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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 2,566.00 GBX | +4.44% |
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-1.12% | -23.04% |
| 05:36pm | Adnoc, Partners to Proceed With $6.2 Billion Umm -2- | DJ |
| 05:04pm | FTSE 100 ends up as Healey pledges fiscal control | AN |
Projected Income Statement: Fresnillo plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,703 | 2,433 | 2,705 | 3,496 | 4,561 | 6,287 | 6,396 | 6,212 |
| Change | - | -9.99% | 11.18% | 29.25% | 30.45% | 37.85% | 1.73% | -2.88% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,206 | 751.1 | 655.7 | 1,547 | 2,796 | 4,228 | 4,338 | 4,204 |
| Change | - | -37.74% | -12.7% | 135.98% | 80.71% | 51.2% | 2.6% | -3.07% |
| EBIT 1 | 666.7 | 283.6 | 142.5 | 945.8 | 2,292 | 3,812 | 3,936 | 3,748 |
| Change | - | -57.47% | -49.75% | 563.76% | 142.38% | 66.27% | 3.27% | -4.79% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -52.88 | -55.16 | -38.22 | -26.64 | 24.01 | -27 | -23 | -27 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 611.5 | 248.6 | 114 | 743.9 | 2,082 | 3,875 | 3,959 | 4,036 |
| Change | - | -59.35% | -54.13% | 552.44% | 179.87% | 86.12% | 2.16% | 1.96% |
| Net income 1 | 421.2 | 271.9 | 233.9 | 140.9 | 1,384 | 2,197 | 2,187 | 2,183 |
| Change | - | -35.45% | -13.97% | -39.75% | 882.12% | 58.77% | -0.47% | -0.18% |
| Announcement Date | 08/03/22 | 07/03/23 | 05/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 03/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Fresnillo plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -66.9 | - | 304 | -458 | -1,917 | -2,118 | -2,904 | -3,749 |
| Change | - | - | - | -250.66% | -318.56% | -10.51% | -37.11% | -29.1% |
| Announcement Date | 08/03/22 | 07/03/23 | 05/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 03/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Fresnillo plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 586 | 590.8 | 481.8 | 370.5 | 400.1 | 893.4 | 544.8 | 560.3 |
| Change | - | 0.81% | -18.44% | -23.09% | 7.99% | 123.27% | -39.02% | 2.84% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 303.1 | -89.94 | -55.9 | 929.3 | 1,890 | 1,426 | 1,806 | 2,092 |
| Change | - | -129.68% | 37.86% | 1,762.51% | 103.34% | -24.51% | 26.61% | 15.84% |
| Announcement Date | 08/03/22 | 07/03/23 | 05/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 03/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Fresnillo plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 44.63% | 30.87% | 24.24% | 44.25% | 61.3% | 67.24% | 67.82% | 67.68% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 24.67% | 11.66% | 5.27% | 27.05% | 50.26% | 60.62% | 61.55% | 60.34% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 22.62% | 10.22% | 4.21% | 21.28% | 45.65% | 61.63% | 61.89% | 64.98% |
| Net margin (%) | 15.58% | 11.18% | 8.65% | 4.03% | 30.34% | 34.95% | 34.19% | 35.15% |
| FCF margin (%) | 11.21% | -3.7% | -2.07% | 26.58% | 41.43% | 22.69% | 28.24% | 33.68% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 71.96% | -33.08% | -23.9% | 659.42% | 136.53% | 64.91% | 82.57% | 95.83% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 7.36% | 4.66% | 4.02% | 4.62% | 21.03% | 30.54% | 25.28% | 23.68% |
| ROE | 11.87% | 7.45% | 6.27% | 7.01% | 32.61% | 42.45% | 38.36% | 31.72% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | 0.46x | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | -5.45x | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 21.68% | 24.28% | 17.81% | 10.6% | 8.77% | 14.21% | 8.52% | 9.02% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 48.58% | 78.65% | 73.48% | 23.95% | 14.31% | 21.13% | 12.56% | 13.33% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 193.35% | -656.82% | -862% | 39.87% | 21.18% | 62.63% | 30.17% | 26.78% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.215 | 0.6815 | 0.578 | 1.764 | 3.107 | 3.256 | 3.459 | 3.741 |
| Change | - | -43.9% | -15.19% | 205.17% | 76.16% | 4.79% | 6.24% | 8.16% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.339 | 0.167 | 0.056 | 0.325 | - | 1.771 | 1.686 | 1.831 |
| Change | - | -50.74% | -66.47% | 480.36% | - | - | -4.81% | 8.6% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 4.91 | 5.002 | 5.119 | 5.273 | 6.287 | 7.779 | 8.904 | 9.835 |
| Change | - | 1.87% | 2.34% | 3.01% | 19.24% | 23.73% | 14.46% | 10.46% |
| EPS 1 | 0.572 | 0.369 | 0.317 | 0.191 | 1.878 | 3.146 | 3.149 | 3.122 |
| Change | - | -35.49% | -14.09% | -39.75% | 883.25% | 67.53% | 0.1% | -0.87% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 736,894 | 736,894 | 736,894 | 736,894 | 736,894 | 736,894 | 736,894 | 736,894 |
| Announcement Date | 08/03/22 | 07/03/23 | 05/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 03/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.5x | 10.5x |
| PBR | 4.24x | 3.7x |
| EV / Sales | 3.53x | 3.34x |
| Yield | 5.37% | 5.11% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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ESG MSCI
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Fresnillo plc
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