Projected Income Statement: Ryanair Holdings plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,277 1,452 -559 -1,373 -1,304 -1,809 -3,081 -4,085
Change - -36.23% -138.5% -145.62% 5.03% -38.75% -70.32% -32.59%
Announcement Date 17/05/21 16/05/22 22/05/23 20/05/24 19/05/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 294.7 1,182 1,915 2,392 1,552 2,077 1,875 2,409
Change - 300.95% 62.04% 24.92% -35.09% 33.81% -9.72% 28.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,743 758.9 1,976 766 1,863 1,743 2,244 1,940
Change - 127.67% 160.42% -61.24% 143.24% -6.48% 28.81% -13.57%
Announcement Date 17/05/21 16/05/22 22/05/23 20/05/24 19/05/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -16.41% 7.91% 23.17% 23.21% 19.88% 23.24% 24.64% 24.88%
EBIT Margin (%) -51.31% -7.07% 14.6% 15.33% 11.17% 14.82% 16.04% 16.22%
EBT Margin (%) -67.78% -8.95% 14.6% 15.83% 12.79% 15.41% 16.29% 16.38%
Net margin (%) -62.06% -5.02% 12.19% 14.26% 11.55% 13.72% 14.62% 14.65%
FCF margin (%) -167.67% 15.81% 18.34% 5.7% 13.36% 11.53% 14.09% 11.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) 270.19% -315.16% 150.43% 39.96% 115.61% 84.03% 96.37% 77.69%

Profitability

        
ROA -6.02% -2.58% 8.33% 11.42% 9.29% 11.65% 11.85% 11.95%
ROE -17.06% -6.97% 23.49% 28.92% 22% 27.2% 26.25% 23.36%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -8.48x 3.82x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -0.83x 1.91x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.02% 24.61% 17.77% 17.79% 11.13% 13.74% 11.78% 14.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -109.8% 311.11% 76.7% 76.66% 56% 59.12% 47.79% 56.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -10.74% 155.7% 96.88% 312.26% 83.32% 119.22% 83.56% 124.17%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -2.205 1.716 3.414 2.758 3.084 3.442 3.732 4.08
Change - 177.84% 98.97% -19.22% 11.81% 11.63% 8.41% 9.32%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 0.353 0.4 0.4452 0.5192 0.5902
Change - - - - 13.31% 11.31% 16.62% 13.68%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.12 4.887 4.955 6.679 6.614 7.561 9.546 11.37
Change - 18.62% 1.39% 34.8% -0.97% 14.31% 26.26% 19.15%
EPS 1 -0.9142 -0.213 1.153 1.674 1.455 1.95 2.221 2.42
Change - 76.7% 641.27% 45.23% -13.1% 34.01% 13.94% 8.92%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,127,657 1,134,481 1,138,665 1,139,908 1,065,713 1,061,379 1,061,379 1,061,379
Announcement Date 17/05/21 16/05/22 22/05/23 20/05/24 19/05/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.1x 10.6x
PBR 3.12x 2.47x
EV / Sales 1.54x 1.38x
Yield 1.89% 2.2%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
23.55EUR
Average target price
26.74EUR
Spread / Average Target
+13.55%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RYA Stock
  4. Financials Ryanair Holdings plc