Projected Income Statement: Asahi Kasei Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Asahi Kasei Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 441,997 532,574 723,567 617,453 801,578 792,387 733,976 675,172
Change - 20.49% 35.86% -14.67% 29.82% -1.15% -7.37% -8.01%
Announcement Date 13/05/21 13/05/22 10/05/23 09/05/24 09/05/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Asahi Kasei Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 153,656 167,009 174,873 183,712 211,026 256,025 235,423 241,900
Change - 8.69% 4.71% 5.05% 14.87% 21.32% -8.05% 2.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 100,020 -37,748 -122,780 152,702 90,463 96,711 141,137 146,282
Change - -137.74% -225.26% 224.37% -40.76% 6.91% 45.94% 3.65%
Announcement Date 13/05/21 13/05/22 10/05/23 09/05/24 09/05/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Asahi Kasei Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.3% 14.25% 11.19% 11.6% 13.1% 13.71% 13.72% 14.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.16% 8.23% 4.71% 5.05% 6.98% 7.39% 7.98% 8.32%
EBT Margin (%) 7.16% 8.74% -2.27% 1.04% 6.41% 6.66% 7.5% 7.95%
Net margin (%) 3.79% 6.58% -3.35% 1.57% 4.44% 4.52% 5.12% 5.37%
FCF margin (%) 4.75% -1.53% -4.5% 5.48% 2.98% 3.14% 4.4% 4.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) 125.34% -23.32% 134.46% 348.59% 67.01% 69.42% 86.06% 81.51%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.23% 6.77% 3.57% 2.53% 5.04% 4.45% 4.94% 5.3%
ROE 5.6% 10.3% -5.5% 2.5% 7.4% 7.37% 8.34% 8.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.58x 1.52x 2.37x 1.91x 2.01x 1.88x 1.67x 1.44x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.42x -14.11x -5.89x 4.04x 8.86x 8.19x 5.2x 4.62x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.3% 6.79% 6.41% 6.6% 6.95% 8.32% 7.34% 7.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.84% 47.61% 57.33% 56.89% 53.02% 60.68% 53.54% 51.58%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 153.63% -442.43% -142.43% 120.31% 233.27% 264.73% 166.8% 165.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 135.6 203 34.35 141.7 209.3 213.8 263.5 274.2
Change - 49.7% -83.08% 312.49% 47.71% 2.17% 23.21% 4.06%
Dividend per Share 1 34 34 36 36 38 40.5 44.36 47.1
Change - 0% 5.88% 0% 5.56% 6.58% 9.54% 6.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,058 1,216 1,198 1,308 1,369 1,409 1,516 1,604
Change - 15.01% -1.48% 9.17% 4.66% 2.91% 7.58% 5.81%
EPS 1 57.49 116.7 -65.84 31.6 97.94 102.9 122 134
Change - 102.96% -156.43% 148% 209.94% 5.08% 18.5% 9.87%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,387,539 1,387,294 1,386,070 1,386,174 1,359,123 1,356,443 1,356,443 1,356,443
Announcement Date 13/05/21 13/05/22 10/05/23 09/05/24 09/05/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 16.9x 14.2x
PBR 1.23x 1.14x
EV / Sales 1.02x 0.96x
Yield 2.33% 2.56%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
1,735.50JPY
Average target price
1,596.67JPY
Spread / Average Target
-8.00%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 3407 Stock
  4. Financials Asahi Kasei Corporation