Projected Income Statement: Anglo American plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Anglo American plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,916 6,918 10,615 10,623 8,571 8,913 8,167 6,795
Change - 76.66% 53.44% 0.08% -19.32% 3.99% -8.37% -16.8%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 20/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Anglo American plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,732 6,191 5,876 5,532 3,340 3,592 3,437 3,243
Change - 8.01% -5.09% -5.85% -39.62% 7.56% -4.33% -5.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,991 3,574 620 2,571 2,171 2,945 2,302 2,766
Change - -67.48% -82.65% 314.68% -15.56% 35.67% -21.86% 20.16%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 20/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Anglo American plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 49.66% 41.28% 32.49% 31% 34.6% 38.49% 42.71% 44.67%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.81% 34.07% 23.39% 18.37% 21.76% 26.14% 30.22% 30.59%
EBT Margin (%) 42.42% 26.99% 11.73% -3.39% 4.76% 22.73% 25.41% 25.25%
Net margin (%) 20.6% 12.85% 0.92% -11.24% -20.17% 8.95% 12.56% 13.56%
FCF margin (%) 26.45% 10.18% 2.02% 9.42% 11.71% 13.86% 10.63% 12.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.37% 79.18% 219.08% -83.8% -58.03% 154.74% 84.6% 93.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.32% 6.77% 4.38% 2.95% 1.01% 2.62% 3.47% 3.99%
ROE 31.92% 16.36% 11.2% 8.46% 3.15% 9.26% 12.7% 12.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.19x 0.48x 1.07x 1.26x 1.34x 1.09x 0.88x 0.7x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.36x 1.94x 17.12x 4.13x 3.95x 3.03x 3.55x 2.46x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.79% 17.63% 19.17% 20.27% 18.01% 16.9% 15.87% 14.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.78% 42.71% 59.01% 65.39% 52.05% 43.91% 37.17% 33.4%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.15% 173.22% 947.74% 215.17% 153.85% 121.97% 149.33% 117.24%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 15.18 9.043 6.046 7.591 4.873 5.119 6.144 5.908
Change - -40.42% -33.15% 25.56% -35.81% 5.05% 20.02% -3.84%
Dividend per Share 1 4.757 2.248 1.09 0.7267 0.23 0.9226 0.9068 0.9753
Change - -52.74% -51.52% -33.33% -68.35% 301.13% -1.71% 7.55%
Book Value Per Share 1 25.56 25.57 23.32 19.45 15.89 17.18 19 20.61
Change - 0.03% -8.79% -16.6% -18.28% 8.12% 10.6% 8.43%
EPS 1 7.868 4.178 0.2612 -2.873 -3.3 1.718 2.449 2.582
Change - -46.9% -93.75% -1,199.98% -14.88% 152.07% 42.54% 5.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,072,107 1,069,338 1,068,292 1,068,676 1,068,676 1,071,488 1,071,488 1,071,488
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 20/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 30.6x 21.5x
PBR 3.06x 2.77x
EV / Sales 3.07x 2.98x
Yield 1.75% 1.72%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
52.65USD
Average target price
48.65USD
Spread / Average Target
-7.58%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. AAL Stock
  4. Financials Anglo American plc