Projected Income Statement: Carlsberg A/S

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 19,162 19,326 22,351 27,357 61,617 57,688 53,297 49,516
Change - 0.86% 15.65% 22.4% 125.23% -6.38% -7.61% -7.09%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,221 4,018 4,243 4,668 4,924 6,463 6,219 6,476
Change - -4.81% 5.6% 10.02% 5.48% 31.26% -3.77% 4.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,876 9,884 4,878 9,794 -21,667 8,561 9,602 10,193
Change - 11.36% -50.65% 100.78% -321.23% 139.51% 12.16% 6.15%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.22% 22.28% 20.63% 21.04% 21.08% 21.44% 21.97% 22.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.3% 16.32% 15.09% 15.21% 14.99% 15.56% 16.07% 16.46%
EBT Margin (%) 15.35% 14.18% 13.36% 13.31% 10.16% 12.8% 13.68% 14.53%
Net margin (%) 10.27% -1.51% -55.43% 12.15% 6.68% 8.56% 9.27% 9.75%
FCF margin (%) 13.32% 14.07% 6.63% 13.06% -24.32% 9.22% 9.99% 10.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) 129.65% -929.82% -11.96% 107.44% -363.85% 107.71% 107.87% 104.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.66% -0.88% 6.54% 6.47% 5.67% 5.31% 5.87% 6.18%
ROE 16.68% 25.05% 26.93% 25.83% 24.73% 27.16% 26.26% 25.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.24x 1.23x 1.47x 1.73x 3.28x 2.9x 2.53x 2.22x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.16x 1.96x 4.58x 2.79x -2.84x 6.74x 5.55x 4.86x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.33% 5.72% 5.77% 6.22% 5.53% 6.96% 6.47% 6.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.28% 25.66% 27.95% 29.58% 26.21% 32.46% 29.47% 29.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.56% 40.65% 86.98% 47.66% -22.73% 75.49% 64.77% 63.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 91.89 92.36 85.06 85.29 94.06 99.37 107.9 120.8
Change - 0.52% -7.9% 0.27% 10.28% 5.64% 8.64% 11.91%
Dividend per Share 1 24 27 27 27 29 31.08 33.77 37.25
Change - 12.5% 0% 0% 7.41% 7.19% 8.63% 10.32%
Book Value Per Share 1 309.7 232.3 173.2 210.3 210.4 243.7 274.7 291.5
Change - -24.99% -25.42% 21.37% 0.05% 15.85% 12.72% 6.1%
EPS 1 47.4 -7.6 -299.7 68.7 45.1 60.67 67.92 74.78
Change - -116.03% -3,843.42% 122.92% -34.35% 34.52% 11.96% 10.1%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 141,892 137,341 134,114 132,079 132,079 132,172 132,172 132,172
Announcement Date 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1DKK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 16.4x 14.7x
PBR 4.09x 3.63x
EV / Sales 2.08x 1.96x
Yield 3.12% 3.39%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
997.00DKK
Average target price
1,042.18DKK
Spread / Average Target
+4.53%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CARL B Stock
  4. Financials Carlsberg A/S