Projected Income Statement: Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -378,620 -472,000 -488,998 -738,982 -996,345 -869,917 -1,094,126 -1,353,688
Change - -24.66% -3.6% -51.12% -34.83% 12.69% -25.77% -23.72%
Announcement Date 04/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 57,040 65,969 61,800 71,948 50,415 68,371 69,560 68,401
Change - 15.65% -6.32% 16.42% -29.93% 35.62% 1.74% -1.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 106,723 160,699 182,312 372,635 220,235 335,536 431,416 507,307
Change - 50.58% 13.45% 104.39% -40.9% 52.35% 28.58% 17.59%
Announcement Date 04/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 42.27% 45.92% 44.87% 42.37% 49.01% 50.95% 51.01% 53.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 38.28% 42.2% 42.33% 39.52% 46.3% 47.68% 49.76% 51.67%
EBT Margin (%) 37.9% 41.95% 42.16% 39.93% 46.39% 47.7% 50.29% 52.56%
Net margin (%) 27.28% 30.31% 29.72% 29.29% 33.09% 34.35% 36.23% 37.68%
FCF margin (%) 13.56% 16.07% 14.47% 33.53% 18.81% 26.89% 32.34% 34.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 49.71% 53.04% 48.69% 114.49% 56.86% 78.28% 89.27% 92.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 25.99% 30.23% 31.17% 23.34% 18.71% 19.14% 20.46% 20.83%
ROE 23.4% 28% 28.7% 21.3% 22% 22.34% 23.57% 23.41%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.25% 6.6% 4.9% 6.47% 4.31% 5.48% 5.21% 4.72%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.15% 14.37% 10.93% 15.28% 8.79% 10.75% 10.22% 8.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 53.45% 41.05% 33.9% 19.31% 22.89% 20.38% 16.12% 13.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 149.1 203.1 246.8 217.1 254.6 280.7 313.9 358.2
Change - 36.15% 21.52% -12.01% 17.28% 10.25% 11.81% 14.12%
Dividend per Share 1 55 76 78 80 98 253.8 128.6 145.3
Change - 38.18% 2.63% 2.56% 22.5% 158.93% -49.33% 12.98%
Book Value Per Share 1 596.2 722.5 865.9 988 1,156 1,200 1,336 1,527
Change - 21.19% 19.84% 14.1% 16.96% 3.81% 11.38% 14.32%
EPS 1 130.7 184.3 227.6 197.8 235.4 260.4 293.7 332.2
Change - 41.05% 23.52% -13.1% 18.99% 10.63% 12.77% 13.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,643,817 1,644,260 1,645,014 1,645,274 1,645,514 1,645,705 1,645,705 1,645,705
Announcement Date 04/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 31.6x 28x
PBR 6.86x 6.16x
EV / Sales 10.2x 9.33x
Yield 3.08% 1.56%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
8,228.00JPY
Average target price
8,892.86JPY
Spread / Average Target
+8.08%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.