Projected Income Statement: Chemring Group PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: Chemring Group PLC

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26.6 7.2 14.4 52.8 89 162 156 132
Change - -72.93% 100% 266.67% 68.56% 82.02% -3.7% -15.38%
Announcement Date 14/12/21 13/12/22 12/12/23 17/12/24 09/12/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Chemring Group PLC

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 30.2 34.5 34.2 69.6 102.3 107.8 60.07 47.48
Change - 14.24% -0.87% 103.51% 46.98% 5.39% -44.28% -20.97%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 45.5 42.5 31.7 11.4 -11.2 -29.07 39.05 64.68
Change - -6.59% -25.41% -64.04% -198.25% -159.52% 234.35% 65.62%
Announcement Date 14/12/21 13/12/22 12/12/23 17/12/24 09/12/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Chemring Group PLC

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.43% 18.59% 18.73% 18.36% 19.82% 19.37% 20.21% 20.52%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.62% 14.45% 14.64% 13.93% 14.77% 14.55% 15.55% 16.42%
EBT Margin (%) 12.41% 11.7% 9.33% 10.44% 13.61% 12.41% 13.62% 14.81%
Net margin (%) 10.55% 10.7% 7.98% 8.37% 10.71% 9.57% 10.38% 11.2%
FCF margin (%) 11.57% 9.6% 6.71% 2.23% -2.25% -5.31% 6.23% 9.25%
FCF / Net Income (%) 109.64% 89.66% 84.08% 26.7% -21.01% -55.48% 60% 82.58%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - 6.63% 6.85% 5.49% 6.48% 6.99%
ROE 13.95% 14.74% 14.26% 11.62% 14.44% 13.85% 16.85% 18.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.35x 0.09x 0.16x 0.56x 0.9x 1.53x 1.23x 0.92x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.58x 0.17x 0.45x 4.63x -7.95x -5.59x 3.99x 2.03x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.68% 7.79% 7.24% 13.64% 20.56% 19.7% 9.58% 6.79%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.53% 41.92% 38.64% 74.28% 103.75% 101.7% 47.4% 33.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 66.37% 81.18% 107.89% 610.53% -913.39% -370.9% 153.84% 73.41%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2627 0.2793 - 0.29 0.33 0.2725 0.3538 0.3708
Change - 6.33% - - 13.79% -17.43% 29.84% 4.82%
Dividend per Share 1 0.048 0.057 0.069 0.078 0.08 0.0822 0.0982 0.1113
Change - 18.75% 21.05% 13.04% 2.56% 2.71% 19.51% 13.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.224 1.451 1.311 1.28 1.384 1.463 1.621 1.843
Change - 18.5% -9.63% -2.36% 8.11% 5.74% 10.76% 13.74%
EPS 1 0.144 0.169 0.131 0.153 0.193 0.1934 0.2431 0.2875
Change - 17.36% -22.49% 16.79% 26.14% 0.23% 25.65% 18.27%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 282,580 283,180 279,515 272,261 272,220 272,123 272,123 272,123
Announcement Date 14/12/21 13/12/22 12/12/23 17/12/24 09/12/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 28.1x 22.3x
PBR 3.71x 3.35x
EV / Sales 3x 2.6x
Yield 1.51% 1.81%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
5.430GBP
Average target price
6.167GBP
Spread / Average Target
+13.57%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CHG Stock
  4. Financials Chemring Group PLC
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