Projected Income Statement: Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 519 523 823 750 1,031 1,174 1,083 1,041
Change - 0.77% 57.36% -8.87% 37.47% 13.88% -7.75% -3.88%
Announcement Date 17/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 12/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 123.3 131 154.9 203.2 245.1 272.1 258.2 290.5
Change - 6.22% 18.29% 31.19% 20.59% 11.02% -5.09% 12.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 60.23 86.95 128.3 78.13 179.9 178.2 218 227.5
Change - 44.37% 47.55% -39.1% 130.28% -0.96% 22.34% 4.37%
Announcement Date 17/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 12/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.89% 22.6% 23.3% 23.15% 23.02% 23.17% 23.5% 23.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.49% 9.42% 8.3% 10.32% 9.02% 8.98% 9.53% 10.33%
EBT Margin (%) 6.53% 6.91% 2.93% 1.35% 0.71% 1.07% 3.19% 2.96%
Net margin (%) 4.62% 4.89% 2.01% 0.87% 0.43% 0.5% 2.11% 2.2%
FCF margin (%) 6.77% 8.01% 10.15% 5.02% 9.79% 8.59% 9.8% 9.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) 146.55% 163.82% 505.13% 577.19% 2,285.77% 1,727.29% 464.88% 431.37%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - 0.47% 2.47% 0.75% 1.84% -
ROE 11.79% 12.37% 6.81% 1.05% 5.17% 2.72% 5.73% 8.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.55x 2.13x 2.79x 2.08x 2.44x 2.44x 2.07x 1.82x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.61x 6.01x 6.41x 9.6x 5.73x 6.59x 4.97x 4.58x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.87% 12.07% 12.25% 13.05% 13.34% 13.12% 11.61% 12.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 60.57% 53.4% 52.58% 56.36% 57.97% 56.63% 49.42% 50.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 204.71% 150.61% 120.74% 260.12% 136.22% 152.7% 118.46% 127.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.801 4.415 4.571 5.227 5.884 5.901 6.453 -
Change - 16.16% 3.53% 14.35% 12.57% 0.29% 9.35% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 8.233 9.618 18.49 24.87 24.7 24.14 24.78 24.75
Change - 16.82% 92.2% 34.51% -0.67% -2.25% 2.64% -0.11%
EPS 1 0.8 1.03 0.46 0.23 0.12 0.1562 0.7522 0.7475
Change - 28.75% -55.34% -50% -47.83% 30.13% 381.73% -0.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,398 51,680 57,983 63,314 63,494 63,610 63,610 63,610
Announcement Date 17/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 12/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 618x 128x
PBR 4x 3.89x
EV / Sales 3.52x 3.25x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
96.46USD
Average target price
111.20USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  3. CWST Stock
  4. Financials Casella Waste Systems, Inc.