Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 13,538 5,507 333 11,166 9,120 13,947 15,986 17,107
Change - -59.32% -93.95% 3,253.15% -18.32% 52.93% 14.62% 7.01%
Announcement Date 17/08/20 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,640 6,606 5,855 6,733 8,816 10,159 10,398 10,254
Change - -13.53% -11.37% 15% 30.94% 15.23% 2.36% -1.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,066 20,114 25,215 11,968 11,849 6,477 6,597 6,204
Change - 149.37% 25.36% -52.54% -0.99% -45.34% 1.85% -5.96%
Announcement Date 17/08/20 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.41% 61.46% 62.42% 51.95% 52.13% 50.92% 51.66% 51.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 36.98% 49.81% 52.84% 42.4% 42.46% 39.8% 39.9% 38.03%
EBT Margin (%) 31.47% 40.45% 50.9% 39.77% 28.83% 36.52% 36.55% 36.37%
Net margin (%) 18.53% 18.59% 47.47% 24.01% 14.19% 19.69% 21.09% 21.08%
FCF margin (%) 18.79% 33.07% 38.73% 22.24% 21.29% 12.8% 13.36% 12.83%
FCF / Net Income (%) 101.38% 177.94% 81.6% 92.62% 150.04% 65.02% 63.33% 60.87%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.81% 15.91% 30.28% 13.15% 13.41% 12.11% 12.04% 10.63%
ROE 19.03% 31.69% 49.5% 28.89% 30.59% 22.15% 20.96% 18.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.61x 0.15x 0.01x 0.4x 0.31x 0.54x 0.63x 0.69x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.68x 0.27x 0.01x 0.93x 0.77x 2.15x 2.42x 2.76x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.8% 10.86% 8.99% 12.51% 15.84% 20.08% 21.05% 21.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.62% 17.67% 14.41% 24.08% 30.38% 39.43% 40.75% 41.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 94.72% 32.84% 23.22% 56.26% 74.4% 156.84% 157.62% 165.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.098 5.374 5.775 3.686 4.07 3.451 3.408 3.59
Change - 73.43% 7.47% -36.17% 10.41% -15.21% -1.24% 5.34%
Dividend per Share 1 1.2 3.01 3.25 1.7 1.46 1.035 1.055 1.035
Change - 150.83% 7.97% -47.69% -14.12% -29.13% 1.97% -1.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.479 10.14 8.882 8.786 8.838 9.342 10.19 11.13
Change - 6.94% -12.38% -1.09% 0.59% 5.7% 9.1% 9.23%
EPS 1 1.57 2.235 6.093 2.547 1.555 2.001 2.058 2.007
Change - 42.36% 172.62% -58.2% -38.95% 28.7% 2.82% -2.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,056,735 5,057,690 5,061,151 5,064,466 5,069,816 5,075,992 5,075,992 5,075,992
Announcement Date 17/08/20 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12.9x 12.6x
PBR 2.77x 2.54x
EV / Sales 2.87x 2.98x
Yield 4% 4.08%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
25.87USD
Average target price
27.14USD
Spread / Average Target
+4.90%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BHP Stock
  4. Financials BHP Group Limited