AVIVA PLC |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 463.8 GBX | +1.16% |
|
+0.89% | +6.69% |
| 04-24 | Watchstone sees annual loss widen amid mounting legal costs | AN |
| 04-24 | Transcript : Aviva plc - Shareholder/Analyst Call |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 16,416 | 12,770 | 15,436 | 12,392 | 11,822 | 12,456 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 5,931 | 5,554 | 15,436 | 12,392 | 11,822 | 12,456 | 12,456 | 12,456 |
| P/E ratio | 6.56 x | 4.63 x | 8.19 x | -11.6 x | 11.7 x | 11 x | 9.66 x | 9.03 x |
| Yield | 2.27% | 6.46% | 5.37% | 7% | 7.68% | 7.76% | 8.28% | 9.03% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.36 x | 0.27 x | 0.33 x | 0.36 x | - | 0.29 x | 0.29 x | 0.38 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.36 x | 0.27 x | 0.33 x | 0.36 x | - | 0.29 x | 0.29 x | 0.38 x |
| EV / EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EV / FCF | - | -4.59 x | -5.24 x | 0.78 x | 8.12 x | 9.84 x | 8.63 x | - |
| FCF Yield | - | -21.8% | -19.1% | 128% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | - |
| Price to Book | 0.93 x | 0.65 x | 0.83 x | 1.1 x | 1.28 x | 1.4 x | 1.34 x | 1.34 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,979,681 | 2,984,348 | 2,858,603 | 2,798,521 | 2,719,498 | 2,685,692 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 5.509 | 4.279 | 5.400 | 4.428 | 4.347 | 4.638 | 4.638 | 4.638 |
| Announcement Date | 05/03/20 | 04/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 07/03/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 45,665 | 46,569 | 46,202 | 34,451 | - | 42,615 | 43,036 | 32,859 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | 4,319 | 3,166 | 2,768 | 2,683 | 1,946 | 1,709 | 1,874 | 1,962 |
| Operating Margin | 9.46% | 6.8% | 5.99% | 7.79% | - | 4.01% | 4.35% | 5.97% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 3,374 | 3,474 | 2,329 | -1,605 | 1,690 | 1,553 | 1,755 | 1,856 |
| Net income 1 | 2,548 | 2,754 | 1,966 | -1,160 | 1,085 | 1,164 | 1,314 | 1,414 |
| Net margin | 5.58% | 5.91% | 4.26% | -3.37% | - | 2.73% | 3.05% | 4.3% |
| EPS 2 | 0.8395 | 0.9237 | 0.6592 | -0.3820 | 0.3720 | 0.4217 | 0.4800 | 0.5138 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -2,781 | -2,944 | 15,867 | 1,455 | 1,266 | 1,444 | - |
| FCF margin | - | -5.97% | -6.37% | 46.06% | - | 2.97% | 3.36% | - |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | 134.1% | 108.74% | 109.85% | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.1250 | 0.2763 | 0.2901 | 0.3100 | 0.3340 | 0.3598 | 0.3842 | 0.4188 |
| Announcement Date | 05/03/20 | 04/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 07/03/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2021 S2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 S2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 S2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales | 24,374 | 22,735 | 23,467 | - | 17,039 | - | - |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT | - | 1,010 | - | 829 | 1,844 | 715 | - |
| Operating Margin | - | 4.44% | - | - | 10.82% | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | - | - | - | - | - | 496 | - |
| Net income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net margin | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS | - | -0.0816 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 0.0967 | - | 0.1030 | 0.2070 | 0.1110 | 0.2230 |
| Announcement Date | 05/03/20 | 12/08/21 | 02/03/22 | 10/08/22 | 09/03/23 | 16/08/23 | 07/03/24 |
1GBP
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position | 10,485 | 7,216 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -2,781 | -2,944 | 15,867 | 1,455 | 1,266 | 1,444 | - |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 14.5% | 11.3% | 6.53% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 0.57% | 0.45% | 0.3% | 0.55% | 0.34% | 0.38% | 0.41% | 0.42% |
| Assets 1 | 444,755 | 613,090 | 650,993 | -209,084 | 319,212 | 304,376 | 324,166 | 334,669 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 5.950 | 6.560 | 6.500 | 4.030 | 3.390 | 3.310 | 3.450 | 3.460 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 1.990 | -0.8900 | -0.9700 | 5.080 | -0.9800 | 0.5100 | 0.5400 | - |
| Capex 1 | - | 97 | 86 | - | 350 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
| Capex / Sales | - | 0.21% | 0.19% | - | - | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.05% |
| Announcement Date | 05/03/20 | 04/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 07/03/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
4.638
GBP
Average target price
5.052
GBP
Spread / Average Target
+8.93%
EPS Revisions
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.69% | 15.52B | |
| +6.49% | 50.92B | |
| +1.35% | 48.11B | |
| +9.53% | 42.2B | |
| +6.55% | 39.71B | |
| +19.34% | 37.78B | |
| +2.84% | 30.07B | |
| -7.77% | 27.56B | |
| -18.42% | 24.71B | |
| +6.89% | 21.99B |
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- Financials Aviva plc
