Projected Income Statement: Universal Robina Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -9,150 -1,489 4,329 1,066 5,815 6,612 9,223 348
Change - 83.73% 390.73% -75.38% 445.5% 13.7% 39.49% -96.23%
Announcement Date 31/03/22 03/04/23 16/04/24 17/03/25 13/03/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 13,200 9,135 10,215 5,977 6,383 8,485 8,727 9,091
Change - -30.79% 11.83% -41.49% 6.81% 32.92% 2.86% 4.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 266.8 2,216 3,067 14,298 4,890 6,946 9,385 9,859
Change - 730.6% 38.41% 366.16% -65.8% 42.04% 35.11% 5.05%
Announcement Date 31/03/22 03/04/23 16/04/24 17/03/25 13/03/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.8% 14.35% 15% 13.36% 13.11% 13.86% 13.28% 13.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.87% 10.14% 10.96% 10.29% 9.55% 9.71% 9.93% 10.14%
EBT Margin (%) 12.44% 11.66% 9.9% 9.59% 8.5% 8.78% 9.24% 9.39%
Net margin (%) 19.94% 9.31% 7.63% 7.06% 6.46% 6.63% 7.18% 7.09%
FCF margin (%) 0.23% 1.48% 1.94% 8.83% 2.91% 3.94% 5.1% 5.15%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1.14% 15.88% 25.37% 125.08% 45.05% 59.44% 70.99% 72.54%

Profitability

        
ROA 16% 9% 7% 6.76% 6.43% 7.24% 7.07% 7.37%
ROE 22% 12% 11% 10.11% 9.54% 9.33% 10.14% 10.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.18x 0.05x 0.26x 0.27x 0.38x 0.01x
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.41x 0.07x 1.19x 0.95x 0.98x 0.04x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.29% 6.09% 6.45% 3.69% 3.8% 4.82% 4.74% 4.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 71.43% 42.46% 43% 27.64% 28.97% 34.77% 35.7% 35.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4,947.55% 412.23% 333.05% 41.8% 130.53% 122.16% 92.99% 92.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.111 5.194 4.643 8.85 5.27 7.957 9 9.404
Change - -15% -10.6% 90.59% -40.46% 50.99% 13.11% 4.5%
Dividend per Share 1 3.45 3.45 4 3.8 - 4.3 4.261 4.416
Change - 0% 15.94% -5% - - -0.91% 3.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.71 52.95 54.09 55.79 57.96 59.12 60.52 62.19
Change - 6.52% 2.15% 3.14% 3.89% 2.01% 2.37% 2.75%
EPS 1 10.58 6.39 5.55 5.39 4.77 5.482 5.996 6.302
Change - -39.6% -13.15% -2.88% -11.5% 14.92% 9.39% 5.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,200,983 2,178,508 2,177,423 2,149,197 2,137,894 2,133,002 2,133,002 2,133,002
Announcement Date 31/03/22 03/04/23 16/04/24 17/03/25 13/03/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.1x 10.2x
PBR 1.03x 1.01x
EV / Sales 0.78x 0.76x
Yield 7.04% 6.97%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
61.10PHP
Average target price
75.40PHP
Spread / Average Target
+23.40%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. URC Stock
  4. UVRBY Stock
  5. Financials Universal Robina Corporation