Projected Income Statement: ConocoPhillips

Forecast Balance Sheet: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,460 7,400 12,331 18,210 16,463 15,156 13,274 10,547
Change - -48.82% 66.64% 47.68% -9.59% -7.94% -12.42% -20.54%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,324 10,159 11,248 12,118 12,553 12,183 12,140 12,108
Change - 90.82% 10.72% 7.73% 3.59% -2.95% -0.35% -0.26%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,401 18,155 8,717 8,006 7,243 8,524 10,161 10,624
Change - 74.55% -51.99% -8.16% -9.53% 17.69% 19.2% 4.55%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 44.88% 44.64% 43.92% 42.86% 41.31% 45.07% 44.37% 44.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.97% 35.51% 29.8% 26% 22.63% 26.12% 24.96% 25.69%
EBT Margin (%) 26.29% 34.36% 27.81% 24.01% 20.56% 25.8% 24.86% 27.05%
Net margin (%) 16.71% 22.74% 18.71% 16.23% 12.98% 16.13% 15.56% 14.77%
FCF margin (%) 21.51% 22.1% 14.88% 14.06% 11.77% 12.54% 15.41% 15.8%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.74% 97.19% 79.56% 86.6% 90.67% 77.79% 99.04% 106.93%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.44% 18.8% 11.55% 8.45% 6.53% 5.8% 5.5% -
ROE 21.26% 37.13% 21.82% 16.21% 12.36% 17.66% 15.36% 16.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.67x 0.2x 0.48x 0.75x 0.65x 0.49x 0.45x 0.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.39x 0.41x 1.41x 2.27x 2.27x 1.78x 1.31x 0.99x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.01% 12.37% 19.2% 21.28% 20.4% 17.93% 18.41% 18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.54% 27.7% 43.72% 49.65% 49.37% 39.78% 41.49% 40.36%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 51.19% 55.96% 129.04% 151.36% 173.31% 142.92% 119.48% 113.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.8 22.15 17.24 16.9 15.79 19.3 19.75 19.11
Change - 73.11% -22.19% -1.96% -6.54% 22.2% 2.33% -3.22%
Dividend per Share 1 1.75 1.89 2.11 2.52 - 3.384 3.537 3.648
Change - 8% 11.64% 19.43% - - 4.51% 3.16%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.87 39.22 41.83 50.79 51.45 55.45 58.23 61.19
Change - 12.49% 6.64% 21.41% 1.3% 7.77% 5.02% 5.09%
EPS 1 6.07 14.57 9.46 7.81 6.35 9.16 8.742 9.264
Change - 140.03% -35.07% -17.44% -18.69% 44.25% -4.56% 5.97%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,318,947 1,246,071 1,187,408 1,293,562 1,235,718 1,218,294 1,218,294 1,218,294
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 13.4x 14x
PBR 2.21x 2.1x
EV / Sales 2.42x 2.46x
Yield 2.76% 2.89%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
122.41USD
Average target price
141.12USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. COP Stock
  4. Financials ConocoPhillips