Projected Income Statement: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 65,956 120,335 180,437 223,910 276,855 280,752 268,591 246,586
Change - 82.45% 49.95% 24.09% 23.65% 1.41% -4.33% -8.19%
Announcement Date 30/03/21 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 31/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,146 9,514 12,749 8,334 815.4 3,779 4,337 3,028
Change - 33.14% 34% -34.63% -90.22% 363.47% 14.77% -30.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 46,042 -5,401 -9,998 -4.422 2,984 -7,192 -7,964 -8,525
Change - -111.73% -85.12% 99.96% 67,593.96% -340.98% -10.74% -7.04%
Announcement Date 30/03/21 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 31/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Vanke Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.24% 12.81% 11.7% 12.82% -11.38% -4.75% 0.06% 3.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.08% 11.6% 10.32% 10.87% -13.3% -9.51% -6.33% -3.91%
EBT Margin (%) 19.01% 11.53% 10.4% 9.66% -13.75% -11.69% -6.6% -5.06%
Net margin (%) 9.91% 4.97% 4.49% 2.61% -14.42% -12.43% -6.75% -3.71%
FCF margin (%) 10.99% -1.19% -1.98% -0% 0.87% -2.89% -15.52% -7.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 110.9% -23.98% -44.21% -0.04% -6.03% 23.22% 229.75% 200.79%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.31% 1.18% 1.22% 0.75% -3.55% -3.1% -1.11% -0.51%
ROE 20.13% 9.78% 9.48% 4.92% -21.82% -22.8% -10.36% -5.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.78x 2.07x 3.06x 3.75x -7.09x -23.71x 2,158.92x 35.93x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.43x -22.28x -18.05x -50,637.37x 92.77x -39.04x -8.86x -18.16x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.71% 2.1% 2.53% 1.79% 0.24% 1.52% 2.22% 1.66%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.42% 16.4% 21.63% 13.95% -2.09% -29.01% -223.06% -346.43%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 15.52% -176.15% -127.51% -188,477.46% 27.32% -52.54% -14.31% -22.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.578 0.354 0.2365 0.3279 0.3185 1.852 3.193 2.39
Change - -92.27% -33.19% 38.65% -2.87% 481.57% 72.4% -25.16%
Dividend per Share 1 1.25 0.97 0.68 - - - - -
Change - -22.4% -29.9% - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 19.32 20.3 21 21.15 16.99 14.46 13.15 12.45
Change - 5.05% 3.45% 0.71% -19.68% -14.88% -9.04% -5.35%
EPS 1 3.62 1.94 1.95 1.03 -4.173 -2.666 -1.013 -0.566
Change - -46.41% 0.52% -47.18% -505.18% 36.12% 62.02% 44.1%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 11,617,732 11,625,383 11,557,753 11,857,753 11,857,753 11,930,709 11,930,709 11,930,709
Announcement Date 30/03/21 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 31/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio -1.8x -4.75x
PBR 0.33x 0.37x
EV / Sales 1.36x 1.66x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
4.810CNY
Average target price
5.298CNY
Spread / Average Target
+10.14%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 000002 Stock
  4. Financials China Vanke Co., Ltd.