Projected Income Statement: Valneva

Forecast Balance Sheet: Valneva

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -151 -289 -191 82.7 48 87.9 132 113
Change - -91.39% 33.91% 143.3% -41.96% 82.96% 50.17% -14.39%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 03/02/22 23/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Valneva

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 18.94 92.23 29.25 14.23 13.86 10.84 11.05 11.66
Change - 387.06% -68.29% -51.34% -2.57% -21.83% 1.95% 5.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 118.3 -16.27 -274.7 -217 -81.08 -70.44 -48.07 41.66
Change - -113.76% -1,588.17% 21% 62.63% 13.13% 31.75% 186.67%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 03/02/22 23/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Valneva

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -40.98% -13.53% -19.15% -42.44% 19.41% -28.61% -13.1% 25.29%
EBIT Margin (%) -49.97% -17.64% -31.4% -53.4% 7.86% -38.86% -23.76% 19.45%
EBT Margin (%) -59.2% -20.1% -40.08% -64.16% -6.77% -46.64% -28.07% 24.49%
Net margin (%) -58.39% -21.09% -39.66% -65.99% -7.22% -48.75% -29.94% 20.28%
FCF margin (%) 107.22% -4.67% -76.02% -141.16% -47.81% -41.54% -26.09% 12.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) -183.64% 22.17% 191.7% 213.92% 662.06% 85.22% 87.13% 59.46%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE -60.58% -59.21% -73.41% -58.29% -7.91% -56.56% -24.71% 49.84%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - -1.27x 1.46x -1.81x -5.49x 1.29x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - -0.38x -0.59x -1.25x -2.76x 2.71x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.17% 26.49% 8.09% 9.26% 8.18% 6.39% 6% 3.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -41.89% -195.82% -42.26% -21.81% 42.12% -22.34% -45.78% 13.35%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.01% -566.87% -10.65% -6.56% -17.1% -15.39% -22.99% 28%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.953 - -0.8586 - -0.4613 -0.1545 -0.00672 0.2303
Change - - - - - 66.51% 95.65% 3,527.08%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 1 2
Change - - - - - - - 100%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.8526 1.623 - 0.9251 1.116 0.7685 0.5337 0.9382
Change - 90.35% - - 20.65% -31.15% -30.55% 75.78%
EPS 1 -0.71 -0.75 -1.24 -0.73 -0.08 -0.5022 -0.3052 0.4022
Change - -5.63% -65.33% 41.13% 89.04% -527.79% 39.24% 231.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 90,958 105,078 138,355 138,788 162,397 173,753 173,753 173,753
Announcement Date 25/02/21 03/02/22 23/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio -8.02x -13.2x
PBR 5.24x 7.55x
EV / Sales 4.65x 4.52x
Yield - 24.8%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
4.028EUR
Average target price
6.992EUR
Spread / Average Target
+73.58%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise