Projected Income Statement: Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 20,058 19,200 22,030 21,884 23,004 23,155 22,734 20,439
Change - -4.28% 14.74% -0.66% 5.12% 0.66% -1.82% -10.1%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,532 1,557 2,468 2,825 3,102 2,666 2,761 2,777
Change - 1.63% 58.51% 14.47% 9.81% -14.07% 3.59% 0.57%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,156 2,585 1,669 2,444 2,207 3,682 4,119 4,464
Change - 19.9% -35.44% 46.43% -9.7% 66.85% 11.85% 8.39%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 50.24% 48.29% 51.17% 51.86% 51.8% 52.2% 53.54% 54.4%
EBIT Margin (%) 40.1% 38.61% 38.88% 38.79% 37.2% 39.94% 41.7% 43.19%
EBT Margin (%) 45.28% 47.03% -24.32% 32.81% 36.36% 36.53% 38.23% 39.76%
Net margin (%) 35.67% 39.9% 31.28% 25.56% 27.46% 27.16% 28.38% 28.11%
FCF margin (%) 26.97% 29.33% 13.29% 16.8% 14.64% 23.04% 24.29% 24.5%
FCF / Net Income (%) 75.6% 73.5% 42.5% 65.73% 53.3% 84.83% 85.62% 87.15%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.21% 4.96% 4.67% 7.01% 4.87% 5.17% 5.68% 5.9%
ROE 12.47% 9.68% 9.77% 8.32% 8.83% 9.59% 10.54% 11.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.99x 4.51x 3.43x 2.9x 2.95x 2.78x 2.5x 2.06x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.3x 7.43x 13.2x 8.95x 10.42x 6.29x 5.52x 4.58x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 19.16% 17.67% 19.66% 19.42% 20.57% 16.68% 16.29% 15.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.14% 36.58% 38.41% 37.45% 39.71% 31.95% 30.42% 28.01%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 71.06% 60.23% 147.87% 115.59% 140.55% 72.39% 67.04% 62.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.401 4.44 4.431 5.638 5.789 7.307 8.242 9.003
Change - -17.8% -0.21% 27.24% 2.68% 26.22% 12.8% 9.24%
Dividend per Share 1 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.874 0.9538 1.047 1.102
Change - 0% 0% 0% 15% 9.13% 9.78% 5.2%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.77 41.81 44.51 51.3 51.11 53.97 56.97 63.09
Change - -15.99% 6.46% 15.25% -0.38% 5.6% 5.55% 10.75%
EPS 1 4.18 3.77 4.21 3.98 4.51 4.972 5.739 6.395
Change - -9.81% 11.67% -5.46% 13.32% 10.24% 15.43% 11.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 929,573 930,124 931,895 933,345 900,831 897,304 897,304 897,304
Announcement Date 27/01/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 22.5x 19.5x
PBR 2.07x 1.96x
EV / Sales 7.72x 7.25x
Yield 0.85% 0.94%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
30
Last Close Price
111.65CAD
Average target price
122.90CAD
Spread / Average Target
+10.08%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CP Stock
  4. Financials Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited