Projected Income Statement: United Parcel Service, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: United Parcel Service, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 11,660 14,060 16,192 14,966 18,240 20,358 20,664 22,302
Change - 20.58% 15.16% -7.57% 21.88% 11.61% 1.5% 7.93%
Announcement Date 01/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 30/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: United Parcel Service, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,194 4,769 5,158 3,909 3,685 2,976 3,469 4,363
Change - 13.71% 8.16% -24.21% -5.73% -19.25% 16.56% 25.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,813 9,335 5,080 6,213 4,765 6,174 6,534 5,285
Change - -13.67% -45.58% 22.3% -23.31% 29.57% 5.82% -19.11%
Announcement Date 01/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 30/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: United Parcel Service, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.55% 16.91% 14.56% 13.73% 13.99% 13.75% 14.33% 14.2%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.51% 13.81% 10.85% 9.77% 9.77% 9.56% 10.25% 10.34%
EBT Margin (%) 17.06% 14.78% 9.43% 8.17% 8.08% 8.74% 9.5% 8.88%
Net margin (%) 13.25% 11.51% 7.37% 6.35% 6.28% 6.71% 7.14% 6.77%
FCF margin (%) 11.11% 9.3% 5.58% 6.82% 5.37% 6.91% 7.02% 5.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) 83.89% 80.84% 75.73% 107.45% 85.52% 103.04% 98.29% 81.63%

Profitability

        
ROA 19.56% 16.44% 9.45% 8.21% 7.78% 8.44% 9.71% 9.5%
ROE 142.88% 66.55% 36.17% 33.99% 36.95% 37.91% 42.85% 43.41%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.72x 0.83x 1.22x 1.2x 1.47x 1.66x 1.55x 1.64x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.08x 1.51x 3.19x 2.41x 3.83x 3.3x 3.16x 4.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.31% 4.75% 5.67% 4.29% 4.16% 3.33% 3.73% 4.56%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.05% 28.11% 38.96% 31.26% 29.7% 24.22% 26% 32.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 38.79% 51.09% 101.54% 62.92% 77.33% 48.2% 53.09% 82.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 17.09 16.12 11.9 11.82 9.941 10.92 11.72 11.76
Change - -5.69% -26.14% -0.67% -15.93% 9.86% 7.32% 0.37%
Dividend per Share 1 4.58 6.18 6.48 6.52 - 6.575 6.584 6.701
Change - 34.93% 4.85% 0.62% - - 0.13% 1.79%
Book Value Per Share 1 16.31 22.63 20.12 19.55 - 18.28 18.13 19.11
Change - 38.78% -11.08% -2.83% - - -0.86% 5.44%
EPS 1 14.68 13.2 7.8 6.75 6.56 7.01 7.91 8.08
Change - -10.08% -40.91% -13.46% -2.81% 6.86% 12.83% 2.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 869,142 864,918 851,926 853,370 848,386 849,102 849,102 849,102
Announcement Date 01/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 30/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.6x 12.9x
PBR 5.6x 5.65x
EV / Sales 1.2x 1.16x
Yield 6.42% 6.43%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
30
Last Close Price
102.36USD
Average target price
113.07USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.46%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. UPS Stock
  4. Financials United Parcel Service, Inc.