Projected Income Statement: The Berkeley Group Holdings plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: The Berkeley Group Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,128 -269 -410 -532 -337 -350 -395 -443
Change - 76.15% -52.42% -29.76% 36.65% -3.77% -12.86% -12.15%
Announcement Date 23/06/21 22/06/22 21/06/23 19/06/24 20/06/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: The Berkeley Group Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2.4 1.3 2 1.4 1 2.65 3.129 3.317
Change - -45.83% 53.85% -30% -28.57% 165% 18.06% 6.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 321.8 -130.8 333.6 232 192.1 205.4 201.4 206.7
Change - -140.65% 355.05% -30.46% -17.2% 6.94% -1.95% 2.63%
Announcement Date 23/06/21 22/06/22 21/06/23 19/06/24 20/06/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: The Berkeley Group Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.08% 21.87% 20.52% 19.66% 20.26% 19.39% 19.3% 19.56%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.81% 21.63% 20.32% 19.47% 20.11% 19.17% 19.08% 18.93%
EBT Margin (%) 23.53% 23.49% 23.68% 22.61% 21.27% 19.82% 19.67% 19.83%
Net margin (%) 19.19% 20.55% 18.26% 16.13% 15.36% 14.11% 13.96% 14.05%
FCF margin (%) 14.61% -5.57% 13.08% 9.41% 7.73% 8.96% 8.6% 8.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 76.13% -27.11% 71.63% 58.35% 50.29% 63.5% 61.57% 61.74%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.55% 7.95% 6.93% 5.74% 5.58% 4.86% 4.93% 4.9%
ROE 13.47% 15.29% 14.4% 11.54% 10.73% 8.97% 8.69% 8.32%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.11% 0.06% 0.08% 0.06% 0.04% 0.12% 0.13% 0.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 0.47% 0.25% 0.38% 0.29% 0.2% 0.6% 0.69% 0.71%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 0.75% -0.99% 0.6% 0.6% 0.52% 1.29% 1.55% 1.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.863 -1.144 3.156 2.259 1.871 2.387 2.45 1.803
Change - -139.97% 375.82% -28.43% -17.16% 27.55% 2.68% -26.4%
Dividend per Share 1 1.303 0.2202 0.9399 2.145 2.4 1.232 1.062 1.265
Change - -83.1% 326.78% 128.25% 11.87% -48.69% -13.8% 19.13%
Book Value Per Share 1 28.6 29.2 32.13 34.84 35.96 37.48 40.19 43.44
Change - 2.11% 10.01% 8.46% 3.2% 4.24% 7.21% 8.09%
EPS 1 3.731 4.264 4.378 3.846 3.7 3.337 3.474 3.632
Change - 14.26% 2.67% -12.15% -3.8% -9.81% 4.12% 4.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 108,374 107,398 103,706 102,113 98,966 94,138 94,138 94,138
Announcement Date 23/06/21 22/06/22 21/06/23 19/06/24 20/06/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 11.1x 10.6x
PBR 0.99x 0.92x
EV / Sales 1.37x 1.32x
Yield 3.33% 2.87%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
37.00GBP
Average target price
43.15GBP
Spread / Average Target
+16.61%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BKG Stock
  4. Financials The Berkeley Group Holdings plc
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