Financials Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Equities

CMG

US1696561059

Restaurants & Bars

Real-time Estimate Cboe BZX 20:25:32 30/04/2024 BST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
3,165 USD -1.40% Intraday chart for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. +8.62% +38.45%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 23,268 38,801 49,188 38,463 62,765 88,155 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 22,787 38,193 48,372 38,079 62,204 87,149 86,801 85,186
P/E ratio 67.6 x 111 x 76.3 x 43.3 x 51.6 x 58.4 x 48.3 x 40.3 x
Yield - - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 4.17 x 6.48 x 6.52 x 4.45 x 6.36 x 7.76 x 6.86 x 6.01 x
EV / Revenue 4.08 x 6.38 x 6.41 x 4.41 x 6.3 x 7.67 x 6.75 x 5.8 x
EV / EBITDA 32 x 64.2 x 41.9 x 26 x 32.8 x 38 x 31.8 x 26.4 x
EV / FCF 58.8 x 131 x 57.6 x 45.1 x 50.9 x 60 x 50.7 x 48.4 x
FCF Yield 1.7% 0.76% 1.74% 2.22% 1.97% 1.67% 1.97% 2.07%
Price to Book 14.1 x 19.5 x 21.7 x 16.4 x 20.7 x 23.8 x 19.5 x 15.9 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 27,795 27,980 28,135 27,721 27,445 27,467 - -
Reference price 2 837.1 1,387 1,748 1,387 2,287 3,209 3,209 3,209
Announcement Date 04/02/20 02/02/21 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 5,586 5,985 7,547 8,635 9,872 11,357 12,854 14,678
EBITDA 1 711.1 594.9 1,153 1,464 1,896 2,294 2,726 3,225
EBIT 1 498.3 356.3 898.7 1,177 1,577 1,944 2,338 2,764
Operating Margin 8.92% 5.95% 11.91% 13.63% 15.97% 17.11% 18.19% 18.83%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 458.3 293.8 812.8 1,182 1,621 2,031 2,417 2,866
Net income 1 350.2 355.8 653 899.1 1,229 1,507 1,808 2,147
Net margin 6.27% 5.94% 8.65% 10.41% 12.45% 13.27% 14.07% 14.63%
EPS 2 12.38 12.52 22.90 32.04 44.34 54.93 66.39 79.69
Free Cash Flow 1 387.7 290.5 839.6 844 1,223 1,452 1,713 1,761
FCF margin 6.94% 4.85% 11.12% 9.77% 12.39% 12.78% 13.33% 12%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 54.53% 48.83% 72.8% 57.65% 64.49% 63.28% 62.84% 54.61%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 110.73% 81.65% 128.58% 93.87% 99.51% 96.36% 94.75% 82.04%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 04/02/20 02/02/21 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 1,961 2,021 2,213 2,220 2,181 2,369 2,515 2,472 2,516 2,702 2,928 2,855 2,871 3,058 3,319
EBITDA 1 252.6 265.5 407.7 414.7 376.1 444.2 510.6 474.8 454.5 537.8 643.6 578.6 547.8 648 754.7
EBIT 1 186.3 193.9 337.9 343.3 302 367.6 431.8 396.3 369 454.6 556.3 490.5 454.1 557.4 663.7
Operating Margin 9.5% 9.6% 15.27% 15.46% 13.85% 15.52% 17.17% 16.03% 14.67% 16.82% 19% 17.18% 15.82% 18.22% 20%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 167.6 190 348.2 340 303.4 376.6 448.3 413.3 382.4 460.7 576.3 512.7 476.6 582.7 678.3
Net income 1 133.5 158.3 259.9 257.1 223.7 291.6 341.8 313.2 282.1 359.3 429.3 382.6 354.2 436 506.1
Net margin 6.81% 7.83% 11.74% 11.58% 10.26% 12.31% 13.59% 12.67% 11.21% 13.3% 14.66% 13.4% 12.34% 14.26% 15.25%
EPS 2 4.690 5.590 9.250 9.200 8.020 10.50 12.32 11.32 10.21 13.01 15.56 13.90 12.89 15.88 18.45
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 08/02/22 26/04/22 26/07/22 25/10/22 07/02/23 25/04/23 26/07/23 26/10/23 06/02/24 24/04/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 481 608 815 384 561 1,007 1,354 2,970
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 388 290 840 844 1,223 1,452 1,713 1,761
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 25.5% 16.5% 33.6% 39.4% 45.8% 45.5% 46.1% 47.3%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 9.5% 6.42% 10.3% 13.2% 16.6% 17.1% 18.4% 19.5%
Assets 1 3,685 5,542 6,318 6,790 7,400 8,807 9,810 11,008
Book Value Per Share 2 59.50 71.10 80.60 84.40 111.0 135.0 164.0 201.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 25.50 23.40 45.00 47.20 64.40 76.50 89.30 104.0
Capex 1 334 373 442 479 561 651 728 824
Capex / Sales 5.98% 6.24% 5.86% 5.55% 5.68% 5.74% 5.67% 5.61%
Announcement Date 04/02/20 02/02/21 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
35
Last Close Price
3,209 USD
Average target price
3,179 USD
Spread / Average Target
-0.94%
Consensus
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