Anglo American

Accelerating value delivery

Tuesday 14 May 2024

Anglo American - Accelerating value delivery

Refer to cautionary statement and quantified financial benefits statement in presentation slides: https://www.angloamerican.com/~/media/Files/A/Anglo-American-Group-v5/PLC/investors/reports/anglo-american-accelerating-value-delivery-presentation.pdf.

Accelerating value delivery

Duncan Wanblad, Chief Executive

Slide 1: Accelerating value delivery

Good morning and many thanks for joining us on what I believe is a really significant day in the future of Anglo American. I'm Duncan Wanblad, the Chief Executive of Anglo American and I'm joined by John Heasley, our Finance Director.

There are two things that are very clear to me - the first is the enormous inherent value in this company - in its assets, its capabilities, its networks and its people across the world.

It's also clear that to unlock the true potential of this company we need profound change. Consistent with our purpose we need to re-imagine Anglo American.

Therefore, today I'm setting out the detail of a comprehensive change agenda.

The new Anglo American will be truly fit for the future and our shareholders can enjoy the full benefit of every step we take:

  • value realisation from portfolio change
  • value delivery from a step change in efficiency and operational excellence
  • value transparency with two high quality businesses in copper and iron ore, in addition to Woodsmith - all of which have game-changing growth potential.

Slide 2: Cautionary statement

Slide 3: Cautionary statement (continued)

Slide 4: Accelerating the delivery of our strategy

Today is the culmination of many months of work on our strategic priorities of operational excellence, portfolio simplification and growth that we talked to in some detail back in February.

Operational excellence has been our priority and we have reset many of the mine plans across the business and we are now seeing a noticeable improvement in safety and performance stability.

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We have also seen the benefits of our changes to organisational design which removed areas of role overlap and unnecessary layers, enhancing agility and accountability. The effectiveness of that initiative gives us real confidence in the benefits of a more transformational approach and our ability to deliver it. A more focused business will create even more accountability and greater performance transparency while still being able to leverage the benefits of the technical excellence, innovation and industry leading sustainability performance that we have built in recent years.

In that context, as we went through the asset review process we concluded that the right approach is to execute a radical change agenda. I will come back to talk through the design principles of the new portfolio but the conclusion is that we will focus on seven high quality assets in three commodities - copper, premium iron ore and crop nutrients. Steelmaking Coal, Anglo American Platinum and De Beers will be divested or otherwise separated from the group in the right structure to maximise value.

All of the businesses have outstanding growth potential and will be well placed to deliver into structurally attractive demand growth trends - notably, energy transition, the rise in living standards and food security.

Slide 5: A compelling value proposition for our shareholders

This re-imagination of Anglo American has been very thoughtful about how each area of the business is best able to thrive for the next generation. The new business has a really powerful investment case.

The Anglo American value proposition has always been asset-led and that will continue to be the case. The new portfolio is much more focused - three commodities, five production assets and two great greenfield opportunities housed in a simpler structure. The main focus of the group will be its world class copper portfolio alongside a premium quality iron ore business and the long term potential of Woodsmith. That combination of commodity mix, asset quality and growth potential makes this one of the most attractive ways for investors globally to have exposure to future-enabling products.

In addition to the proven production base, the new Anglo American will be a rare thing - a major mining company that has embedded, value-accretive growth potential in every commodity vertical. We have already talked to our growth pathway in copper which has a defined pathway to reach a million tonnes per annum. In addition, through the combination of Minas-Rio with the adjacent Serpentina deposit we now have the potential to double production of high value DRI-grade iron ore at Minas-Rio and optimise the use of our combined infrastructure. We will also continue to hold Woodsmith, which we will progress to feasibility study as we continue to explore partnering options.

One of the persistent concerns about Anglo American in the past has been the variance in financial performance, but with an EBITDA margin that is almost 50% higher under the new portfolio there will be a transformation in resilience. That can give investors confidence in sustainable returns alongside firm foundations to deliver the growth potential of the Group.

This change, however, isn't simply about shifting the same pieces into a different configuration. Instead, by simplifying the business there is real economic value creation. We have confidence in delivering a $1.7 billion reduction in our costs in the future in conjunction with these portfolio changes. I also believe that the step change in accountability and

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Anglo American - Accelerating value delivery

performance transparency will be really important in delivering against our first strategic priority - operational excellence.

Finally, I am very confident that we have a clear pathway to deliver - we have the recent track record in delivering organisational change and we have delivered many portfolio changes over the years. Indeed, I previously spent a few years spending most of my time creating value for Anglo American by restructuring the non-core portfolio.

More importantly as we move forward, we stand as one of the only major mining companies that have successfully delivered a tier 1 greenfield copper mine on time and on budget. We have leading sustainability credentials and well-established networks and longstanding reputation as a responsible mining company across the regions that are likely to see most of the major development opportunities for the next generation.

Therefore, this really is an exciting, next generation mining company. We will have a strategic flexibility open to few others in the industry.

Slide 6: Clear design principles to define future portfolio

So, how did we get here?

As we've been going through the asset review process and thinking about portfolio simplification and improvement initiatives we have approached it with three clear design principles.

First and foremost, asset quality remains paramount. The focus is on the best assets, and we consider these in the context of the markets in which they operate.

Secondly, we need to make sure that the portfolio as a whole has a strong industrial logic, so that each asset and portfolio can deliver the full value potential. There are three key elements to that. Firstly, we need the organisational capabilities, particularly when it comes to technical and sustainability. Secondly, we need to think about efficiency and there's a balance here, too small and it risks compromising the ability to have the capabilities but as you get larger and more complex it can compromise costs, accountability and agility. Finally, capital allocation priorities need to be clear, with balance sheet capacity and cash flow to fund investment and returns. It is on the basis of these three elements that we define clear portfolio roles for each asset and manage them accordingly.

If the first two elements can create the ideal portfolio on paper, the focus is on how you deliver that end state and how that translates to shareholder value. There are three components to that assessment - firstly, will the assets' potential get full value recognition from the market; secondly, what's the cost and risk of getting from status quo to that end state and do those costs justify the change; and finally, how does this set us up for future strategic flexibility.

It's a combination of these three principles that have led to the decisions we are announcing today which deliver well against all of those criteria.

Firstly, without exception these are high quality assets that produce products with the most attractive long term fundamentals.

Secondly, the portfolio has a scale, coherence and quality to deliver its full potential. To translate that into practical terms, we will have the team that built Quellaveco able to

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continue to deliver the future growth potential of Sakatti and Minas-Rio and Woodsmith and we will have the balance sheet to make them a reality. In a much simpler portfolio, we will make the most of the opportunity for real value creation in simplifying the organisation, while retaining critical capabilities required to deliver future growth in a responsible and sustainable way. The $0.8 billion of cost outs that we are announcing today gives you a sense of the economic reality but this is not about what we are cutting, this is about what we are creating - we are creating a more dynamic, less bureaucratic organisation with a really exciting future. That is the message that I would want all of our stakeholders to take away from this.

Finally, the portfolio has the key characteristics to enable much better shareholder value recognition - it's simple yet it retains scale, it's well focused yet has a good balance of diversification across countries and assets; the underlying commodity exposure is uniformly attractive and the new Anglo American should have significantly enhanced strategic flexibility going forward. There will be costs incurred but we are confident that the enhanced value delivery significantly outweighs those costs. By implementing these changes ourselves, we can make sure that they are implemented in the right way and at the right time to maximise shareholder value. On the whole, we believe that shareholder value is maximised by getting to the end state as quickly as we can, but, to be very clear, we are not a forced seller of any asset here so in every decision we will safeguard shareholder value.

The strategic and commercial logic for the changes we are making is clear but I would also like to clarify what this is not - and this is not a vote of no confidence in the businesses that will be exiting. This is not a comment on the quality of those business but a recognition that the best way for them to thrive is through alternative ownership.

Slide 7: Unlocking value from Anglo American Platinum

In particular, I would like to pro-actively address the question as to why we decided to separate Anglo American Platinum. As we look at the three design principles Anglo Plats delivers strongly on the first two, it has great assets with the ability to deliver value through the cycle and could definitely play an accretive role in the Anglo American portfolio, particularly with the outstanding potential of an asset like Mogalakwena. The PGM industry can generate high returns over time but particularly for those with the best assets, especially for leading producers such as Anglo Plats. In summary, there is undoubtedly a very strong upside potential, both asset and market-driven, for Anglo American Platinum.

However, it became increasingly clear that if we have Anglo American Platinum in the portfolio going forward we risk not getting the full value of either element of the portfolio fully reflected by the market. That, in turn, will undermine the ability of both Anglo American and Anglo American Platinum to achieve their full potential.

Without the PGMs business, the portfolio and structure of Anglo American are much simpler, the portfolio has great balance across geographies and importantly there is less complexity in capital allocation going forward. Anglo American Platinum standalone can set its own priorities to deliver its full potential and through the separation Anglo American shareholders will be able to participate in that. In short, the PGM business is a great business and we still have full confidence in its future, but from a market's perspective it's worth more apart from Anglo American.

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Anglo American - Accelerating value delivery

I should also be very clear we believe that value delivery in the separation of Anglo Plats is much better delivered by Anglo American rather than as part of the BHP takeover proposal. The Anglo American team has separated a number of other businesses including the demergers of Mondi and Thungela. These were complex but delivered successfully over time. If, however, we try to execute the takeover at the same time as two demergers it's a step change in risk and associated value implications. It involves trying to get all the approvals on an inter-conditional basis at the same time. Any regulatory process comes with risk and if structured as proposed by BHP the risk falls disproportionately to Anglo American shareholders.

There's a follow on question about why we decided to keep Kumba.

The key point to come back to is that portfolio decisions are not just a question of asset quality it's also how the portfolio dynamics work as a whole. That's looking at having appropriate balance, capabilities and financial capacity to deliver the strategy in a portfolio where the market will attribute full value to the component parts.

The key concern is that with both Anglo Platinum and Kumba in the structure there are two extra listed entities that together create complexity and raise concerns about the balance in the portfolio. However, to be clear, these are both great assets in a jurisdiction that we continue to have high confidence operating in. Therefore, it makes no sense to remove both. In terms of fit with the existing business given our commitment to premium iron ore and the synergies across that business there's a clear logic to keeping Kumba.

Slide 8: A simplified portfolio daylights value of world class assets in future-enabling products

What jumps off the page at you in the new Anglo American is just how simple it will be - copper and premium quality iron ore with the growth potential of Woodsmith.

In terms of the portfolio design principles that I've covered just now these emphatically tick the boxes in terms of high quality assets and exposure to attractive demand trends and I'll unpack the next layer of the investment case later in the presentation.

Slide 9: Material improvement in metrics while maintaining diversification

Although the portfolio will be much simpler, it retains great balance whether looked at through a commodity, asset or geographical diversification lens with no greater than 30% exposure to any single country or asset.

There will also be greater financial resilience in the step change in margin, which creates confidence in much improved through the cycle performance which will be enhanced by the lower costs that we have discussed.

The Group will also have the scale required to ensure efficient cost of capital, effective supply chain and ability to sustain its technical capabilities and bring the investment in innovation to account.

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Slide 10: Anglo American shareholders to capture full value from portfolio changes

As I said it is our intention to move tothe portfolio end state as soon as we can, while safeguarding shareholder value. Practically speaking I believe that this will be substantively achieved by the end of 2025.

The principles of all these portfolio changes is to put them in the right hands to deliver the best value outcome over time - all stakeholders benefit from that. I would reiterate that we retain confidence in all these assets and it's a shame that we don't have the time today to talk in more detail about some of the strengths of our great businesses such as Steelmaking Coal.

However, today's priority is the pathway forward, so to give you some more clarity on our intentions across the business…

Firstly, on Steelmaking Coal the intention is to divest the business. The proceeds would be used to reset the balance sheet.

In the Nickel business urgent action is already being taken to limit the impact of short term market pressure on cash flow and, in parallel, we are exploring care and maintenance and potential divestment options.

I have already talked about the rationale for our decision on Anglo American Platinum and we intend to implement that strategic separation in a way that both optimises value for Anglo American and Anglo Plats shareholders. We will also work to ensure that the separation is implemented in a responsible way, with due regard for ensuring Anglo American Platinum's ongoing positive stakeholder impact. The intention is for separation to enable Anglo American shareholders to gain direct participation in strong PGM fundamentals and Anglo American Platinum's leading competitive and market positions and set up the business for long term success in the interest of all its stakeholders.

For De Beers, having made significant progress towards finalising the sales agreement with the Government of the Republic of Botswana, Anglo American is now exploring the full range of options to separate the business in order to set it up for success in unlocking full value from its new Origins strategy, its world-class assets and its iconic brand. This will give both Anglo American and De Beers a new level of strategic flexibility to maximise value for both company's shareholders.

Slide 11: Proven capabilities to deliver sustainable value & growth

Over time, Anglo American has built competencies to operate successfully in complex geographies and become a recognised leader in sustainability in mining. We remain absolutely committed to our sustainability ambition as we believe it is a pre-requisite for sustainable value creation, both in terms of accessing and developing new mining resources and operating the assets. This is why sustainability is fully embedded into our strategy, from day-to-day operational decisions to portfolio choices.

Given our history and heritage, we are particularly differentiated from sector peers on social performance and socio-economic development. We have been on a journey from a historic philanthropic or operational footprint role to becoming a catalyst for broader regional development in both developing and developed markets.

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Anglo American - Accelerating value delivery

Our success in developing Quellaveco, the progress at Woodsmith and Sakatti and successful permitting of the Los Bronces Integrated Project are examples of our ability to deploy our sustainability competence, technical skills and reputation to unlock growth, at the time when many world-class resources, in particular in copper, remain stranded because of community and environmental constraints.

I have no doubt that the mining industry - and the world in general - is a better place for having Anglo American in it as a leader driving forward the sustainability agenda. We have demonstrated how it is possible to create genuine alignment between sustainability and profitability; thus, harnessing the power of the market to drive change. This is something that will always be at the very heart of the Anglo American way of doing business.

Copper

Slide 13: A leading global copper business

When I talked about the inherent value of the portfolio not being reflected in the market value, one of the areas that is most often referenced is the value of our copper business.

There's no doubt it's an outstanding business - well proven, world class assets; brownfield and greenfield growth to exploit outstanding endowments and it's hard to argue against the assertion that the value hasn't been fully reflected in our share price.

In a much simpler portfolio, we will now have that value transparency going forward and there will also be the capabilities and the cash flow to support our growth ambitions in the copper portfolio.

Slide 14: A proven portfolio with well-defined growth potential

Very few mining companies are lucky enough to have exposure to even one of the world's great copper deposits…at Anglo American we have three of them.

That's three of the most important sources of arguably the most important metal for the most important industrial transition of our generation, namely the decarbonisation of the global economy.

Whatever path that decarbonisation takes, whichever technology emerges as the champion, in whatever application you care to mention, the one certainty is that it will be enabled by copper.

These assets have outstanding geological potential with brownfield opportunities to exploit that potential as well as additional growth from our greenfield Sakatti project. There is no question we have the resources but importantly we also have the capabilities to deliver their full potential.

One of the highlights of my career was being part of the team that built Quellaveco. We needed to rethink how mining companies should behave in order to have the license to develop assets in sensitive sociopolitical and natural environments. It was that re-

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imagination of the development process that enabled us to build Quellaveco during Covid and to do so on time and on budget for the benefit of all our stakeholders.

Slide 15: Three world-class mines in South America

The term "tier 1" gets thrown around a lot in our industry, but it is undoubtedly the case for each of our mines.

When trying to get a sense of the quality of these three assets, it is worth remembering that the average copper mine produces ~37kt of copper a year and the average reserves of a mine are just over 600kt, not the millions of tonnes that you see here.

I am fortunate to have worked for my entire life in the mining industry, across commodities and geographies and I believe that this is some of the most attractive mining real estate on the planet. I'm not surprised that it's sought after by others!

Slide 16: Quellaveco: Highly prospective copper near-asset Exploration Targets1,2,3 enabling multi-decade production growth

I have touched on the point about geological potential and quality, but what does that really mean? Well it means something like what we have at Quellaveco.

At Quellaveco we are just beginning to understand the full potential of this asset with new drilling planned to start this year. We have declared reserves which are just a tiny fraction of what we know to exist at the mine. As you can see from the slide, this orebody is open at depth, providing an Exploration Target of between 5 to 11Bt at 0.4-0.6% Copper. Or put another way, it has Ore Reserves of 8Mt of copper, additional Mineral Resources of 8Mt and a further Exploration Target upside of 59Mt of copper. Los Bronces has even greater potential - with more drilling at that asset also planned over the coming decade.

These are extraordinary numbers, staggering. But it is this that creates the optionality and growth potential that I am so excited about and which underpins the value of deposits like these.

The truly great copper mines, the genuinely "tier 1" deposits all share one thing in common, which is the ability to continually replenish themselves and to produce not just for decade but centuries…it is Tier 1 deposits like Quellaveco, Los Bronces and Collahuasi that are the only real annuities in the economy.

We've been mining at Los Bronces for 135 years and there is significant potential for many, many decades to come.

1. Further detail including the Competent Persons Statement is available at: https://www.angloamerican.com/~/media/Files/A/Anglo-American-Group-v5/PLC/investors/reports/quellaveco-depth-extension-exploration-target-report.pdf

  1. Exploration Target ranges are exclusive of Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves quoted as of 31 December 2023.
  2. Exploration Target estimated ranges based on Anglo American's Endowment Modelling Framework combining existing drilling, mapping and other methods including geophysical data.

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Slide 17: Anglo American has both valuable copper growth options & capabilities needed to deliver them

The value of these Tier 1 mines is all the more significant when you think of it in an industry context.

Over recent decades there has been a continuous step up in capital intensity to bring new copper production online. In addition to inflationary pressure and supply chain disruption there are structural elements underpinning this increase, in particular longer permitting processes and higher regulatory standards. If anything, these challenges are continuing to increase.

Therefore, as demand for copper increases the cost of the new supply almost inevitably must increase in the face of these structural trends. That is likely to lead to a significant increase in the value of long term producing assets like Quellaveco, Los Bronces and Collahuasi.

Furthermore, the cost of bringing the brownfield expansions online from our assets should be significantly lower than those for new greenfield projects, and so the growth potential of brownfield expansions in our assets will also be more value accretive.

It's also important to note that one of the key constraints to growth in copper is not capital, geology or technology - it's sustainability. The top 20 undeveloped copper resources today remain sterilised because of sustainability-related constraints, in particular communities and water, which, as we have seen in Quellaveco, are often interlinked. Therefore there should be increasing value not only for our assets, but also our capabilities.

Slide 18: Pathway to >1Mtpa of copper production: well-sequenced growth options supporting multi-decade production

So what is our plan? While we are fully aware of the future potential of our world-class assets, we are very much grounded in the day-to-day reality of actually delivering this potential.

In the near term that means achieving our mine plans and I have already spoken about what we are doing about that at some length in February and I'm pleased to see those plans starting to work well.

In parallel, we are absolutely focused on how we deliver the growth. We have a well sequenced, self-funded pathway to over 1Mtpa of copper output. We also remain open to exploring the potential for synergies from adjacencies at both Los Bronces and Collahuasi.

This growth will take time and it has to be done in the right way…this is what I learnt from the mistakes that were made in developing Minas-Rio and how we benefitted from these learnings at Quellaveco. And now, in the new Anglo American, we have the correct, simplified organisational structure that will ensure that we are laser focused on the delivery of this growth.

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Anglo American plc published this content on 14 May 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 14 May 2024 13:51:03 UTC.