105.87% -98.61% -1,667.53% -3,202.17% -423.08% -1,083.13% -896.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0656 0.0265 -0.0067 -0.03 -0.0104 0.0824 0.1032 0.1102
Change - -59.65% -125.31% -347.76% 65.33% 892.12% 25.26% 6.79%
Dividend per Share 1 0.126 0.126 0.126 0.126 0.079 0.079 0.0856 0.0963
Change - 0% 0% 0% -37.3% 0.04% 8.38% 12.41%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.793 8.352 9.906 6.257 4.961 5.224 5.634 6.025
Change - 7.17% 18.62% -36.83% -20.72% 5.31% 7.84% 6.96%
EPS 1 -0.798 0.66 -0.648 -1.217 0.301 0.3574 0.4735 0.4606
Change - 182.71% -198.18% -87.81% 124.73% 18.72% 32.5% -2.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 252,991 252,991 252,842 252,981 404,795 403,410 403,410 403,410
Announcement Date 19/05/21 19/05/22 24/05/23 24/05/24 21/05/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 8.29x 6.26x
PBR 0.57x 0.53x
EV / Sales 20.1x 17x
Yield 2.67% 2.89%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
2.964GBP
Average target price
3.767GBP
Spread / Average Target
+27.09%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GPE Stock
  4. Financials Great Portland Estates Plc