Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -3,695 -7,504 -14,632
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% -9.29% -103.09% -94.99%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 899.1 938.1 1,080
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 21.67% 4.33% 15.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 10,034 11,399 13,017
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 21.79% 13.6% 14.19%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 32.33% 33.18% 33.9%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.53% 30.41% 31.21%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 27.81% 29.1% 30.91%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 19.78% 20.52% 21.68%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 24.96% 25.41% 25.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 126.18% 123.82% 119.67%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.38% 12.47% 13.38%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 18.41% 20.1% 21.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 2.24% 2.09% 2.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 6.92% 6.3% 6.35%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 8.96% 8.23% 8.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.579 11.04 13.28
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 22.93% 15.29% 20.24%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 2.5 2.682 3.037 3.438
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% 6.38% 7.27% 13.25% 13.21%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 39.1 42.07 48.13
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 1.87% 7.61% 14.39%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 6.992 8.132 9.507
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 11.33% 16.32% 16.91%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,163,363 1,164,600 1,167,559 1,167,559 1,167,559
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.4x 15.8x
PBR 3.28x 3.05x
EV / Sales 3.64x 3.17x
Yield 2.09% 2.37%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
128.32EUR
Average target price
203.44EUR
Spread / Average Target
+58.55%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise