Projected Income Statement: EssilorLuxottica

Forecast Balance Sheet: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,698 7,063 5,859 10,970 10,850 9,311 8,497 7,176
Change - -27.17% -17.05% 87.23% -1.09% -14.18% -8.74% -15.55%
Announcement Date 11/03/22 23/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,030 1,572 1,531 1,520 1,525 1,609 1,749 1,842
Change - 52.62% -2.61% -0.72% 0.33% 5.52% 8.71% 5.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,792 2,260 3,330 2,400 2,796 3,839 4,054 4,461
Change - -19.05% 47.35% -27.93% 16.5% 37.29% 5.61% 10.05%
Announcement Date 11/03/22 23/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.69% 28.93% 28.16% 28.34% 22.79% 24.72% 24.44% 24.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.27% 16.8% 16.45% 16.65% 15.65% 15.89% 15.94% 16.26%
EBT Margin (%) 11.1% 12.38% 11.95% 12.42% 11.21% 12.17% 12.31% 13.02%
Net margin (%) 7.38% 8.79% 9.01% 8.9% 8.13% 8.94% 9.21% 9.81%
FCF margin (%) 14.09% 9.23% 13.11% 9.05% 9.81% 12.71% 12.37% 12.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 190.84% 105.02% 145.48% 101.74% 120.78% 142.1% 134.23% 128.64%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.69% 4.77% 4.87% 5% 4.93% 4.93% 5.4% 5.79%
ROE 6.11% 7.89% 7.65% 7.94% 7.97% 8.61% 9.33% 10.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.77x 1x 0.82x 1.46x 1.67x 1.25x 1.06x 0.83x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.47x 3.13x 1.76x 4.57x 3.88x 2.43x 2.1x 1.61x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.2% 6.42% 6.03% 5.73% 5.35% 5.33% 5.34% 5.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.77% 22.19% 21.41% 20.23% 23.49% 21.55% 21.84% 21.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.89% 69.56% 45.98% 63.33% 54.54% 41.92% 43.15% 41.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.2 10.73 10.78 10.6 11.39 12.08 13.49 14.95
Change - 5.19% 0.48% -1.75% 7.47% 6.13% 11.62% 10.81%
Dividend per Share 1 2.51 3.23 3.95 3.95 4 4.081 4.449 4.895
Change - 28.69% 22.29% 0% 1.27% 2.03% 9.02% 10.01%
Book Value Per Share 1 80.18 84.11 86.28 87.77 83.69 87.27 90.32 93.41
Change - 4.89% 2.58% 1.73% -4.65% 4.28% 3.49% 3.42%
EPS 1 3.28 4.83 5.08 5.13 4.98 5.654 6.31 7.223
Change - 47.26% 5.18% 0.98% -2.92% 13.54% 11.61% 14.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 441,185 444,659 451,334 455,759 463,045 459,592 459,592 459,592
Announcement Date 11/03/22 23/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 25.6x 22.9x
PBR 1.66x 1.6x
EV / Sales 2.52x 2.3x
Yield 2.82% 3.08%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
144.60EUR
Average target price
232.61EUR
Spread / Average Target
+60.86%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. EL Stock
  4. ESL Stock
  5. Financials EssilorLuxottica