Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -1,989 -4,694 -12,345
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% 41.17% -136% -163%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 803.2 1,017 1,175
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 8.69% 26.59% 15.59%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 10,017 11,377 12,791
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 21.58% 13.58% 12.42%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 31.72% 32.62% 33.36%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.07% 30% 30.71%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.64% 29.36% 30.79%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 20.34% 20.5% 21.54%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 24.88% 25.28% 25.39%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 122.31% 123.31% 117.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.03% 11.64% 12.56%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 17.92% 19.57% 20.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 1.99% 2.26% 2.33%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 6.29% 6.93% 6.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 8.02% 8.94% 9.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.071 10.93 12.7
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 16.4% 20.52% 16.14%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 2.5 2.679 3.004 3.39
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% 6.38% 7.15% 12.16% 12.83%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 40.09 42.91 48.53
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 4.45% 7.03% 13.1%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 7.065 8.146 9.581
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 12.49% 15.3% 17.62%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,163,363 1,164,600 1,154,200 1,154,200 1,154,200
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 26.4x 22.9x
PBR 4.66x 4.35x
EV / Sales 5.3x 4.68x
Yield 1.43% 1.61%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
28
Last Close Price
185.66EUR
Average target price
209.81EUR
Spread / Average Target
+13.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise