Projected Income Statement: ConocoPhillips

Forecast Balance Sheet: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 8,769 14,460 7,400 12,331 18,210 17,024 19,262 19,507
Change - 64.9% -48.82% 66.64% 47.68% -6.51% 13.15% 1.27%
Announcement Date 02/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 4,715 5,324 10,159 11,248 12,118 12,439 11,988 12,014
Change - 12.92% 90.82% 10.72% 7.73% 2.65% -3.62% 0.21%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 87 10,401 18,155 8,717 8,006 7,616 7,164 8,659
Change - 11,855.17% 74.55% -51.99% -8.16% -4.87% -5.93% 20.87%
Announcement Date 02/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.71% 44.88% 44.64% 43.92% 42.86% 41.01% 39.07% 42.06%
EBIT Margin (%) -6.96% 29.97% 35.51% 29.8% 26% 21.97% 20.49% 24.18%
EBT Margin (%) -16.31% 26.29% 34.36% 27.81% 24.01% 21.27% 19.5% 22.65%
Net margin (%) -14.03% 16.71% 22.74% 18.71% 16.23% 13.1% 11.55% 13.71%
FCF margin (%) 0.45% 21.51% 22.1% 14.88% 14.06% 12.39% 12.62% 14.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) -3.22% 128.74% 97.19% 79.56% 86.6% 94.55% 109.25% 105.87%

Profitability

        
ROA -1.56% 10.44% 18.8% 11.55% 8.45% 6.8% 6.01% 6.38%
ROE -3.43% 21.26% 37.13% 21.82% 16.21% 12.33% 9.65% 12.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.1x 0.67x 0.2x 0.48x 0.75x 0.68x 0.87x 0.78x
Debt / Free cash flow 100.79x 1.39x 0.41x 1.41x 2.27x 2.24x 2.69x 2.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 24.49% 11.01% 12.37% 19.2% 21.28% 20.23% 21.12% 20.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 112.8% 24.54% 27.7% 43.72% 49.65% 49.33% 54.05% 47.89%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5,419.54% 51.19% 55.96% 129.04% 151.36% 163.33% 167.35% 138.74%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.454 12.8 22.15 17.24 16.9 15.87 15.1 16.94
Change - 187.28% 73.11% -22.19% -1.96% -6.11% -4.83% 12.19%
Dividend per Share 1 1.69 1.75 1.89 2.11 2.52 3.185 3.352 3.506
Change - 3.55% 8% 11.64% 19.43% 26.4% 5.23% 4.61%
Book Value Per Share 1 27.95 34.87 39.22 41.83 50.79 51.79 51.45 51.68
Change - 24.76% 12.49% 6.64% 21.41% 1.97% -0.66% 0.46%
EPS 1 -2.51 6.07 14.57 9.46 7.81 6.467 5.397 6.951
Change - 341.83% 140.03% -35.07% -17.44% -17.2% -16.55% 28.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,067,957 1,318,947 1,246,071 1,187,408 1,293,562 1,235,718 1,235,718 1,235,718
Announcement Date 02/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 15.2x 18.2x
PBR 1.9x 1.91x
EV / Sales 2.25x 2.48x
Yield 3.24% 3.41%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
98.35USD
Average target price
112.96USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.86%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. COP Stock
  4. Financials ConocoPhillips