Projected Income Statement: Carlsberg A/S

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 19,162 19,326 22,351 27,357 61,617 56,508 52,550 48,987
Change - 0.86% 15.65% 22.4% 125.23% -8.29% -7% -6.78%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,221 4,018 4,243 4,668 4,924 6,525 6,407 6,475
Change - -4.81% 5.6% 10.02% 5.48% 32.52% -1.82% 1.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,876 9,884 4,878 9,794 -21,667 8,476 9,383 10,283
Change - 11.36% -50.65% 100.78% -321.23% 139.12% 10.7% 9.59%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.22% 22.28% 20.63% 21.04% 21.08% 21.42% 21.86% 22.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.3% 16.32% 15.09% 15.21% 14.99% 15.63% 16.05% 16.42%
EBT Margin (%) 15.35% 14.18% 13.36% 13.31% 10.16% 12.63% 13.57% 14.36%
Net margin (%) 10.27% -1.51% -55.43% 12.15% 6.68% 8.48% 9.12% 9.6%
FCF margin (%) 13.32% 14.07% 6.63% 13.06% -24.32% 9.13% 9.75% 10.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) 129.65% -929.82% -11.96% 107.44% -363.85% 107.71% 106.91% 107.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.66% -0.88% 6.54% 6.47% 5.67% 5.31% 5.88% 6.17%
ROE 16.68% 25.05% 26.93% 25.83% 24.73% 26.6% 25.27% 24.46%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.24x 1.23x 1.47x 1.73x 3.28x 2.84x 2.5x 2.21x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.16x 1.96x 4.58x 2.79x -2.84x 6.67x 5.6x 4.76x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.33% 5.72% 5.77% 6.22% 5.53% 7.03% 6.66% 6.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.28% 25.66% 27.95% 29.58% 26.21% 32.82% 30.47% 29.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.56% 40.65% 86.98% 47.66% -22.73% 76.98% 68.28% 62.96%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 91.89 92.36 85.06 85.29 94.06 101.6 109.4 120.8
Change - 0.52% -7.9% 0.27% 10.28% 8.04% 7.62% 10.49%
Dividend per Share 1 24 27 27 27 29 31.25 34.09 37.05
Change - 12.5% 0% 0% 7.41% 7.76% 9.07% 8.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 309.7 232.3 173.2 210.3 210.4 252.9 281.9 305.9
Change - -24.99% -25.42% 21.37% 0.05% 20.21% 11.47% 8.52%
EPS 1 47.4 -7.6 -299.7 68.7 45.1 60.72 67.38 74.39
Change - -116.03% -3,843.42% 122.92% -34.35% 34.64% 10.96% 10.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 141,892 137,341 134,114 132,079 132,079 132,172 132,172 132,172
Announcement Date 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1DKK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14x 12.6x
PBR 3.36x 3.01x
EV / Sales 1.89x 1.78x
Yield 3.68% 4.01%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
849.40DKK
Average target price
1,047.00DKK
Spread / Average Target
+23.26%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CARL B Stock
  4. Financials Carlsberg A/S