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Market Closed -
London S.E.
16:35:15 13/11/2026 GMT
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 235.60 GBX | -0.67% |
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+1.38% | +23.61% |
| 11-03 | Jefferies raises Centrica; Davy cuts Vistry | AN |
| 11-03 | Jefferies raises Centrica; Davy cuts Vistry | AN |
Projected Income Statement: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,592 | 4,755 | 4,715 | 5,066 | 4,752 | 4,224 | 2,105 | 2,181 |
| Change | - | 3.55% | -0.84% | 7.45% | -6.21% | -11.1% | -50.17% | 3.62% |
| EBITDA 1 | 731.2 | 762.4 | 748.6 | 780.4 | 700.8 | 623 | 327.2 | 339.2 |
| Change | - | 4.27% | -1.81% | 4.25% | -10.2% | -11.1% | -47.48% | 3.64% |
| EBIT 1 | 106.1 | 161 | 204.3 | 222.8 | 219.4 | 197 | 156.1 | 173.4 |
| Change | - | 51.74% | 26.89% | 9.06% | -1.53% | -10.21% | -20.77% | 11.12% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -152 | -56.8 | -82 | -57.7 | -62.7 | -40.5 | -24.5 | -17 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -17.7 | 97.1 | -18.8 | 164.9 | 156.7 | 157 | 126 | 140 |
| Change | - | 648.59% | -119.36% | 977.13% | -4.97% | 0.19% | -19.75% | 11.11% |
| Net income 1 | 636.4 | 87.1 | -15.9 | 127.5 | 118.3 | 144 | 101.5 | 114.5 |
| Change | - | -86.31% | -118.25% | 901.89% | -7.22% | 21.72% | -29.51% | 12.81% |
| Announcement Date | 14/06/22 | 08/06/23 | 11/06/24 | 10/06/25 | 18/06/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 619 | 1,269 | 1,145 | 975 | 725 | 459 | 349 | 282 |
| Change | - | 105.01% | -9.77% | -14.85% | -25.64% | -36.72% | -23.97% | -19.2% |
| Announcement Date | 14/06/22 | 08/06/23 | 11/06/24 | 10/06/25 | 18/06/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 251.6 | 177.9 | 216.9 | 150.7 | 241.8 | 142 | 93 | 100 |
| Change | - | -29.29% | 21.92% | -30.52% | 60.45% | -41.27% | -34.51% | 7.53% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -186.2 | 395.9 | 326.4 | 603.5 | 373.8 | 123.4 | 150.1 | 122.5 |
| Change | - | 312.62% | -17.55% | 84.9% | -38.06% | -66.99% | 21.62% | -18.37% |
| Announcement Date | 14/06/22 | 08/06/23 | 11/06/24 | 10/06/25 | 18/06/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 15.92% | 16.03% | 15.88% | 15.4% | 14.75% | 14.75% | 15.54% | 15.55% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 2.31% | 3.39% | 4.33% | 4.4% | 4.62% | 4.66% | 7.41% | 7.95% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -0.39% | 2.04% | -0.4% | 3.25% | 3.3% | 3.72% | 5.99% | 6.42% |
| Net margin (%) | 13.86% | 1.83% | -0.34% | 2.52% | 2.49% | 3.41% | 4.82% | 5.25% |
| FCF margin (%) | -4.05% | 8.33% | 6.92% | 11.91% | 7.87% | 2.92% | 7.13% | 5.62% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -29.26% | 454.54% | -2,052.83% | 473.33% | 315.98% | 85.69% | 147.86% | 106.99% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | - | 1.91% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 1.61% | 9.74% | 16.12% | 17.41% | 16.01% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.85x | 1.66x | 1.53x | 1.25x | 1.03x | 0.74x | 1.07x | 0.83x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -3.32x | 3.21x | 3.51x | 1.62x | 1.94x | 3.72x | 2.33x | 2.3x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 5.48% | 3.74% | 4.6% | 2.97% | 5.09% | 3.36% | 4.42% | 4.58% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 34.41% | 23.33% | 28.97% | 19.31% | 34.5% | 22.79% | 28.42% | 29.49% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -135.12% | 44.94% | 66.45% | 24.97% | 64.69% | 115.08% | 61.97% | 81.63% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.06 | 0.7515 | 0.8196 | 1.211 | 1.071 | 0.465 | 0.489 | 0.5023 |
| Change | - | 1,152.57% | 9.06% | 47.78% | -11.61% | -56.57% | 5.16% | 2.72% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.011 | 0.038 | 0.055 | 0.065 | 0.072 | 0.0738 | 0.0756 | 0.0785 |
| Change | - | 245.45% | 44.74% | 18.18% | 10.77% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.84% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 0.829 | 1.046 | 1.013 | 1.232 | 1.308 | 1.47 | 1.645 | 1.81 |
| Change | - | 26.15% | -3.13% | 21.6% | 6.23% | 12.34% | 11.9% | 10.03% |
| EPS 1 | 0.602 | 0.114 | -0.024 | 0.205 | 0.206 | 0.2 | 0.202 | 0.243 |
| Change | - | -81.06% | -121.05% | 954.17% | 0.49% | -2.91% | 1% | 20.3% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 734,762 | 710,477 | 627,001 | 570,558 | 543,129 | 521,409 | 521,409 | 521,409 |
| Announcement Date | 14/06/22 | 08/06/23 | 11/06/24 | 10/06/25 | 18/06/26 | - | - | - |
| 2027 * | 2028 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.8x | 11.7x |
| PBR | 1.6x | 1.43x |
| EV / Sales | 0.4x | 0.75x |
| Yield | 3.13% | 3.21% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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