Projected Income Statement: Tharisa plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tharisa plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -46.6 -80.4 -129 -117 -69.8 32.3 228 367
Change - -72.53% -60.45% 9.3% 40.34% 146.31% 605.88% 60.96%
Announcement Date 02/12/21 05/12/22 13/12/23 28/11/24 01/12/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tharisa plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 106 105 69.88 195 120.8 257.5 369.2 264.6
Change - -0.93% -33.45% 179.03% -38.07% 113.25% 43.36% -28.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 102.4 68.66 78.99 5.838 -26.55 -78.33 -185 -127.5
Change - -32.92% 15.04% -92.61% -554.8% -195.03% -136.23% 31.1%
Announcement Date 02/12/21 05/12/22 13/12/23 28/11/24 01/12/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tharisa plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 37.62% 34.45% 21.05% 24.62% 31.07% 30.51% 32.27% 31.34%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.98% 26.9% 14.57% 16.57% 20.83% 21.33% 20.85% 18.02%
EBT Margin (%) 31.07% 32.1% 17.59% 16.31% 19.51% 20.44% 18.09% 15.88%
Net margin (%) 16.85% 21.81% 12.65% 11.49% 13.13% 14.04% 12% 11.64%
FCF margin (%) 17.17% 10.01% 12.15% 0.81% -4.4% -10.42% -24.43% -13.25%
FCF / Net Income (%) 101.89% 45.89% 96.05% 7.04% -33.55% -74.21% -203.52% -113.81%

Profitability

        
ROA 16.61% 18.58% 8.06% 7.22% 6.47% 6% 6% 4%
ROE 25.25% 30.67% 14% 12.39% 10.45% 12.85% 7.5% 9.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - 0.14x 0.93x 1.22x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - -0.41x -1.23x -2.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.78% 15.31% 10.75% 27.03% 20.03% 34.27% 48.74% 27.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 47.26% 44.44% 51.08% 109.78% 64.47% 112.32% 151.02% 87.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 103.55% 152.94% 88.47% 3,340.12% -454.83% -328.76% -199.51% -207.57%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.7748 0.6075 0.3959 0.6652 - 0.45 0.5 -
Change - -21.59% -34.83% 68.02% - - 11.11% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.09 0.07 0.05 - - - - -
Change - -22.22% -28.57% - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - 1.865 2.053 - - - - -
Change - - 10.07% - - - - -
EPS 1 0.374 0.538 0.274 0.27 - 0.3 0.35 -
Change - 43.85% -49.07% -1.46% - - 16.67% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 269,188 299,619 300,020 295,204 - 296,290 296,290 -
Announcement Date 02/12/21 05/12/22 13/12/23 28/11/24 - - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 5.75x 4.93x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 0.72x 0.98x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 
Trader
-
Investor
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
1
Last Close Price
1.726USD
Average target price
2.066USD
Spread / Average Target
+19.71%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise