Projected Income Statement: Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,964 2,357 1,555 1,400 1,207 2,479 2,248 1,942
Change - -20.48% -34.03% -9.97% -13.79% 105.39% -9.32% -13.61%
Announcement Date 22/02/21 21/02/22 13/02/23 12/02/24 17/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 649 525 1,266 859 832 1,072 993.6 934
Change - -19.11% 141.14% -32.15% -3.14% 28.83% -7.3% -6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 239 397 1,805 1,517 1,335 1,241 1,491 1,391
Change - 66.11% 354.66% -15.96% -12% -7.01% 20.1% -6.69%
Announcement Date 22/02/21 21/02/22 13/02/23 12/02/24 17/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.79% 14.41% 14.34% 17.21% 15.47% 15.44% 15.09% 16.3%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.75% 8.51% 8.74% 11.94% 11.21% 11.7% 10.72% 11.72%
EBT Margin (%) -2.18% 5.23% 12.09% 12.51% 10.98% 11.08% 10.44% 11.72%
Net margin (%) -4.84% 0.02% 5.5% 6.01% 4.88% 5.56% 4.88% 5.09%
FCF margin (%) 2.1% 2.46% 6.73% 7.34% 6.26% 6.33% 7.47% 7.01%
FCF / Net Income (%) -43.38% 9,925% 122.37% 122.14% 128.37% 113.85% 153.04% 137.84%

Profitability

        
ROA - 3.32% 5.67% 6.14% 6.22% 6.77% 6.11% 6.58%
ROE -14.54% 14.71% 24.43% 23.38% 22.86% 22.25% 19.33% 18.77%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.89x 1.02x 0.4x 0.39x 0.37x 0.82x 0.75x 0.6x
Debt / Free cash flow 12.4x 5.94x 0.86x 0.92x 0.9x 2x 1.51x 1.4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.7% 3.26% 4.72% 4.15% 3.9% 5.46% 4.98% 4.71%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 41.34% 22.61% 32.89% 24.14% 25.24% 35.39% 33% 28.87%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 271.55% 132.24% 70.14% 56.62% 62.32% 86.34% 66.64% 67.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.064 1.269 3.768 3.301 3.321 2.087 2.898 2.774
Change - 19.3% 196.97% -12.41% 0.6% -37.15% 38.83% -4.26%
Dividend per Share 1 0.35 0.5 0.52 0.54 0.62 0.6386 0.6641 0.6906
Change - 42.86% 4% 3.85% 14.81% 3.01% 3.98% 4%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.811 3.677 5.106 5.703 6.23 6.561 6.997 7.463
Change - -3.51% 38.86% 11.69% 9.24% 5.32% 6.64% 6.67%
EPS 1 -0.665 0.005 1.81 1.56 1.36 1.459 1.347 1.416
Change - 100.75% 36,100% -13.81% -12.82% 7.29% -7.7% 5.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 829,251 829,251 829,251 815,112 695,416 695,416 695,416 695,416
Announcement Date 22/02/21 21/02/22 13/02/23 12/02/24 17/02/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12.1x 13.1x
PBR 2.7x 2.53x
EV / Sales 0.75x 0.73x
Yield 3.61% 3.75%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
17.68EUR
Average target price
17.52EUR
Spread / Average Target
-0.96%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GALP Stock
  4. Financials Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A.