Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: Juni 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 13,538 5,507 333 11,166 9,120 8,079 8,704 8,876
Change - -59.32% -93.95% 3,253.15% -18.32% -11.41% 7.74% 1.98%
Announcement Date 17/08/20 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: Juni 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,640 6,606 5,855 6,733 8,816 9,530 9,737 9,267
Change - -13.53% -11.37% 15% 30.94% 8.1% 2.17% -4.83%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,066 20,114 25,215 11,968 11,849 10,718 9,601 8,391
Change - 149.37% 25.36% -52.54% -0.99% -9.55% -10.42% -12.6%
Announcement Date 17/08/20 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: Juni 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.41% 61.46% 62.42% 51.95% 52.13% 54.55% 54.12% 51.81%
EBIT Margin (%) 36.98% 49.81% 52.84% 42.4% 42.46% 43.65% 42.38% 39.29%
EBT Margin (%) 31.47% 40.45% 50.9% 39.77% 28.83% 41.36% 39.66% 37.1%
Net margin (%) 18.53% 18.59% 47.47% 24.01% 14.19% 24.05% 24.38% 22.29%
FCF margin (%) 18.79% 33.07% 38.73% 22.24% 21.29% 20.06% 18.54% 17%
FCF / Net Income (%) 101.38% 177.94% 81.6% 92.62% 150.04% 83.42% 76.04% 76.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.81% 15.91% 30.28% 13.15% 13.41% 13.37% 12.98% 11.14%
ROE 19.03% 31.69% 49.5% 28.89% 30.59% 27.08% 23.52% 21.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.61x 0.15x 0.01x 0.4x 0.31x 0.28x 0.31x 0.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.68x 0.27x 0.01x 0.93x 0.77x 0.75x 0.91x 1.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.8% 10.86% 8.99% 12.51% 15.84% 17.84% 18.8% 18.77%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.62% 17.67% 14.41% 24.08% 30.38% 32.71% 34.74% 36.23%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 94.72% 32.84% 23.22% 56.26% 74.4% 88.92% 101.41% 110.44%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.098 5.374 5.775 3.686 4.07 4.294 3.902 3.824
Change - 73.43% 7.47% -36.17% 10.41% 5.49% -9.13% -2%
Dividend per Share 1 1.2 3.01 3.25 1.7 1.46 1.397 1.31 1.195
Change - 150.83% 7.97% -47.69% -14.12% -4.28% -6.28% -8.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.479 10.14 8.882 8.786 8.838 9.925 10.5 11.54
Change - 6.94% -12.38% -1.09% 0.59% 12.3% 5.76% 9.96%
EPS 1 1.57 2.235 6.093 2.547 1.555 2.623 2.392 2.16
Change - 42.36% 172.62% -58.2% -38.95% 68.65% -8.79% -9.69%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,056,735 5,057,690 5,061,151 5,064,466 5,069,816 5,072,340 5,072,340 5,072,340
Announcement Date 17/08/20 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 9.97x 10.9x
PBR 2.63x 2.49x
EV / Sales 2.63x 2.73x
Yield 5.35% 5.01%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
26.14USD
Average target price
31.06USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.81%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BHP Stock
  4. Financials BHP Group Limited
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