Projected Income Statement: Thai Beverage

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thai Beverage

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 185,323 160,414 163,530 186,597 183,534 166,005 152,424 142,389
Change - -13.44% 1.94% 14.11% -1.64% -9.55% -8.18% -6.58%
Announcement Date 26/11/21 25/11/22 22/11/23 21/11/24 25/11/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thai Beverage

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,377 3,333 4,684 8,969 12,998 11,852 10,699 11,795
Change - -1.28% 40.5% 91.5% 44.93% -8.82% -9.73% 10.25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,691 41,679 27,287 29,110 33,035 44,427 41,239 40,470
Change - 45.27% -34.53% 6.68% 13.48% 34.49% -7.18% -1.87%
Announcement Date 26/11/21 25/11/22 22/11/23 21/11/24 25/11/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thai Beverage

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.3% 17.02% 15.76% 16.48% 16.25% 16.37% 16.13% 16.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.04% 14.17% 12.98% 13.48% 13.15% 13.35% 13.16% 13.3%
EBT Margin (%) 13.29% 14.66% 13.05% 12.64% 11.46% 12.04% 12.26% 12.52%
Net margin (%) 10.25% 11.05% 9.83% 8% 7.61% 8.03% 8.21% 8.31%
FCF margin (%) 11.93% 15.3% 9.78% 8.55% 9.91% 13.18% 11.73% 11.08%
FCF / Net Income (%) 116.42% 138.44% 99.47% 106.96% 130.26% 164.14% 142.78% 133.28%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.44% 6.14% 5.47% 5.33% 4.89% 5.33% 5.81% 6.28%
ROE 15.72% 15.98% 13.48% 15.53% 17.46% 18.19% 17.9% 17.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.45x 3.46x 3.72x 3.33x 3.39x 3.01x 2.69x 2.42x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.46x 3.85x 5.99x 6.41x 5.56x 3.74x 3.7x 3.52x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.4% 1.22% 1.68% 2.64% 3.9% 3.52% 3.04% 3.23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.11% 7.19% 10.65% 16% 24% 21.47% 18.86% 20.07%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 11.77% 8% 17.16% 30.81% 39.35% 26.68% 25.94% 29.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.276 1.791 1.272 1.516 1.832 1.614 1.892 1.446
Change - 40.35% -28.97% 19.1% 20.87% -11.87% 17.18% -23.56%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.62 0.62 0.618 0.6315 0.6595
Change - 20% 0% 3.33% 0% -0.32% 2.18% 4.44%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.806 8.19 8.013 5.938 5.622 6.178 6.676 7.213
Change - 20.34% -2.17% -25.89% -5.32% 9.89% 8.06% 8.04%
EPS 1 0.98 1.2 1.09 1.08 1.01 1.065 1.146 1.211
Change - 22.45% -9.17% -0.92% -6.48% 5.49% 7.55% 5.65%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 25,118,755 25,120,888 25,124,754 25,127,675 25,130,487 25,131,686 25,131,686 25,131,686
Announcement Date 26/11/21 25/11/22 22/11/23 21/11/24 25/11/25 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.6x 9.87x
PBR 1.83x 1.69x
EV / Sales 1.34x 1.24x
Yield 5.47% 5.58%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
11.31THB
Average target price
12.98THB
Spread / Average Target
+14.75%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise