Projected Income Statement: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 52,560 55,561 37,382 32,923 25,910 -675 -22,705 -46,442
Change - 5.71% -32.72% -11.93% -21.3% -102.61% -3,263.7% -104.55%
Announcement Date 22/03/22 21/03/23 27/03/24 26/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,093 4,664 6,709 10,360 8,980 16,516 14,220 13,650
Change - 326.6% 43.85% 54.41% -13.32% 83.93% -13.9% -4.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 27,213 23,142 20,149 22,447 25,113 29,566 32,099 46,824
Change - -14.96% -12.93% 11.41% 11.87% 17.74% 8.57% 45.88%
Announcement Date 22/03/22 21/03/23 27/03/24 26/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.19% 9.32% 12.59% 15.29% 16.06% 19.78% 23.71% 20.87%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.16% 5.63% 7.84% 10.16% 11.4% 19.85% 18.13% 22.24%
EBT Margin (%) 3.77% 4.54% 6.7% 9.42% 10.72% 16.8% 17.1% 17.09%
Net margin (%) 1.88% 1.44% 2.98% 5.23% 5.26% 8.22% 8.25% 8.6%
FCF margin (%) 10.09% 7.95% 8.95% 9.47% 10.41% 11.19% 16.55% 17.96%
FCF / Net Income (%) 535.74% 552.06% 299.98% 181.02% 198.14% 136.23% 200.52% 208.7%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.62% - 3.17% 5.8% 5.72% 11.9% 8.09% 10.75%
ROE 9.09% 6.9% 11.7% 19.11% 17.64% 26.08% 21.52% 18.56%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.71x 2.05x 1.32x 0.91x 0.67x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.93x 2.4x 1.86x 1.47x 1.03x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.41% 1.6% 2.98% 4.37% 3.72% 6.25% 5.51% 5.23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 5.64% 17.2% 23.67% 28.58% 23.19% 25.26% 23.23% 20.03%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4.02% 20.15% 33.3% 46.15% 35.76% 55.86% 44.3% 29.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.658 - 1.559 1.925 - 2.759 2.692 2.583
Change - - - 23.42% - - -2.45% -4.03%
Dividend per Share 1 0.032 - 0.08 0.217 0.27 0.5788 0.5528 0.5962
Change - - - 171.25% 24.42% 114.37% -4.49% 7.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.364 - 3.523 4.059 - 5.531 6.553 8.058
Change - - - 15.22% - - 18.48% 22.96%
EPS 1 0.286 0.239 0.39 0.722 0.739 1.265 1.209 1.187
Change - -16.43% 63.18% 85.13% 2.35% 71.19% -4.44% -1.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 17,022,673 17,161,592 17,161,592 17,156,499 17,155,632 17,154,971 17,154,971 17,154,971
Announcement Date 22/03/22 21/03/23 27/03/24 26/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 8.42x 8.81x
PBR 1.93x 1.63x
EV / Sales 0.76x 0.7x
Yield 5.43% 5.19%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
10.66CNY
Average target price
13.39CNY
Spread / Average Target
+25.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 2600 Stock
  4. Financials Aluminum Corporation of China Limited