Projected Income Statement: Garda Property Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Garda Property Group

Forecast Balance Sheet - Garda Property Group
Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 239 - 200 245 143 136 189 186
Change - - - 22.5% -41.63% -4.96% 38.97% -1.59%
Announcement Date 01/08/22 27/07/23 31/07/24 29/07/25 30/07/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Garda Property Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 8.279 2.191 3.817 37.4 3.41 14.2 - -
Change - -73.54% 74.21% 879.8% -90.88% 316.42% -100% -
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 17.94 11.84 6.552 - -74.79 10.7 32.1 32
Change - -34.03% -44.64% - - 114.31% 200% -0.31%
Announcement Date 01/08/22 27/07/23 31/07/24 29/07/25 30/07/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Garda Property Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 92.66% 65.17% 75.04% 84.72% 122.68% 134.67% 123.3% 122.32%
EBIT Margin (%) 92.06% 64.69% 74.53% 84.15% 121.99% 134.18% 123.1% 121.93%
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - 131.48% 126.64%
Net margin (%) 523.33% -15.64% -162.99% -24.59% 117% 35.96% 129.85% 125.07%
FCF margin (%) 66.82% 37.51% 24.88% - -367.17% 52% 130.67% 125.46%
FCF / Net Income (%) 12.77% -239.89% -15.26% - -313.81% 144.59% 100.63% 100.31%

Profitability

        
ROA - - 1.79% 2.2% - - - -
ROE - - 2.88% 3.86% 7.31% 8.3% 10.7% 10.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 9.61x - 10.11x 11.66x 5.73x 4.91x 6.22x 5.95x
Debt / Free cash flow 13.33x - 30.49x - -1.91x 12.72x 5.87x 5.8x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 30.83% 6.94% 14.49% 150.49% 16.74% 69% - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.27% 10.65% 19.31% 177.63% 13.65% 51.24% - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 46.14% 18.51% 58.26% - -4.56% 132.71% - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0803 0.0529 0.0296 -0.026 -0.3281 0.1078 0.1192 0.1244
Change - -34.08% -44.09% -187.84% -1,161.92% 132.87% 10.56% 4.34%
Dividend per Share 1 0.072 0.072 0.063 0.072 0.085 0.225 0.125 0.126
Change - 0% -12.5% 14.29% 18.06% 164.71% -44.44% 0.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - 1.663 1.607 1.516 1.522 1.585 1.653
Change - - - -3.37% -5.61% 0.34% 4.19% 4.26%
EPS 1 0.629 -0.0237 -0.2084 -0.0305 0.1096 0.037 0.159 0.159
Change - -103.77% -779.32% 85.36% 459.34% -66.24% 329.73% 0%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 208,581 208,390 199,517 200,515 200,685 200,685 200,685 200,685
Announcement Date 01/08/22 27/07/23 31/07/24 29/07/25 30/07/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 30.9x 7.2x
PBR 0.75x 0.72x
EV / Sales 17.8x 17x
Yield 19.7% 10.9%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Garda Property Group


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Garda Property Group
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Garda Property Group
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Garda Property Group
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
1.145AUD
Average target price
1.355AUD
Spread / Average Target
+18.34%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - Garda Property Group
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  4. Financials Garda Property Group