Projected Income Statement: Severn Trent Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Severn Trent Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 6,560 6,508 7,161 7,188 8,545 9,858 11,240 12,511
Change - -0.79% 10.03% 0.38% 18.88% 15.36% 14.02% 11.31%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 25/05/22 24/05/23 22/05/24 21/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Severn Trent Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 635.9 646.9 739.7 1,200 1,593 1,857 2,135 2,114
Change - 1.73% 14.35% 62.19% 32.77% 16.58% 14.97% -0.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 242.6 243.6 -192.6 -632.6 -680.5 -732.8 -838.2 -629.2
Change - 0.41% -179.06% -228.45% -7.57% -7.68% -14.4% 24.93%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 25/05/22 24/05/23 22/05/24 21/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Severn Trent Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 46.55% 46.71% 42.77% 40.21% 43.62% 47.8% 49.94% 52.1%
EBIT Margin (%) 25.88% 26.16% 23.5% 21.89% 24.32% 29.76% 31.63% 34.13%
EBT Margin (%) 14.62% 14.1% 7.75% 8.61% 13.19% 18.86% 20.91% 21.38%
Net margin (%) 11.61% -4.49% 6.11% 6% 9.45% 13.85% 15.65% 17.2%
FCF margin (%) 13.28% 12.54% -8.9% -27.05% -28.04% -26.02% -27.17% -18.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) 114.33% -279.36% -145.69% -451.21% -296.64% -187.95% -173.64% -107.99%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.3% 1.85% 1.23% 1.54% 2.23% 3.01% 2.95% 3.32%
ROE 21.07% 17.42% 11.83% 7.64% 12.73% 26.62% 30% 32.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.71x 7.17x 7.73x 7.65x 8.07x 7.32x 7.3x 7.09x
Debt / Free cash flow 27.04x 26.72x -37.18x -11.36x -12.56x -13.45x -13.41x -19.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 34.8% 33.29% 34.16% 51.31% 65.64% 65.95% 69.2% 62.42%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 74.77% 71.26% 79.87% 127.61% 150.48% 137.95% 138.58% 119.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 262.12% 265.56% -384.06% -189.65% -234.06% -253.42% -254.69% -336.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.67 3.592 2.975 2.95 3.039 3.58 4.109 4.465
Change - -2.11% -17.19% -0.83% 3.02% 17.82% 14.78% 8.65%
Dividend per Share 1 1.016 1.021 1.068 1.168 1.217 1.259 1.3 1.335
Change - 0.55% 4.58% 9.38% 4.17% 3.44% 3.23% 2.72%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.782 5.098 3.853 6.652 5.899 5.953 6.183 6.559
Change - 6.61% -24.43% 72.65% -11.33% 0.92% 3.87% 6.08%
EPS 1 0.886 -0.352 0.527 0.51 0.764 1.373 1.626 1.823
Change - -139.73% 249.72% -3.23% 49.8% 79.74% 18.38% 12.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 238,881 250,291 251,557 299,092 300,211 301,090 301,090 301,090
Announcement Date 19/05/21 25/05/22 24/05/23 22/05/24 21/05/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 22.9x 19.4x
PBR 5.29x 5.1x
EV / Sales 6.87x 6.72x
Yield 4% 4.12%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
31.51GBP
Average target price
31.88GBP
Spread / Average Target
+1.17%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SVT Stock
  4. Financials Severn Trent Plc