Projected Income Statement: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 120,335 180,437 223,910 276,855 268,217 241,485 246,631 196,335
Change - 49.95% 24.09% 23.65% -3.12% -9.97% 2.13% -20.39%
Announcement Date 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 31/03/25 31/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 9,514 12,749 8,334 815.4 3,195 3,389 3,229 3,077
Change - 34% -34.63% -90.22% 291.85% 6.07% -4.72% -4.71%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -5,401 -9,998 -4.422 2,984 -4,183 -30,318 -13,575 -
Change - -85.12% 99.96% 67,593.96% -240.17% -624.75% 55.22% 100%
Announcement Date 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 31/03/25 31/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.81% 11.7% 12.82% -11.38% -17.9% 2.83% 6.28% 8.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.6% 10.32% 10.87% -13.3% -22.34% -4.59% -5.27% -2.19%
EBT Margin (%) 11.53% 10.4% 9.66% -13.75% -28.56% -11.91% -9.3% -10.49%
Net margin (%) 4.97% 4.49% 2.61% -14.42% -37.94% -12.36% -7.48% -4.75%
FCF margin (%) -1.19% -1.98% -0% 0.87% -1.79% -21.43% -9.24% -
FCF / Net Income (%) -23.98% -44.21% -0.04% -6.03% 4.72% 173.42% 123.51% -

Profitability

        
ROA 1.18% 1.22% 0.75% -3.55% -7.68% -1% -1.01% -0.94%
ROE 9.78% 9.48% 4.92% -21.82% -55.42% -15.07% -19.89% -18.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.07x 3.06x 3.75x -7.09x -6.42x 60.21x 24.9x 17.28x
Debt / Free cash flow -22.28x -18.05x -50,637.37x 92.77x -64.12x -7.97x -16.93x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.1% 2.53% 1.79% 0.24% 1.37% 2.4% 2.2% 2.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.4% 21.63% 13.95% -2.09% -7.65% 84.49% 34.99% 23.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -176.15% -127.51% -188,477.46% 27.32% -76.38% -11.18% -23.79% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.354 0.2365 0.3279 0.3185 -0.0828 1.827 - -
Change - -33.19% 38.65% -2.87% -126% 2,306% - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.97 0.68 - - - - - -
Change - -29.9% - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 20.3 21 21.15 16.99 9.799 7.483 8.292 4.562
Change - 3.45% 0.71% -19.68% -42.32% -23.63% 10.82% -44.99%
EPS 1 1.94 1.95 1.03 -4.173 -7.445 -1.427 -1.124 -1.175
Change - 0.52% -47.18% -505.18% -78.4% 80.83% 21.26% -4.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 11,625,383 11,557,753 11,857,753 11,857,753 11,930,709 11,930,709 11,930,709 11,930,709
Announcement Date 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 31/03/25 31/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio -2.8x -3.56x
PBR 0.53x 0.48x
EV / Sales 2.18x 1.87x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
4.000CNY
Average target price
4.858CNY
Spread / Average Target
+21.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 000002 Stock
  4. Financials China Vanke Co., Ltd.