Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 29,226 26,955 23,412
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 10.11% -7.77% -13.14%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 7,910 8,100 8,038
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 11.56% 2.41% -0.77%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 9,798 11,599 12,297
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 17.07% 18.38% 6.02%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.53% 17.8% 18.3%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.04% 12.63% 13.14%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.03% 11.93% 12.54%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.15% 8.77% 9.24%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 6.93% 7.82% 8.09%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 84.97% 89.19% 87.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.07% 7.36% 7.81%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 13.98% 14.35% 14.49%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.18x 1.02x 0.84x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.98x 2.32x 1.9x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.59% 5.46% 5.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 31.9% 30.69% 28.87%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 80.73% 69.84% 65.36%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 25.69 28.88 31.72
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 14.48% 12.45% 9.82%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 8.75 9.156 9.72 10.26
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% 6.06% 4.64% 6.16% 5.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 135 144.1 155.3
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 8.62% 6.76% 7.79%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.03 19.42 21.08
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -7.27% 14.01% 8.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 677,842 677,842 677,842
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15x 13.2x
PBR 1.9x 1.78x
EV / Sales 1.43x 1.35x
Yield 3.58% 3.8%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
256.10SEK
Average target price
268.20SEK
Spread / Average Target
+4.72%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise