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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 7.250 THB | +1.40% |
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+6.62% | +22.88% |
| 02-02 | UOB Kay Hian Downgrades Star Petroleum Refining to Hold from Buy, Price Target is THB7 | MT |
| 11-12 | Star Petroleum Refining logs qtrly profit attributable $48.6 mln | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Star Petroleum Refining
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,335 | 5,352 | 8,159 | 6,607 | 8,050 | 7,958 | 7,665 | 8,387 |
| Change | - | 23.47% | 52.45% | -19.02% | 21.83% | -1.14% | -3.69% | 9.42% |
| EBITDA 1 | -169.3 | 272.5 | 350.2 | 42.46 | 150.5 | 213.3 | 218 | 262.5 |
| Change | - | 260.92% | 28.52% | -87.87% | 254.41% | 41.73% | 2.18% | 20.44% |
| EBIT 1 | -263.6 | 190.4 | 275.7 | -25.81 | 70.98 | 95.9 | 115 | 161.8 |
| Change | - | 172.23% | 44.8% | -109.36% | 374.95% | 35.12% | 19.93% | 40.7% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -5.915 | -6.429 | -9.049 | -10.33 | -12.61 | -9.11 | -8.662 | -8.741 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -251.8 | 183.5 | 274.4 | -42.25 | 83.94 | 102 | 106.7 | 144.2 |
| Change | - | 172.88% | 49.57% | -115.4% | 298.68% | 21.45% | 4.7% | 35.04% |
| Net income 1 | -200 | 147.3 | 219.5 | -34.11 | 66.48 | 75.78 | 89 | 116.8 |
| Change | - | 173.65% | 49.03% | -115.54% | 294.94% | 13.98% | 17.45% | 31.23% |
| Announcement Date | 19/02/21 | 22/02/22 | 24/02/23 | 20/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Star Petroleum Refining
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 287 | 155 | 276 | 350 | 263 | 187 | 99.5 | 50.4 |
| Change | - | -45.99% | 78.06% | 26.81% | -24.86% | -28.85% | -46.79% | -49.35% |
| Announcement Date | 19/02/21 | 22/02/22 | 24/02/23 | 20/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Star Petroleum Refining
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 11.66 | 3.123 | 7.959 | 21.79 | 32.31 | 21.81 | 24.6 | 23.86 |
| Change | - | -73.21% | 154.81% | 173.72% | 48.31% | -32.5% | 12.78% | -2.99% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -59.95 | 111.6 | -3.509 | -18.1 | 349.5 | 140.9 | 130.4 | 72.55 |
| Change | - | 286.11% | -103.15% | -415.86% | 2,030.64% | -59.7% | -7.41% | -44.38% |
| Announcement Date | 19/02/21 | 22/02/22 | 24/02/23 | 20/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Star Petroleum Refining
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | -3.91% | 5.09% | 4.29% | 0.64% | 1.87% | 2.68% | 2.84% | 3.13% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | -6.08% | 3.56% | 3.38% | -0.39% | 0.88% | 1.21% | 1.5% | 1.93% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -5.81% | 3.43% | 3.36% | -0.64% | 1.04% | 1.28% | 1.39% | 1.72% |
| Net margin (%) | -4.61% | 2.75% | 2.69% | -0.52% | 0.83% | 0.95% | 1.16% | 1.39% |
| FCF margin (%) | -1.38% | 2.08% | -0.04% | -0.27% | 4.34% | 1.77% | 1.7% | 0.87% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 29.98% | 75.75% | -1.6% | 53.08% | 525.69% | 185.89% | 146.54% | 62.11% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | -11.91% | 9.1% | 12.58% | -1.91% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.15% | 5.3% |
| ROE | -20.39% | 15.8% | 21% | -3.27% | 5.46% | 6.77% | 6.74% | 8.95% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | -1.69x | 0.57x | 0.79x | 8.23x | 1.75x | 0.88x | 0.46x | 0.19x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -4.79x | 1.39x | -78.69x | -19.31x | 0.75x | 1.33x | 0.76x | 0.69x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.27% | 0.06% | 0.1% | 0.33% | 0.4% | 0.27% | 0.32% | 0.28% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | -6.89% | 1.15% | 2.27% | 51.31% | 21.47% | 10.22% | 11.29% | 9.09% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -19.45% | 2.8% | -226.8% | -120.34% | 9.24% | 15.48% | 18.86% | 32.89% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | -0.0111 | 0.027 | 0.00103 | 0.00085 | 0.0881 | 0.0392 | 0.0382 | 0.0407 |
| Change | - | 343.23% | -96.18% | -17.48% | 10,260% | -55.43% | -2.55% | 6.33% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | 0.0318 | - | 0.0118 | 0.0113 | 0.0125 | 0.0159 |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | -4.56% | 10.62% | 27.2% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 0.2033 | 0.2404 | 0.2553 | 0.2338 | 0.267 | 0.2925 | 0.2967 | 0.3053 |
| Change | - | 18.24% | 6.22% | -8.45% | 14.2% | 9.56% | 1.44% | 2.91% |
| EPS 1 | -0.046 | 0.0338 | 0.0506 | -0.00776 | 0.0155 | 0.0189 | 0.0208 | 0.0285 |
| Change | - | 173.59% | 49.7% | -115.33% | 299.36% | 22.3% | 10.1% | 36.82% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,335,902 | 4,335,902 | 4,335,902 | 4,335,902 | 4,335,902 | 4,335,902 | 4,335,902 | 4,335,902 |
| Announcement Date | 19/02/21 | 22/02/22 | 24/02/23 | 20/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 12.3x | 11.2x |
| PBR | 0.8x | 0.79x |
| EV / Sales | 0.15x | 0.14x |
| Yield | 4.85% | 5.36% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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