Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 5,507 333 11,166 9,120 12,924 11,726 12,228 11,098
Change - -93.95% 3,253.15% -18.32% 41.71% -9.27% 4.28% -9.24%
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 6,606 5,855 6,733 8,816 9,398 10,606 10,849 10,225
Change - -11.37% 15% 30.94% 6.6% 12.85% 2.29% -5.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 20,114 25,215 11,968 11,849 9,294 10,853 10,903 11,344
Change - 25.36% -52.54% -0.99% -21.56% 16.77% 0.46% 4.05%
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 61.46% 62.42% 51.95% 52.13% 50.72% 56.14% 54.92% 53.99%
EBIT Margin (%) 49.81% 52.84% 42.4% 42.46% 39.48% 46% 43.72% 42.14%
EBT Margin (%) 40.45% 50.9% 39.77% 28.83% 35.8% 43.55% 40.85% 39.67%
Net margin (%) 18.59% 47.47% 24.01% 14.19% 17.59% 22.29% 23.55% 23.22%
FCF margin (%) 33.07% 38.73% 22.24% 21.29% 18.13% 19.17% 19.92% 20.91%
FCF / Net Income (%) 177.94% 81.6% 92.62% 150.04% 103.05% 86% 84.59% 90.03%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.91% 30.28% 13.15% 13.41% 9.62% 11.86% 10.95% 10.23%
ROE 31.69% 49.5% 28.89% 30.59% 21.97% 25.34% 21.78% 19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.15x 0.01x 0.4x 0.31x 0.5x 0.37x 0.41x 0.38x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.27x 0.01x 0.93x 0.77x 1.39x 1.08x 1.12x 0.98x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.86% 8.99% 12.51% 15.84% 18.33% 18.73% 19.82% 18.84%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.67% 14.41% 24.08% 30.38% 36.15% 33.37% 36.08% 34.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 32.84% 23.22% 56.26% 74.4% 101.12% 97.73% 99.51% 90.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.374 5.775 3.686 4.07 3.677 4.206 4.546 4.386
Change - 7.47% -36.17% 10.41% -9.65% 14.37% 8.08% -3.53%
Dividend per Share 1 3.01 3.25 1.7 1.46 1.1 1.452 1.379 1.226
Change - 7.97% -47.69% -14.12% -24.66% 32.04% -5.04% -11.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.14 8.882 8.786 8.838 9.392 11.03 12.1 13.15
Change - -12.38% -1.09% 0.59% 6.26% 17.46% 9.66% 8.72%
EPS 1 2.235 6.093 2.547 1.555 1.774 2.607 2.699 2.615
Change - 172.62% -58.2% -38.95% 14.08% 46.96% 3.55% -3.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,057,690 5,061,151 5,064,466 5,069,816 5,075,992 5,077,908 5,077,908 5,077,908
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.2x 13.7x
PBR 3.35x 3.06x
EV / Sales 3.52x 3.65x
Yield 3.93% 3.73%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
36.96USD
Average target price
36.44USD
Spread / Average Target
-1.40%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BHP Stock
  4. Financials BHP Group Limited