Projected Income Statement: Chemring Group PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: Chemring Group PLC

Fiscal Period: October 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 48.2 26.6 7.2 14.4 52.8 103 117 85.4
Change - -44.81% -72.93% 100% 266.67% 95.08% 13.59% -27.01%
Announcement Date 15/12/20 14/12/21 13/12/22 12/12/23 17/12/24 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Chemring Group PLC

Fiscal Period: October 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 40.8 30.2 34.5 34.2 69.6 71.94 52.29 44.89
Change - -25.98% 14.24% -0.87% 103.51% 3.36% -27.31% -14.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 35.1 45.5 42.5 31.7 11.4 15.5 32.32 62.6
Change - 29.63% -6.59% -25.41% -64.04% 35.96% 108.55% 93.66%
Announcement Date 15/12/20 14/12/21 13/12/22 12/12/23 17/12/24 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Chemring Group PLC

Fiscal Period: October 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.53% 19.43% 18.59% 18.73% 18.36% 18.72% 19.19% 20.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.59% 14.62% 14.45% 14.64% 13.93% 13.88% 14.51% 15.66%
EBT Margin (%) 10.76% 12.41% 11.7% 9.33% 10.44% 12.3% 12.99% 14.41%
Net margin (%) 8.62% 10.55% 10.7% 7.98% 8.37% 9.64% 10.07% 11.06%
FCF margin (%) 8.72% 11.57% 9.6% 6.71% 2.23% 2.88% 5.4% 9.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 101.15% 109.64% 89.66% 84.08% 26.7% 29.83% 53.63% 83.92%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - 6.63% 6.7% 6.82% 7.66%
ROE 8.18% 13.95% 14.74% 14.26% 11.62% 13.94% 15.26% 17.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.65x 0.35x 0.09x 0.16x 0.56x 1.02x 1.01x 0.62x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.37x 0.58x 0.17x 0.45x 4.63x 6.64x 3.61x 1.36x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.14% 7.68% 7.79% 7.24% 13.64% 13.35% 8.74% 6.66%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.69% 39.53% 41.92% 38.64% 74.28% 71.31% 45.52% 32.74%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 116.24% 66.37% 81.18% 107.89% 610.53% 464.13% 161.78% 71.71%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2632 0.2627 0.2793 - 0.29 0.1428 0.3347 0.3973
Change - -0.2% 6.33% - - -50.77% 134.42% 18.71%
Dividend per Share 1 0.039 0.048 0.057 0.069 0.078 0.0814 0.0925 0.1125
Change - 23.08% 18.75% 21.05% 13.04% 4.4% 13.55% 21.65%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.086 1.224 1.451 1.311 1.28 1.413 1.534 1.726
Change - 12.67% 18.5% -9.63% -2.36% 10.42% 8.54% 12.53%
EPS 1 0.12 0.144 0.169 0.131 0.153 0.1921 0.2211 0.272
Change - 20% 17.36% -22.49% 16.79% 25.58% 15.06% 23.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 281,893 282,580 283,180 279,515 272,261 272,209 272,209 272,209
Announcement Date 15/12/20 14/12/21 13/12/22 12/12/23 17/12/24 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 29x 25.2x
PBR 3.95x 3.64x
EV / Sales 3.01x 2.73x
Yield 1.46% 1.66%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
5.580GBP
Average target price
5.783GBP
Spread / Average Target
+3.64%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CHG Stock
  4. Financials Chemring Group PLC