Projected Income Statement: Ryanair Holdings plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,277 1,452 -559 -1,373 -1,304 -2,227 -3,503 -4,402
Change - -36.23% -138.5% -145.62% 5.03% -70.81% -57.3% -25.66%
Announcement Date 17/05/21 16/05/22 22/05/23 20/05/24 19/05/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 294.7 1,182 1,915 2,392 1,552 1,996 1,990 2,565
Change - 300.95% 62.04% 24.92% -35.09% 28.55% -0.28% 28.89%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,743 758.9 1,976 766 1,863 2,082 2,186 1,988
Change - 127.67% 160.42% -61.24% 143.24% 11.74% 4.99% -9.06%
Announcement Date 17/05/21 16/05/22 22/05/23 20/05/24 19/05/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -16.41% 7.91% 23.17% 23.21% 19.88% 24.35% 25.79% 25.56%
EBIT Margin (%) -51.31% -7.07% 14.6% 15.33% 11.17% 15.73% 17.12% 16.89%
EBT Margin (%) -67.78% -8.95% 14.6% 15.83% 12.79% 15.83% 17.38% 17.38%
Net margin (%) -62.06% -5.02% 12.19% 14.26% 11.55% 14.04% 15.63% 15.47%
FCF margin (%) -167.67% 15.81% 18.34% 5.7% 13.36% 13.46% 13.42% 11.4%
FCF / Net Income (%) 270.19% -315.16% 150.43% 39.96% 115.61% 95.89% 85.86% 73.68%

Profitability

        
ROA -6.02% -2.58% 8.33% 11.42% 9.29% 12.06% 13.06% 13.44%
ROE -17.06% -6.97% 23.49% 28.92% 22% 28.57% 27.61% 24.51%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -8.48x 3.82x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -0.83x 1.91x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.02% 24.61% 17.77% 17.79% 11.13% 12.9% 12.22% 14.71%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -109.8% 311.11% 76.7% 76.66% 56% 53% 47.39% 57.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -10.74% 155.7% 96.88% 312.26% 83.32% 95.86% 91.05% 129.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -2.205 1.716 3.414 2.758 3.084 3.831 4.014 4.255
Change - 177.84% 98.97% -19.22% 11.81% 24.25% 4.76% 6.02%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 0.353 0.4 0.4702 0.5718 0.6368
Change - - - - 13.31% 17.54% 21.61% 11.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.12 4.887 4.955 6.679 6.614 7.765 9.59 11.45
Change - 18.62% 1.39% 34.8% -0.97% 17.39% 23.5% 19.38%
EPS 1 -0.9142 -0.213 1.153 1.674 1.455 2.067 2.455 2.627
Change - 76.7% 641.27% 45.23% -13.1% 42.05% 18.79% 6.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,127,657 1,134,481 1,138,665 1,139,908 1,065,713 1,049,934 1,049,934 1,049,934
Announcement Date 17/05/21 16/05/22 22/05/23 20/05/24 19/05/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.4x 10.4x
PBR 3.3x 2.67x
EV / Sales 1.59x 1.44x
Yield 1.84% 2.23%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
25.61EUR
Average target price
32.55EUR
Spread / Average Target
+27.09%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RYA Stock
  4. Financials Ryanair Holdings plc
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