Projected Income Statement: CSX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,050 16,577 17,097 17,498 18,198 17,256 16,633 15,342
Change - 17.99% 3.14% 2.35% 4% -5.18% -3.61% -7.76%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,791 2,133 2,281 2,529 2,902 2,330 2,413 2,553
Change - 19.1% 6.94% 10.87% 14.75% -19.72% 3.56% 5.8%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,308 3,486 3,268 2,718 1,711 3,356 3,595 3,850
Change - 5.38% -6.25% -16.83% -37.05% 96.16% 7.12% 7.09%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.01% 49.68% 48.93% 48.22% 45.17% 47.83% 49.19% 50.03%
EBIT Margin (%) 44.67% 39.58% 37.94% 36.82% 33.25% 36.94% 38.34% 39.32%
EBT Margin (%) 39.54% 36.45% 33.37% 31.33% 26.75% 31.88% 33.76% 34.99%
Net margin (%) 30.19% 28.05% 25.35% 23.87% 20.5% 24.32% 25.55% 26.34%
FCF margin (%) 26.42% 23.47% 22.3% 18.69% 12.14% 22.05% 22.48% 23.32%
FCF / Net Income (%) 87.49% 83.68% 87.97% 78.33% 59.22% 90.66% 88.01% 88.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.41% 10.11% 8.81% 8.17% 6.68% 8.23% 8.56% 9.19%
ROE 28.42% 31.89% 30.01% 28.34% 22.51% 27.21% 28.72% 30.45%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2x 2.25x 2.38x 2.5x 2.86x 2.37x 2.11x 1.86x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.25x 4.76x 5.23x 6.44x 10.64x 5.14x 4.63x 3.99x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.3% 14.36% 15.56% 17.39% 20.59% 15.31% 15.09% 15.46%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.53% 28.91% 31.8% 36.07% 45.59% 32% 30.67% 30.89%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 54.14% 61.19% 69.8% 93.05% 169.61% 69.41% 67.11% 66.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.261 2.624 2.757 2.7 2.463 3.051 3.369 -
Change - 16.07% 5.03% -2.04% -8.8% 23.89% 10.41% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.372 0.4 0.44 0.48 0.52 0.5731 0.6193 0.6624
Change - 7.53% 10% 9.09% 8.33% 10.22% 8.05% 6.95%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.987 5.892 6.027 6.437 7.026 7.735 7.889 7.521
Change - -1.59% 2.29% 6.8% 9.15% 10.09% 1.99% -4.67%
EPS 1 1.68 1.95 1.85 1.79 1.54 2.004 2.277 2.506
Change - 16.07% -5.13% -3.24% -13.97% 30.13% 13.64% 10.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,217,983 2,101,822 1,976,132 1,928,423 1,862,018 1,852,311 1,852,311 1,852,311
Announcement Date 20/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 23.7x 20.8x
PBR 6.13x 6.01x
EV / Sales 6.91x 6.53x
Yield 1.21% 1.31%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
47.43USD
Average target price
52.84USD
Spread / Average Target
+11.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise