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Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
Fiscal Period: June | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 42,931 | 60,817 | 65,098 | 53,817 | 55,658 | 50,593 | 49,391 | 48,345 |
Change | - | 41.66% | 7.04% | -17.33% | 3.42% | -9.1% | -2.38% | -2.12% |
EBITDA 1 | 22,071 | 37,379 | 40,634 | 27,956 | 29,016 | 25,761 | 25,516 | 24,892 |
Change | - | 69.36% | 8.71% | -31.2% | 3.79% | -11.22% | -0.95% | -2.45% |
EBIT 1 | 15,874 | 30,291 | 34,400 | 22,820 | 23,631 | 20,136 | 19,708 | 18,387 |
Change | - | 90.82% | 13.57% | -33.66% | 3.55% | -14.79% | -2.12% | -6.7% |
Interest Paid 1 | -911 | -1,305 | -969 | -1,531 | -1,489 | -1,100 | -1,406 | -1,440 |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 13,510 | 24,601 | 33,137 | 21,401 | 16,048 | 18,475 | 18,050 | 17,582 |
Change | - | 82.09% | 34.7% | -35.42% | -25.01% | 15.13% | -2.3% | -2.59% |
Net income 1 | 7,956 | 11,304 | 30,900 | 12,921 | 7,897 | 9,962 | 10,418 | 10,191 |
Change | - | 42.08% | 173.35% | -58.18% | -38.88% | 26.15% | 4.58% | -2.17% |
Announcement Date | 17/08/20 | 17/08/21 | 15/08/22 | 21/08/23 | 26/08/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited
Fiscal Period: June | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | 13,538 | 5,507 | 333 | 11,166 | 9,120 | 13,947 | 15,986 | 17,107 |
Change | - | -59.32% | -93.95% | 3,253.15% | -18.32% | 52.93% | 14.62% | 7.01% |
Announcement Date | 17/08/20 | 17/08/21 | 15/08/22 | 21/08/23 | 26/08/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited
Fiscal Period: June | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAPEX 1 | 7,640 | 6,606 | 5,855 | 6,733 | 8,816 | 10,159 | 10,398 | 10,254 |
Change | - | -13.53% | -11.37% | 15% | 30.94% | 15.23% | 2.36% | -1.39% |
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 8,066 | 20,114 | 25,215 | 11,968 | 11,849 | 6,477 | 6,597 | 6,204 |
Change | - | 149.37% | 25.36% | -52.54% | -0.99% | -45.34% | 1.85% | -5.96% |
Announcement Date | 17/08/20 | 17/08/21 | 15/08/22 | 21/08/23 | 26/08/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited
Fiscal Period: June | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
EBITDA Margin (%) | 51.41% | 61.46% | 62.42% | 51.95% | 52.13% | 50.92% | 51.66% | 51.49% |
EBIT Margin (%) | 36.98% | 49.81% | 52.84% | 42.4% | 42.46% | 39.8% | 39.9% | 38.03% |
EBT Margin (%) | 31.47% | 40.45% | 50.9% | 39.77% | 28.83% | 36.52% | 36.55% | 36.37% |
Net margin (%) | 18.53% | 18.59% | 47.47% | 24.01% | 14.19% | 19.69% | 21.09% | 21.08% |
FCF margin (%) | 18.79% | 33.07% | 38.73% | 22.24% | 21.29% | 12.8% | 13.36% | 12.83% |
FCF / Net Income (%) | 101.38% | 177.94% | 81.6% | 92.62% | 150.04% | 65.02% | 63.33% | 60.87% |
Profitability | ||||||||
ROA | 8.81% | 15.91% | 30.28% | 13.15% | 13.41% | 12.11% | 12.04% | 10.63% |
ROE | 19.03% | 31.69% | 49.5% | 28.89% | 30.59% | 22.15% | 20.96% | 18.26% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.61x | 0.15x | 0.01x | 0.4x | 0.31x | 0.54x | 0.63x | 0.69x |
Debt / Free cash flow | 1.68x | 0.27x | 0.01x | 0.93x | 0.77x | 2.15x | 2.42x | 2.76x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 17.8% | 10.86% | 8.99% | 12.51% | 15.84% | 20.08% | 21.05% | 21.21% |
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 34.62% | 17.67% | 14.41% | 24.08% | 30.38% | 39.43% | 40.75% | 41.19% |
CAPEX / FCF (%) | 94.72% | 32.84% | 23.22% | 56.26% | 74.4% | 156.84% | 157.62% | 165.29% |
Items per share | ||||||||
Cash flow per share 1 | 3.098 | 5.374 | 5.775 | 3.686 | 4.07 | 3.451 | 3.408 | 3.59 |
Change | - | 73.43% | 7.47% | -36.17% | 10.41% | -15.21% | -1.24% | 5.34% |
Dividend per Share 1 | 1.2 | 3.01 | 3.25 | 1.7 | 1.46 | 1.035 | 1.055 | 1.035 |
Change | - | 150.83% | 7.97% | -47.69% | -14.12% | -29.13% | 1.97% | -1.85% |
Book Value Per Share 1 | 9.479 | 10.14 | 8.882 | 8.786 | 8.838 | 9.342 | 10.19 | 11.13 |
Change | - | 6.94% | -12.38% | -1.09% | 0.59% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.23% |
EPS 1 | 1.57 | 2.235 | 6.093 | 2.547 | 1.555 | 2.001 | 2.058 | 2.007 |
Change | - | 42.36% | 172.62% | -58.2% | -38.95% | 28.7% | 2.82% | -2.47% |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 5,056,735 | 5,057,690 | 5,061,151 | 5,064,466 | 5,069,816 | 5,075,992 | 5,075,992 | 5,075,992 |
Announcement Date | 17/08/20 | 17/08/21 | 15/08/22 | 21/08/23 | 26/08/24 | - | - | - |
1USD
Estimates
2025 * | 2026 * | |
---|---|---|
P/E ratio | 12.9x | 12.6x |
PBR | 2.77x | 2.54x |
EV / Sales | 2.87x | 2.98x |
Yield | 4% | 4.08% |
More valuation ratios
* Estimated data
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Sell
Buy

Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
25.87USD
Average target price
27.14USD
Spread / Average Target
+4.90%
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- BHP Stock
- Financials BHP Group Limited
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