|
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 55.03 USD | +1.14% |
|
-1.04% | +10.04% |
Projected Income Statement: Tractor Supply Company
Annual
Quarterly
Annual
Quarterly
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 10,620 | 12,731 | 14,205 | 14,556 | 14,883 | 15,524 | 16,330 | 17,332 |
| Change | - | 19.87% | 11.57% | 2.47% | 2.25% | 4.31% | 5.19% | 6.14% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,288 | 1,577 | 1,778 | 1,872 | 1,915 | 1,961 | 2,068 | 2,237 |
| Change | - | 22.42% | 12.76% | 5.28% | 2.28% | 2.44% | 5.43% | 8.18% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,071 | 1,307 | 1,435 | 1,479 | 1,468 | 1,467 | 1,538 | 1,675 |
| Change | - | 22.01% | 9.81% | 3.06% | -0.77% | -0.01% | 4.81% | 8.91% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -28.78 | -26.61 | -30.63 | -46.51 | -54.59 | -69.14 | -67.34 | -65.91 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 968.1 | 1,280 | 1,404 | 1,432 | 1,413 | 1,398 | 1,470 | 1,607 |
| Change | - | 32.22% | 9.7% | 2% | -1.36% | -1.04% | 5.16% | 9.29% |
| Net income 1 | 749 | 997.1 | 1,089 | 1,107 | 1,101 | 1,096 | 1,148 | 1,254 |
| Change | - | 33.13% | 9.19% | 1.7% | -0.54% | -0.47% | 4.73% | 9.2% |
| Announcement Date | 28/01/21 | 27/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - |
1USD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: Tractor Supply Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -320 | 145 | 999 | 1,367 | 1,612 | 1,607 | 1,691 | 1,617 |
| Change | - | 145.31% | 588.97% | 36.84% | 17.92% | -0.31% | -4.68% | -4.38% |
| Announcement Date | 28/01/21 | 27/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - |
1USD in Million
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: Tractor Supply Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 294 | 628.4 | 773.4 | 753.9 | 784 | 894.8 | 752 | 768.1 |
| Change | - | 113.75% | 23.06% | -2.52% | 4% | 14.12% | -6.35% | 2.13% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,101 | 510.3 | 583.6 | 580.2 | 636.8 | 1,310 | 944.6 | 1,061 |
| Change | - | -53.63% | 14.37% | -0.59% | 9.76% | 105.79% | 2.22% | 12.32% |
| Announcement Date | 28/01/21 | 27/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - |
1USD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: Tractor Supply Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 12.13% | 12.39% | 12.52% | 12.86% | 12.86% | 12.63% | 12.66% | 12.91% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 10.08% | 10.26% | 10.1% | 10.16% | 9.86% | 9.45% | 9.42% | 9.66% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 9.12% | 10.05% | 9.89% | 9.84% | 9.49% | 9.01% | 9% | 9.27% |
| Net margin (%) | 7.05% | 7.83% | 7.66% | 7.61% | 7.4% | 7.06% | 7.03% | 7.23% |
| FCF margin (%) | 10.36% | 4.01% | 4.11% | 3.99% | 4.28% | 8.44% | 5.78% | 6.12% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 146.94% | 51.18% | 53.61% | 52.4% | 57.82% | 119.55% | 82.29% | 84.64% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 13.07% | 13.46% | 13.39% | 12.55% | 11.6% | 11.18% | 10.36% | 11.36% |
| ROE | 46.19% | 50.79% | 53.83% | 52.82% | 49.83% | 45.18% | 42.06% | 41.39% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 0.09x | 0.56x | 0.73x | 0.84x | 0.82x | 0.82x | 0.72x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 0.28x | 1.71x | 2.36x | 2.53x | 1.23x | 1.79x | 1.52x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.77% | 4.94% | 5.44% | 5.18% | 5.27% | 5.76% | 4.61% | 4.43% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 22.82% | 39.85% | 43.5% | 40.27% | 40.95% | 45.62% | 36.37% | 34.33% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 26.71% | 123.15% | 132.51% | 129.95% | 123.13% | 68.28% | 79.61% | 72.39% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 2.375 | 1.966 | 2.42 | 2.431 | 2.633 | 3.084 | 3.16 | 3.504 |
| Change | - | -17.22% | 23.09% | 0.46% | 8.3% | 17.13% | 3.95% | 10.89% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.3 | 0.416 | 0.736 | 0.824 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 0.9806 | 1.042 |
| Change | - | 38.67% | 76.92% | 11.96% | 6.8% | 4.55% | 6.17% | 6.26% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 3.31 | 3.442 | 3.642 | 3.918 | 4.207 | 4.868 | 5.464 | 6.186 |
| Change | - | 4% | 5.81% | 7.56% | 7.38% | 15.71% | 10.27% | 13.23% |
| EPS 1 | 1.276 | 1.722 | 1.942 | 2.018 | 2.04 | 2.06 | 2.187 | 2.413 |
| Change | - | 34.95% | 12.78% | 3.91% | 1.09% | 0.98% | 4.35% | 10.34% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 582,487 | 569,075 | 552,316 | 540,571 | 534,195 | 528,404 | 528,404 | 528,404 |
| Announcement Date | 28/01/21 | 27/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - |
1USD
Estimates
| 2025 | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 24.9x | 25.2x |
| PBR | 10.6x | 10.1x |
| EV / Sales | 1.85x | 1.88x |
| Yield | 1.79% | 1.78% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Sell
Buy

Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
31
Last Close Price
55.03USD
Average target price
57.59USD
Spread / Average Target
+4.66%
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- TSCO Stock
- Financials Tractor Supply Company
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