Financials Universal Music Group N.V. Wiener Boerse

Equities

UMG

NL0015000IY2

Entertainment Production

End-of-day quote Wiener Boerse 23:00:00 27/06/2024 BST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
28.22 EUR -0.04% Intraday chart for Universal Music Group N.V. +0.89% +9.21%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 44,935 40,812 47,011 50,262 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 46,945 42,622 48,700 51,753 50,916 49,915
P/E ratio 50.6 x 52.3 x 38 x 37 x 30.8 x 27.1 x
Yield 1.61% 2.27% 1.98% 1.97% 2.21% 2.39%
Capitalization / Revenue 5.28 x 3.95 x 4.23 x 4.26 x 3.97 x 3.71 x
EV / Revenue 5.52 x 4.12 x 4.38 x 4.39 x 4.02 x 3.69 x
EV / EBITDA 26.3 x 20 x 20.6 x 19.5 x 17.1 x 15.1 x
EV / FCF 43.5 x 26 x 27.6 x 36.2 x 29.1 x 25 x
FCF Yield 2.3% 3.85% 3.62% 2.76% 3.44% 4%
Price to Book 22.1 x 17.4 x - 14.7 x 12.4 x 10.5 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,813,376 1,813,046 1,821,431 1,829,045 - -
Reference price 2 24.78 22.51 25.81 27.48 27.48 27.48
Announcement Date 03/03/22 02/03/23 28/02/24 - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 8,504 10,340 11,108 11,790 12,676 13,535
EBITDA 1 1,788 2,135 2,369 2,652 2,983 3,313
EBIT 1 1,399 1,600 1,418 1,979 2,363 2,631
Operating Margin 16.45% 15.47% 12.77% 16.79% 18.64% 19.44%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,165 900 1,721 1,832 2,200 2,429
Net income 1 886 782 1,259 1,334 1,592 1,809
Net margin 10.42% 7.56% 11.33% 11.32% 12.56% 13.37%
EPS 2 0.4900 0.4300 0.6800 0.7435 0.8910 1.014
Free Cash Flow 1 1,079 1,639 1,764 1,431 1,751 1,997
FCF margin 12.69% 15.85% 15.88% 12.14% 13.82% 14.76%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 60.35% 76.77% 74.46% 53.96% 58.7% 60.28%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 121.78% 209.59% 140.11% 107.25% 110.03% 110.39%
Dividend per Share 2 0.4000 0.5100 0.5100 0.5424 0.6064 0.6556
Announcement Date 03/03/22 02/03/23 28/02/24 - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 S1 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 S2 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 S1 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 S2 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 S1 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 S2 2025 Q1 2025 S1 2025 S2
Net sales 1 2,153 2,520 2,199 2,535 4,734 2,664 2,942 5,606 2,451 2,697 5,148 2,752 3,208 5,960 2,594 2,900 5,468 2,906 3,396 6,246 2,812 5,946 6,928
EBITDA 1 461 503 455 507 962 553 620 1,173 522 590 1,112 581 677 1,257 591 642.2 857.8 646.8 755.6 1,184 - 1,091 1,218
EBIT 1 - 359.5 383 383 765 425.5 409 835 - - 591 - - 827 270.4 442 862.5 491 586 1,015 - 952 1,092
Operating Margin - 14.27% 17.42% 15.11% 16.16% 15.97% 13.9% 14.89% - - 11.48% - - 13.88% 10.47% 15.24% 15.77% 16.89% 17.25% 16.25% - 16.01% 15.76%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - 284 - - 193 - - 707 - - 854 - - 867 - - 825 - - 975.5 - 902 1,042
Net income - 217 - - 241 - - 541 - - 625 - - 634 - - 609.5 - - 721.5 - 676 781
Net margin - 8.61% - - 5.09% - - 9.65% - - 12.14% - - 10.64% - - 11.15% - - 11.55% - 11.37% 11.27%
EPS 2 - 0.1200 - - 0.1300 - - 0.3000 - - 0.3400 - - 0.3400 0.1572 0.1780 0.3300 0.2145 0.1980 0.3900 - 0.3700 0.4200
Dividend per Share 2 0.1000 0.2000 0.1200 0.1200 0.2000 - - 0.3100 - - 0.2400 - - 0.2700 - - 0.2500 - 0.5879 0.2800 - 0.2800 0.3000
Announcement Date 27/10/21 03/03/22 03/05/22 27/07/22 27/07/22 27/10/22 02/03/23 02/03/23 26/04/23 26/07/23 26/07/23 26/10/23 28/02/24 28/02/24 02/05/24 - - - - - - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,010 1,810 1,689 1,491 654 -
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - 347
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.124 x 0.8478 x 0.713 x 0.5622 x 0.2192 x -
Free Cash Flow 1 1,079 1,639 1,764 1,431 1,751 1,997
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 69.4% 66.4% - 50.4% 50% 47.7%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 10.8% 12.3% - 11% 12.7% 13.6%
Assets 1 8,238 6,382 - 12,091 12,533 13,278
Book Value Per Share 2 1.120 1.290 - 1.870 2.220 2.630
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.6300 0.9500 1.040 1.010 1.240 1.340
Capex 1 61 93 121 128 135 143
Capex / Sales 0.72% 0.9% 1.09% 1.08% 1.07% 1.06%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 02/03/23 28/02/24 - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
27.48 EUR
Average target price
30.23 EUR
Spread / Average Target
+10.00%
Consensus
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