Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 5,507 333 11,166 9,120 12,924 10,071 11,044 10,230
Change - -93.95% 3,253.15% -18.32% 41.71% -22.08% 9.66% -7.37%
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 6,606 5,855 6,733 8,816 9,398 10,569 10,867 10,147
Change - -11.37% 15% 30.94% 6.6% 12.46% 2.82% -6.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 20,114 25,215 11,968 11,849 9,294 10,580 10,832 12,060
Change - 25.36% -52.54% -0.99% -21.56% 13.84% 2.39% 11.34%
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 61.46% 62.42% 51.95% 52.13% 50.72% 55.87% 54.81% 53.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 49.81% 52.84% 42.4% 42.46% 39.48% 45.42% 43.42% 41.83%
EBT Margin (%) 40.45% 50.9% 39.77% 28.83% 35.8% 42.8% 40.85% 39.28%
Net margin (%) 18.59% 47.47% 24.01% 14.19% 17.59% 21.93% 23.2% 22.88%
FCF margin (%) 33.07% 38.73% 22.24% 21.29% 18.13% 18.64% 19.34% 21.78%
FCF / Net Income (%) 177.94% 81.6% 92.62% 150.04% 103.05% 85.01% 83.35% 95.23%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.91% 30.28% 13.15% 13.41% 9.62% 10.49% 10.11% 9.59%
ROE 31.69% 49.5% 28.89% 30.59% 21.97% 24.57% 22.27% 19.49%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.15x 0.01x 0.4x 0.31x 0.5x 0.32x 0.36x 0.34x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.27x 0.01x 0.93x 0.77x 1.39x 0.95x 1.02x 0.85x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.86% 8.99% 12.51% 15.84% 18.33% 18.62% 19.4% 18.33%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.67% 14.41% 24.08% 30.38% 36.15% 33.33% 35.4% 34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 32.84% 23.22% 56.26% 74.4% 101.12% 99.9% 100.32% 84.13%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.374 5.775 3.686 4.07 3.677 4.226 4.616 4.422
Change - 7.47% -36.17% 10.41% -9.65% 14.91% 9.24% -4.21%
Dividend per Share 1 3.01 3.25 1.7 1.46 1.1 1.497 1.484 1.386
Change - 7.97% -47.69% -14.12% -24.66% 36.06% -0.83% -6.65%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.14 8.882 8.786 8.838 9.392 10.78 11.81 12.81
Change - -12.38% -1.09% 0.59% 6.26% 14.81% 9.49% 8.53%
EPS 1 2.235 6.093 2.547 1.555 1.774 2.521 2.75 2.622
Change - 172.62% -58.2% -38.95% 14.08% 42.12% 9.08% -4.65%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,057,690 5,061,151 5,064,466 5,069,816 5,075,992 5,080,690 5,080,690 5,080,690
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 17.8x 16.3x
PBR 4.16x 3.8x
EV / Sales 4.19x 4.26x
Yield 3.34% 3.31%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
44.83USD
Average target price
38.99USD
Spread / Average Target
-13.02%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BHP Stock
  4. Financials BHP Group Limited