Projected Income Statement: ASOS Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -200 153 320 297 185 178 116 67.6
Change - 176.5% 109.15% -7.19% -37.71% -3.63% -34.83% -41.72%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 157.1 182.9 177.9 133.5 85.9 90.88 95.28 96.56
Change - 16.42% -2.73% -24.96% -35.66% 5.8% 4.84% 1.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 58 -303.3 -161.5 94.5 14.1 -17.44 43.86 33.82
Change - -622.93% 46.75% 158.51% -85.08% -223.69% 351.46% -22.89%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.33% 3.56% 3.51% 2.76% 5.31% 7.38% 7.82% 8.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.28% 1.12% -0.82% -2.8% -1.3% 0.1% 0.85% 1.45%
EBT Margin (%) 4.53% -0.81% -8.36% -13.05% -11.36% -1.75% -1.96% -1.16%
Net margin (%) 3.28% -0.78% -6.29% -11.66% -12.04% -1.02% -1.49% -0.89%
FCF margin (%) 1.48% -7.7% -4.55% 3.25% 0.57% -0.78% 1.93% 1.46%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.17% 984.74% 72.39% -27.9% -4.73% 76.06% -129.86% -164.08%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.76% 0.72% -1.88% -5.04% -4.86% -5.46% -1.5% -0.64%
ROE 15.22% 2.07% -5.62% -17.78% -26.14% -27.65% -11.26% -5.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.09x 2.57x 3.71x 1.4x 1.07x 0.65x 0.36x
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.5x -1.98x 3.14x 13.1x -10.19x 2.64x 2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.02% 4.65% 5.01% 4.59% 3.47% 4.04% 4.2% 4.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.25% 130.64% 142.89% 166.67% 65.27% 54.78% 53.74% 51.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 270.86% -60.3% -110.15% 141.27% 609.22% -521.09% 217.27% 285.53%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.025 -1.208 0.1566 1.915 1.334 0.9331 1.299 1.216
Change - -159.63% 112.97% 1,122.61% -30.34% -30.04% 39.19% -6.34%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.38 10.18 8.276 4.375 1.78 1.989 1.886 2.243
Change - -1.95% -18.71% -47.14% -59.3% 11.68% -5.17% 18.95%
EPS 1 1.255 -0.309 -2.13 -2.844 -2.501 -0.1928 -0.2826 -0.174
Change - -124.62% -589.32% -33.52% 12.06% 92.29% -46.61% 38.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 99,592 99,704 119,008 119,106 119,347 119,720 119,720 119,720
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -26.4x -18x
PBR 2.55x 2.69x
EV / Sales 0.35x 0.32x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
5.080GBP
Average target price
4.491GBP
Spread / Average Target
-11.60%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise