Financials Estee Lauder

Equities

EL

US5184391044

Personal Products

Market Closed - Nyse Other stock markets 21:10:00 18/06/2025 BST			After hours 22:31:43
74.72 ^USD	-0.09%		75.52	+1.08%

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Projected Income Statement: Estee Lauder

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net sales ¹	14,294	16,229	17,741	15,937	15,609	14,291	14,597	15,236
Change	-	13.54%	9.32%	-10.17%	-2.06%	-8.45%	2.14%	4.38%
EBITDA ¹	2,709	3,723	4,227	2,567	2,413	1,923	2,213	2,547
Change	-	37.43%	13.54%	-39.27%	-6%	-20.3%	15.09%	15.06%
EBIT ¹	2,098	3,072	3,500	1,823	1,588	1,109	1,390	1,736
Change	-	46.43%	13.93%	-47.91%	-12.89%	-30.15%	25.34%	24.89%
Interest Paid ¹	-113	-122	-137	-124	-211	-250.2	-257.4	-277.5
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	1,046	3,331	3,036	1,397	772	-636	1,146	1,386
Change	-	218.45%	-8.86%	-53.99%	-44.74%	-182.38%	280.18%	20.93%
Net income ¹	684	2,870	2,390	1,006	390	-596	758.7	1,038
Change	-	319.59%	-16.72%	-57.91%	-61.23%	-252.82%	227.29%	36.85%
Announcement Date	20/08/20	19/08/21	18/08/22	18/08/23	19/08/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Fiscal Period: June	2020 Q4	2021 Q1	2021 Q2	2021 Q3	2021 Q4	2022 Q1	2022 Q2	2022 Q3	2022 Q4	2023 Q1	2023 Q2	2023 Q3	2023 Q4	2024 Q1	2024 Q2	2024 Q3	2024 Q4	2025 Q1	2025 Q2	2025 Q3	2025 Q4	2026 Q1	2026 Q2	2026 Q3	2026 Q4	2027 Q1	2027 Q2	2027 Q3
Net sales ¹	2,430	3,562	4,853	3,864	3,940	4,392	5,539	4,245	3,562	3,930	4,621	3,755	3,626	3,518	4,280	3,940	3,871	3,361	4,004	3,550	3,364	3,306	4,035	3,684	3,542	3,519	4,303	3,899
Change	-	46.58%	36.24%	-20.38%	1.97%	11.47%	26.12%	-23.36%	-16.09%	10.33%	17.58%	-18.74%	-3.44%	-2.98%	21.66%	-7.94%	-1.75%	-13.17%	19.13%	-11.34%	-5.24%	-1.71%	22.03%	-8.7%	-3.84%	-0.67%	22.29%	-9.39%
EBITDA ¹	-64	870	1,339	953	561	1,124	1,616	1,099	388	846	949	505	267	311	782	760	560	352	669	607	303	361	717.4	676.5	424.7	369.5	765.9	710.3
Change	-	1,459.38%	53.91%	-28.83%	-41.13%	100.36%	43.77%	-31.99%	-64.7%	118.04%	12.17%	-46.79%	-47.13%	16.48%	151.45%	-2.81%	-26.32%	-37.14%	90.06%	-9.27%	-50.08%	19.15%	98.7%	-5.69%	-37.22%	-12.99%	107.27%	-7.26%
EBIT ¹	-228	714	1,179	794	385	941	1,435	917	207	668	768	316	71	108	577	554	349	144	462	403	106.3	171.1	511.3	471.2	251.5	253.2	576	521.8
Change	-	413.16%	65.13%	-32.65%	-51.51%	144.42%	52.5%	-36.1%	-77.43%	222.71%	14.97%	-58.85%	-77.53%	52.11%	434.26%	-3.99%	-37%	-58.74%	220.83%	-12.77%	-73.61%	60.9%	198.82%	-7.84%	-46.63%	0.66%	127.53%	-9.41%
Charge d'intérêts ¹	-42	-31	-26	-34	-31	-38	-32	-36	-31	-31	-26	-21	-46	-54	-58	-49	-50	-57	-67	-60	-61.67	-58	-61.07	-58.47	-56.8	-60	-60	-60
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	-605	671	1,030	580	1,050	897	1,388	703	48	633	532	280	-48	46	519	486	-279	-180	-650	241	-41.38	106.7	465.4	302.7	256	204.9	491.6	406.6
Change	-	210.91%	53.5%	-43.69%	81.03%	-14.57%	54.74%	-49.35%	-93.17%	1,218.75%	-15.96%	-47.37%	-117.14%	195.83%	1,028.26%	-6.36%	-157.41%	35.48%	-261.11%	137.08%	-117.17%	357.83%	336.22%	-34.97%	-15.44%	-19.93%	139.9%	-17.29%
Net income ¹	-462	523	873	456	1,018	692	1,088	558	52	489	394	156	-33	31	313	330	-284	-156	-590	159	-5.235	81.18	314.2	279.5	164.6	204	312	238
Change	-	213.2%	66.92%	-47.77%	123.25%	-32.02%	57.23%	-48.71%	-90.68%	840.38%	-19.43%	-60.41%	-121.15%	193.94%	909.68%	5.43%	-186.06%	45.07%	-278.21%	126.95%	-103.29%	1,650.7%	287.09%	-11.05%	-41.13%	23.97%	52.94%	-23.72%
Announcement Date	20/08/20	02/11/20	05/02/21	03/05/21	19/08/21	02/11/21	03/02/22	03/05/22	18/08/22	02/11/22	02/02/23	03/05/23	18/08/23	01/11/23	05/02/24	01/05/24	19/08/24	31/10/24	04/02/25	01/05/25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Balance Sheet: Estee Lauder

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net Debt ¹	1,114	611	1,455	4,085	4,376	4,962	5,124	4,914
Change	-	-45.15%	138.13%	180.76%	7.12%	13.39%	3.26%	-4.1%
Announcement Date	20/08/20	19/08/21	18/08/22	18/08/23	19/08/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Estee Lauder

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
CAPEX ¹	623	637	1,040	1,003	919	604.9	701.3	708.9
Change	-	2.25%	63.27%	-3.56%	-8.37%	-34.18%	15.93%	1.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ¹	1,657	2,994	2,000	728	1,441	411.1	1,137	1,291
Change	-	80.69%	-33.2%	-63.6%	97.94%	-71.47%	176.63%	13.52%
Announcement Date	20/08/20	19/08/21	18/08/22	18/08/23	19/08/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Estee Lauder

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Profitability
EBITDA Margin (%)	18.95%	22.94%	23.83%	16.11%	15.46%	13.46%	15.16%	16.71%
EBIT Margin (%)	14.68%	18.93%	19.73%	11.44%	10.17%	7.76%	9.52%	11.4%
EBT Margin (%)	7.32%	20.52%	17.11%	8.77%	4.95%	-4.45%	7.85%	9.1%
Net margin (%)	4.79%	17.68%	13.47%	6.31%	2.5%	-4.17%	5.2%	6.81%
FCF margin (%)	11.59%	18.45%	11.27%	4.57%	9.23%	2.88%	7.79%	8.47%
FCF / Net Income (%)	242.25%	104.32%	83.68%	72.37%	369.49%	-68.98%	149.91%	124.35%
Profitability
ROA	9.76%	11.95%	11.15%	5.63%	4.14%	2.52%	3.83%	5%
ROE	36.07%	47.27%	40.92%	22.35%	17.15%	11.02%	17.91%	22.23%
Financial Health
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA)	0.41x	0.16x	0.34x	1.59x	1.81x	2.58x	2.32x	1.93x
Debt / Free cash flow	0.67x	0.2x	0.73x	5.61x	3.04x	12.07x	4.51x	3.81x
Capital Intensity
CAPEX / Current Assets (%)	4.36%	3.93%	5.86%	6.29%	5.89%	4.23%	4.8%	4.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%)	23%	17.11%	24.6%	39.07%	38.09%	31.45%	31.68%	27.84%
CAPEX / FCF (%)	37.6%	21.28%	52%	137.77%	63.78%	147.13%	61.66%	54.91%
Items per share
Cash flow per share ¹	6.214	9.864	8.331	4.796	6.541	3.01	4.247	5.219
Change	-	58.74%	-15.54%	-42.43%	36.38%	-53.98%	41.07%	22.91%
Dividend per Share ¹	1.39	2.07	2.33	2.58	2.64	1.713	1.479	1.647
Change	-	48.92%	12.56%	10.73%	2.33%	-35.13%	-13.67%	11.36%
Book Value Per Share ¹	10.99	16.54	15.32	15.48	14.73	11.37	11.65	12.2
Change	-	50.56%	-7.39%	1.02%	-4.83%	-22.83%	2.49%	4.72%
EPS ¹	1.86	7.79	6.55	2.79	1.08	-1.621	2.157	2.914
Change	-	318.82%	-15.92%	-57.4%	-61.29%	-250.05%	233.13%	35.08%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands)	359,999	362,512	357,347	357,413	358,564	359,752	359,752	359,752
Announcement Date	20/08/20	19/08/21	18/08/22	18/08/23	19/08/24	-	-	-