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Market Closed -
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 675.60 GBX | -0.15% |
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+1.05% | +44.11% |
| 10-31 | Aviva plc dissolves stake in Tristel as of October 30 vs prior stake of 4.89% | RE |
| 10-31 | Fitch Affirms Aviva Ratings on Very Strong Company Profile | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Aviva plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 46,569 | 46,202 | 34,451 | 37,546 | 44,962 | 43,592 | 45,729 | 47,970 |
| Change | - | -0.79% | -25.43% | 8.98% | 19.75% | -3.05% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | 3,166 | 2,768 | 2,683 | 1,946 | 2,258 | 2,265 | 2,589 | 2,794 |
| Change | - | -12.57% | -3.07% | -27.47% | 16.03% | 0.3% | 14.29% | 7.95% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -553 | -503 | -470 | -247 | -273 | -336.7 | -348 | -349.3 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 3,474 | 2,329 | -1,605 | 1,690 | 1,267 | 2,095 | 2,291 | 2,466 |
| Change | - | -32.96% | -168.91% | 205.3% | -25.03% | 65.31% | 9.38% | 7.66% |
| Net income 1 | 2,754 | 1,966 | -1,160 | 1,085 | 683 | 1,494 | 1,690 | 1,851 |
| Change | - | -28.61% | -159% | 193.53% | -37.05% | 118.78% | 13.11% | 9.5% |
| Announcement Date | 04/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 07/03/24 | 27/02/25 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: Aviva plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | -7,216 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 04/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 07/03/24 | 27/02/25 | - | - | - |
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: Aviva plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 97 | 86 | - | 350 | 50 | 172 | 178 | 184 |
| Change | - | -11.34% | - | - | -85.71% | 244% | 3.49% | 3.37% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -2,781 | -2,944 | 15,867 | 1,455 | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | -5.86% | 638.96% | -90.83% | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 04/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 07/03/24 | 27/02/25 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: Aviva plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | |||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT Margin (%) | - | 6.8% | 5.99% | 7.79% | 5.18% | 5.02% | 5.2% | 5.66% | 5.83% |
| EBT Margin (%) | - | 7.46% | 5.04% | -4.66% | 4.5% | 2.82% | 4.8% | 5.01% | 5.14% |
| Net margin (%) | - | 5.91% | 4.26% | -3.37% | 2.89% | 1.52% | 3.43% | 3.7% | 3.86% |
| FCF margin (%) | - | -5.97% | -6.37% | 46.06% | 3.88% | - | - | - | - |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | - | -100.98% | -149.75% | -1,367.84% | 134.1% | - | - | - | - |
Profitability | |||||||||
| ROA | - | 0.45% | 0.3% | 0.55% | 0.34% | 0.2% | 0.41% | 0.44% | 0.42% |
| ROE | - | 11.33% | 6.53% | 11.76% | 11.31% | 7.77% | 16.2% | 15.82% | 16.92% |
Financial Health | |||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | |||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | - | 0.21% | 0.19% | - | 0.93% | 0.11% | 0.39% | 0.39% | 0.38% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | - | -3.49% | -2.92% | - | 24.05% | - | - | - | - |
Items per share | |||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | - | -0.8947 | -0.967 | 5.081 | -0.9838 | 3.109 | 0.4972 | 0.4778 | - |
| Change | - | - | -8.07% | 625.45% | -119.36% | 416.06% | -84.01% | -3.9% | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 0.2763 | 0.2901 | 0.31 | 0.334 | 0.357 | 0.3862 | 0.4146 | 0.4467 |
| Change | - | - | 5% | 6.85% | 7.74% | 6.89% | 8.19% | 7.34% | 7.75% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | - | 6.555 | 6.497 | 4.026 | 3.389 | 3.101 | 3.179 | 3.301 | 3.489 |
| Change | - | - | -0.89% | -38.03% | -15.83% | -8.49% | 2.52% | 3.83% | 5.7% |
| EPS 1 | - | 0.9237 | 0.6592 | -0.382 | 0.372 | 0.236 | 0.4992 | 0.5534 | 0.6237 |
| Change | - | - | -28.63% | -157.95% | 197.38% | -36.56% | 111.53% | 10.85% | 12.71% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | - | 2,984,348 | 2,858,603 | 2,798,521 | 2,719,498 | 2,656,456 | 3,039,060 | 3,039,060 | 3,039,060 |
| Announcement Date | - | 04/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 07/03/24 | 27/02/25 | - | - | - |
1GBP
Estimates
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 13.5x | 12.2x |
| PBR | 2.12x | 2.05x |
| EV / Sales | 0.47x | 0.45x |
| Yield | 5.72% | 6.14% |
More valuation ratios
* Estimated data
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
6.756GBP
Average target price
6.837GBP
Spread / Average Target
+1.20%
Annual profits - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- AV. Stock
- Financials Aviva plc
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