Projected Income Statement: EssilorLuxottica

Forecast Balance Sheet: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,975 9,698 7,063 5,859 10,970 9,043 8,916 7,060
Change - 225.98% -27.17% -17.05% 87.23% -17.57% -1.4% -20.82%
Announcement Date 12/03/21 11/03/22 23/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 650 1,030 1,572 1,531 1,520 1,579 1,660 1,829
Change - 58.46% 52.62% -2.61% -0.72% 3.89% 5.13% 10.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,842 2,792 2,260 3,330 2,400 3,523 4,098 4,497
Change - 51.57% -19.05% 47.35% -27.93% 46.81% 16.31% 9.74%
Announcement Date 12/03/21 11/03/22 23/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.33% 27.69% 28.93% 28.16% 28.34% 22.79% 24.45% 24.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.52% 15.27% 16.8% 16.45% 16.65% 15.65% 15.76% 16.26%
EBT Margin (%) 2.17% 11.1% 12.38% 11.95% 12.42% 11.21% 11.41% 12.71%
Net margin (%) 0.59% 7.38% 8.79% 9.01% 8.9% 8.13% 8.83% 9.41%
FCF margin (%) 12.77% 14.09% 9.23% 13.11% 9.05% 12.56% 13.09% 12.99%
FCF / Net Income (%) 2,167.06% 190.84% 105.02% 145.48% 101.74% 142.84% 148.28% 138.12%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.5% 3.69% 4.77% 4.87% 5% 5.14% 5.53% 5.86%
ROE 2.35% 6.11% 7.89% 7.65% 7.94% 7.7% 8.84% 9.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.85x 1.77x 1x 0.82x 1.46x 1.3x 1.16x 0.83x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.62x 3.47x 3.13x 1.76x 4.57x 2.57x 2.18x 1.57x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.5% 5.2% 6.42% 6.03% 5.73% 5.63% 5.3% 5.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.52% 18.77% 22.19% 21.41% 20.23% 22.75% 21.68% 21.43%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 35.29% 36.89% 69.56% 45.98% 63.33% 44.82% 40.51% 40.66%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.727 10.2 10.73 10.78 10.6 11.04 12.16 14.24
Change - 51.68% 5.19% 0.48% -1.75% 4.16% 10.18% 17.08%
Dividend per Share 1 1.15 2.51 3.23 3.95 3.95 3.832 4.286 4.849
Change - 118.26% 28.69% 22.29% 0% -2.98% 11.84% 13.13%
Book Value Per Share 1 74.03 80.18 84.11 86.28 87.77 90.87 89.99 93.79
Change - 8.31% 4.89% 2.58% 1.73% 3.53% -0.97% 4.22%
EPS 1 0.19 3.28 4.83 5.08 5.13 4.98 5.946 7.167
Change - 1,626.32% 47.26% 5.18% 0.98% -2.92% 12.21% 20.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 436,292 441,185 444,659 451,334 455,759 463,190 463,190 463,190
Announcement Date 12/03/21 11/03/22 23/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 54.2x 43.4x
PBR 2.84x 2.87x
EV / Sales 4.39x 4.11x
Yield 1.48% 1.66%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
258.30EUR
Average target price
318.64EUR
Spread / Average Target
+23.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EL Stock
  4. Financials EssilorLuxottica