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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 182.00 GBX | -0.82% |
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-1.73% | -4.35% |
| 12-18 | Firstgroup announces acquisition of Leeds-based coach operator J&B Travel Limited | RE |
| 12-15 | RBC Lifts FirstGroup PT, Keeps Outperform Rating | MT |
Projected Income Statement: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 6,845 | 4,592 | 4,755 | 4,715 | 5,066 | 4,451 | 3,851 | 2,181 |
| Change | - | -32.92% | 3.55% | -0.84% | 7.45% | -12.15% | -13.47% | -43.37% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,170 | 731.2 | 762.4 | 748.6 | 780.4 | 726.7 | 631.2 | 334.7 |
| Change | - | -37.48% | 4.27% | -1.81% | 4.25% | -6.89% | -13.14% | -46.96% |
| EBIT 1 | 209.4 | 106.1 | 161 | 204.3 | 222.8 | 215.5 | 202.6 | 183.2 |
| Change | - | -49.33% | 51.74% | 26.89% | 9.06% | -3.28% | -5.99% | -9.57% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -172 | -152 | -56.8 | -82 | -57.7 | -59.67 | -35.67 | -24 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 115.8 | -17.7 | 97.1 | -18.8 | 164.9 | 157.4 | 181.8 | 154.1 |
| Change | - | -115.28% | 648.59% | -119.36% | 977.13% | -4.52% | 15.47% | -15.24% |
| Net income 1 | 78.4 | 636.4 | 87.1 | -15.9 | 127.5 | 113.5 | 122.8 | 115.5 |
| Change | - | 711.73% | -86.31% | -118.25% | 901.89% | -11.01% | 8.2% | -5.89% |
| Announcement Date | 27/07/21 | 14/06/22 | 08/06/23 | 11/06/24 | 10/06/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,626 | 619 | 1,269 | 1,145 | 975 | 709 | 340 | 267 |
| Change | - | -76.43% | 105.01% | -9.77% | -14.85% | -27.27% | -52.05% | -21.47% |
| Announcement Date | 27/07/21 | 14/06/22 | 08/06/23 | 11/06/24 | 10/06/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 270.6 | 251.6 | 177.9 | 216.9 | 150.7 | 162.2 | 114.2 | 103.2 |
| Change | - | -7.02% | -29.29% | 21.92% | -30.52% | 7.63% | -29.59% | -9.63% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 933.8 | -186.2 | 395.9 | 326.4 | 603.5 | 54.26 | 88 | 105.8 |
| Change | - | -119.94% | 312.62% | -17.55% | 84.9% | -91.01% | 62.19% | 20.26% |
| Announcement Date | 27/07/21 | 14/06/22 | 08/06/23 | 11/06/24 | 10/06/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 17.09% | 15.92% | 16.03% | 15.88% | 15.4% | 16.33% | 16.39% | 15.35% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 3.06% | 2.31% | 3.39% | 4.33% | 4.4% | 4.84% | 5.26% | 8.4% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 1.69% | -0.39% | 2.04% | -0.4% | 3.25% | 3.54% | 4.72% | 7.07% |
| Net margin (%) | 1.15% | 13.86% | 1.83% | -0.34% | 2.52% | 2.55% | 3.19% | 5.3% |
| FCF margin (%) | 13.64% | -4.05% | 8.33% | 6.92% | 11.91% | 1.22% | 2.29% | 4.85% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 1,191.07% | -29.26% | 454.54% | -2,052.83% | 473.33% | 47.82% | 71.68% | 91.61% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | - | - | 1.91% | - | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 2.44% | 1.61% | 9.74% | 16.12% | 17.41% | 14.9% | 15% | 13.6% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.25x | 0.85x | 1.66x | 1.53x | 1.25x | 0.98x | 0.54x | 0.8x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 2.81x | -3.32x | 3.21x | 3.51x | 1.62x | 13.06x | 3.86x | 2.52x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 3.95% | 5.48% | 3.74% | 4.6% | 2.97% | 3.64% | 2.97% | 4.73% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 23.14% | 34.41% | 23.33% | 28.97% | 19.31% | 22.32% | 18.09% | 30.83% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 28.98% | -135.12% | 44.94% | 66.45% | 24.97% | 298.93% | 129.77% | 97.51% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.978 | 0.06 | 0.7515 | 0.8196 | 1.211 | 0.3426 | 0.2078 | 0.3758 |
| Change | - | -93.87% | 1,152.57% | 9.06% | 47.78% | -71.71% | -39.35% | 80.82% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 0.011 | 0.038 | 0.055 | 0.065 | 0.07 | 0.0714 | 0.072 |
| Change | - | - | 245.45% | 44.74% | 18.18% | 7.62% | 2.07% | 0.84% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 0.9787 | 0.829 | 1.046 | 1.013 | 1.232 | 1.305 | 1.485 | 1.655 |
| Change | - | -15.3% | 26.15% | -3.13% | 21.6% | 5.94% | 13.79% | 11.45% |
| EPS 1 | 0.064 | 0.602 | 0.114 | -0.024 | 0.205 | 0.1937 | 0.213 | 0.2067 |
| Change | - | 840.62% | -81.06% | -121.05% | 954.17% | -5.53% | 9.98% | -2.97% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,215,944 | 734,762 | 710,097 | 627,001 | 570,558 | 543,800 | 543,800 | 543,800 |
| Announcement Date | 27/07/21 | 14/06/22 | 08/06/23 | 11/06/24 | 10/06/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 9.47x | 8.62x |
| PBR | 1.41x | 1.24x |
| EV / Sales | 0.38x | 0.35x |
| Yield | 3.81% | 3.89% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Capital Efficiency (Composite), Quality of Financial Reporting (Composite), and Financial Health (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 2 of these 3 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Annual profits - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- FGP Stock
- Financials FirstGroup plc
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