Projected Income Statement: Bunzl plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Bunzl plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,826 1,730 1,750 2,366 2,406 2,176 1,963 1,784
Change - -5.26% 1.16% 35.2% 1.69% -9.57% -9.79% -9.12%
Announcement Date 28/02/22 27/02/23 26/02/24 03/03/25 02/03/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Bunzl plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 32.7 46.7 58.3 54.4 68.8 63.33 62.69 64.84
Change - 42.81% 24.84% -6.69% 26.47% -7.96% -1% 3.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 700.4 904.9 643.5 633.8 578.5 582.6 626.8 621
Change - 29.2% -28.89% -1.51% -8.73% 0.71% 7.58% -0.92%
Announcement Date 28/02/22 27/02/23 26/02/24 03/03/25 02/03/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Bunzl plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.98% 8.93% 9.76% 10.29% 9.82% 9.58% 9.61% 9.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.32% 7.36% 8% 8.29% 7.68% 7.51% 7.55% 7.57%
EBT Margin (%) 5.53% 5.27% 5.92% 5.72% 5.24% 5.14% 5.29% 5.48%
Net margin (%) 4.31% 3.94% 4.46% 4.25% 3.88% 3.8% 3.85% 4.02%
FCF margin (%) 6.81% 7.52% 5.45% 5.38% 4.88% 4.83% 5.08% 4.92%
FCF / Net Income (%) 158.18% 190.75% 122.29% 126.66% 125.98% 126.89% 131.91% 122.43%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.35% 6.01% - 5.48% 5.07% 5.71% 5.95% 5.77%
ROE 21.48% 19.27% 22.52% 17.38% 20.87% 19.86% 18.7% 17.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.98x 1.61x 1.52x 1.95x 2.07x 1.88x 1.65x 1.47x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.61x 1.91x 2.72x 3.73x 4.16x 3.74x 3.13x 2.87x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.32% 0.39% 0.49% 0.46% 0.58% 0.52% 0.51% 0.51%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.54% 4.34% 5.06% 4.49% 5.91% 5.47% 5.28% 5.34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4.67% 5.16% 9.06% 8.58% 11.89% 10.87% 10% 10.44%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.182 2.822 2.681 2.707 2.801 2.078 2.155 2.206
Change - 29.35% -5% 0.97% 3.46% -25.81% 3.69% 2.37%
Dividend per Share 1 0.57 0.627 0.683 0.739 0.741 0.7679 0.7982 0.8329
Change - 10% 8.93% 8.2% 0.27% 3.63% 3.95% 4.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.559 8.058 8.797 8.293 8.592 9.359 10.06 10.65
Change - 22.85% 9.17% -5.72% 3.6% 8.93% 7.53% 5.79%
EPS 1 1.318 1.407 1.56 1.487 1.409 1.427 1.542 1.565
Change - 6.75% 10.87% -4.68% -5.25% 1.25% 8.08% 1.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 334,442 335,835 335,749 328,953 322,290 321,015 321,015 321,015
Announcement Date 28/02/22 27/02/23 26/02/24 03/03/25 02/03/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 16.3x 15.1x
PBR 2.49x 2.32x
EV / Sales 0.8x 0.77x
Yield 3.29% 3.42%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
23.32GBP
Average target price
24.62GBP
Spread / Average Target
+5.57%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise