Projected Income Statement: Great Portland Estates Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Great Portland Estates Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 522 590 527 718 816 926 1,017 1,107
Change - 13.03% -10.68% 36.24% 13.65% 13.55% 9.83% 8.85%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 19/05/22 24/05/23 24/05/24 21/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Great Portland Estates Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 61.2 120.9 120.6 128.4 147.3 147 178.6 107.4
Change - 97.55% -0.25% 6.47% 14.72% -0.2% 21.46% -39.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -44.6 -114.2 -122.3 -7.7 -4.6 -33.6 -16.3 -2.8
Change - -156.05% -7.09% 93.7% 40.26% -630.43% 51.49% 82.82%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 19/05/22 24/05/23 24/05/24 21/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Great Portland Estates Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 52.17% 35.87% 23.57% 22.33% 22.51% 37.78% 43.48% 44.2%
EBIT Margin (%) 49.6% 17.34% 21.71% 20.65% 20.7% 36.86% 44.79% 57.72%
EBT Margin (%) -325.28% 197.98% -179.82% -322.64% 125.05% 154.67% 148.57% 117.91%
Net margin (%) -325.12% 198.57% -179.71% -322.64% 123.14% 158.18% 144.94% 101.67%
FCF margin (%) -71.82% -135.63% -134.1% -8.07% -4.88% -30.99% -12.46% -1.78%
FCF / Net Income (%) 22.09% -68.3% 74.62% 2.5% -3.97% -19.59% -8.6% -1.75%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.51% 1.03% 0.91% 0.72% 0.73% 1.02% 1.33% -
ROE 1.92% 1.34% 1.19% 1.02% 1.13% 1.48% 1.98% 2.23%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 16.11x 19.53x 24.52x 33.69x 38.47x 22.61x 17.88x 15.94x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.71x -5.16x -4.31x -93.18x -177.28x -27.56x -62.4x -395.53x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 98.55% 143.59% 132.24% 134.59% 156.37% 135.58% 136.49% 68.32%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 188.89% 400.33% 560.93% 602.82% 694.81% 358.85% 313.89% 154.58%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -137.22% -105.87% -98.61% -1,667.53% -3,202.17% -437.5% -1,095.41% -3,835.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0656 0.0265 -0.0067 -0.03 -0.0104 0.0887 0.1213 0.1326
Change - -59.65% -125.31% -347.76% 65.33% 952.69% 36.82% 9.29%
Dividend per Share 1 0.126 0.126 0.126 0.126 0.079 0.0804 0.0854 0.0943
Change - 0% 0% 0% -37.3% 1.75% 6.31% 10.36%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.793 8.352 9.906 6.257 4.961 5.377 5.816 6.321
Change - 7.17% 18.62% -36.83% -20.72% 8.39% 8.17% 8.68%
EPS 1 -0.798 0.66 -0.648 -1.217 0.301 0.397 0.4951 0.453
Change - 182.71% -198.18% -87.81% 124.73% 31.9% 24.7% -8.51%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 252,991 252,991 252,842 252,981 404,795 403,295 403,295 403,295
Announcement Date 19/05/21 19/05/22 24/05/23 24/05/24 21/05/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 8.55x 6.86x
PBR 0.63x 0.58x
EV / Sales 21.2x 18.2x
Yield 2.37% 2.52%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
3.395GBP
Average target price
3.821GBP
Spread / Average Target
+12.54%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GPOR Stock
  4. Financials Great Portland Estates Plc