Stock UPM UPM-KYMMENE OYJ
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Financials UPM-Kymmene Oyj

Equities

UPM

FI0009005987

Paper Products

Market Closed - Nasdaq Helsinki
Other stock markets
 16:29:30 30/04/2024 BST 		After market 21:00:00
32.92 EUR -0.42% Intraday chart for UPM-Kymmene Oyj 32.79 -0.39%
04-26 UPM-KYMMENE : Strong Q1 smashes the profit consensus Alphavalue
04-25 Transcript : UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Q1 2024 Earnings Call, Apr 25, 2024

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 16,485 16,250 17,845 18,629 18,165 17,557 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 16,032 16,306 18,492 21,003 20,597 19,801 19,440 18,817
P/E ratio 15.5 x 29 x 13.9 x 12.2 x 46.7 x 14.7 x 11.8 x 11.6 x
Yield 4.21% 4.27% 3.89% 4.29% 4.4% 4.57% 4.85% 4.94%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.61 x 1.89 x 1.82 x 1.59 x 1.74 x 1.62 x 1.54 x 1.5 x
EV / Revenue 1.57 x 1.9 x 1.88 x 1.79 x 1.97 x 1.82 x 1.71 x 1.61 x
EV / EBITDA 8.66 x 11.3 x 10.2 x 8.28 x 13.1 x 9.26 x 7.76 x 7.05 x
EV / FCF 10.9 x 87.2 x -102 x -23.6 x 16.6 x 16 x 13.6 x 11.9 x
FCF Yield 9.16% 1.15% -0.98% -4.24% 6.03% 6.27% 7.33% 8.42%
Price to Book 1.64 x 1.74 x 1.65 x 1.49 x 1.63 x 1.5 x 1.43 x 1.39 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 533,324 533,324 533,324 533,324 533,324 533,324 - -
Reference price 2 30.91 30.47 33.46 34.93 34.06 33.06 33.06 33.06
Announcement Date 30/01/20 28/01/21 27/01/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 10,238 8,580 9,814 11,720 10,460 10,866 11,388 11,685
EBITDA 1 1,851 1,442 1,821 2,536 1,573 2,137 2,505 2,669
EBIT 1 1,404 948 1,471 2,096 1,013 1,388 1,781 1,985
Operating Margin 13.71% 11.05% 14.99% 17.88% 9.68% 12.77% 15.64% 16.99%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,307 737 1,548 1,944 464 1,481 1,896 2,031
Net income 1 1,061 560 1,286 1,526 388 1,026 1,345 1,448
Net margin 10.36% 6.53% 13.1% 13.02% 3.71% 9.44% 11.81% 12.4%
EPS 2 1.990 1.050 2.410 2.860 0.7300 2.243 2.794 2.862
Free Cash Flow 1 1,469 187 -182 -890 1,243 1,241 1,424 1,584
FCF margin 14.35% 2.18% -1.85% -7.59% 11.88% 11.42% 12.51% 13.56%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 79.36% 12.97% - - 79.02% 58.05% 56.85% 59.37%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 138.45% 33.39% - - 320.36% 120.92% 105.93% 109.39%
Dividend per Share 2 1.300 1.300 1.300 1.500 1.500 1.510 1.603 1.633
Announcement Date 30/01/20 28/01/21 27/01/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 S1 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 S1 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 S2 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 2,673 2,507 2,562 - 3,420 3,231 2,787 2,558 2,584 2,531 2,640 2,556 - 2,823 2,876 - - -
EBITDA 1 470 377 506 - 894 759 477 255 376 465 489 386.5 - 544.7 673 - 704 691
EBIT 1 461 277 387 664 779 653 356 114 220 323 333 239.2 580 386 447.8 965 549 536
Operating Margin 17.25% 11.05% 15.11% - 22.78% 20.21% 12.77% 4.46% 8.51% 12.76% 12.61% 9.36% - 13.67% 15.57% - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 420 179 361 - 766 638 239 96 -52 180 332 206 - 344.5 485.3 - 539 526
Net income 1 334 133 283 - 611 498 183 77 -26 160 272 145.6 - 269.4 338.8 - - -
Net margin 12.5% 5.31% 11.05% - 17.87% 15.41% 6.57% 3.01% -1.01% 6.32% 10.3% 5.7% - 9.54% 11.78% - - -
EPS 2 0.6300 0.2500 0.5300 - 1.150 0.9300 0.3300 0.1500 -0.0500 0.3000 0.5100 0.2722 - 0.5029 0.6366 - - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - 1.299 - - 1.500 - - - - - 1.550 - - - - - 1.500
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/04/22 21/07/22 21/07/22 13/10/22 02/02/23 25/04/23 25/07/23 24/10/23 01/02/24 25/04/24 - - - - - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - 56 647 2,374 2,432 2,244 1,883 1,260
Net Cash position 1 453 - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.0388 x 0.3553 x 0.9361 x 1.546 x 1.05 x 0.7517 x 0.4722 x
Free Cash Flow 1 1,469 187 -182 -890 1,243 1,241 1,424 1,585
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 10.7% 5.8% 12.7% 13% 3.2% 10% 12.4% 11.9%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 7.47% 4.93% 7.27% 8.26% 3.68% 6.78% 8.45% 7.23%
Assets 1 14,198 11,361 17,683 18,465 10,537 15,142 15,919 20,040
Book Value Per Share 2 18.90 17.50 20.30 23.40 20.90 22.00 23.10 23.80
Cash Flow per Share 2 3.460 1.890 2.340 0.9500 4.250 3.320 4.160 4.010
Capex 1 378 818 1,432 1,398 1,026 550 554 521
Capex / Sales 3.69% 9.53% 14.59% 11.93% 9.81% 5.06% 4.87% 4.46%
Announcement Date 30/01/20 28/01/21 27/01/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for UPM-Kymmene Oyj

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
33.06 EUR
Average target price
35.49 EUR
Spread / Average Target
+7.36%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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Other Paper Products
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