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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 488.40 GBX | -8.45% |
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-9.30% | -7.41% |
| 05-15 | WINNERS & LOSERS: Miners slide; Centrica to pay GBP20 million to Ofgem | AN |
| 05-05 | Citi cuts Severn Trent and United Utilities | AN |
Projected Income Statement: Pennon Group Plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 624.1 | 792.3 | 797.2 | 907.8 | 1,048 | 1,288 | 1,383 | 1,458 |
| Change | - | 26.95% | 0.62% | 13.87% | 15.42% | 22.88% | 7.41% | 5.45% |
| EBITDA 1 | 334.7 | 383.9 | 307.8 | 338.3 | 335.6 | 531.5 | 612.6 | 668.5 |
| Change | - | 14.7% | -19.82% | 9.91% | -0.8% | 58.37% | 15.26% | 9.12% |
| EBIT 1 | 215.3 | 237.2 | 153.1 | 166.3 | 148.5 | 334 | 390.3 | 427.3 |
| Change | - | 10.17% | -35.46% | 8.62% | -10.7% | 124.88% | 16.86% | 9.5% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -58.3 | -93.7 | -136.6 | -150.2 | -184.4 | -207 | -224.2 | -236 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 132.1 | 127.7 | -8.5 | -9.1 | -72.7 | 147.9 | 174.9 | 179.2 |
| Change | - | -3.33% | -106.66% | -7.06% | -698.9% | 303.42% | 18.27% | 2.46% |
| Net income 1 | 1,762 | 15.4 | 0.1 | -9.5 | -57.9 | 129.2 | 155.4 | 162.8 |
| Change | - | -99.13% | -99.35% | -9,600% | -509.47% | 323.18% | 20.29% | 4.76% |
| Announcement Date | 03/06/21 | 31/05/22 | 01/06/23 | 21/05/24 | 03/06/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Pennon Group Plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -64.3 | 2,683 | 2,965 | 3,809 | 4,078 | 4,553 | 4,955 | 5,246 |
| Change | - | 4,272.63% | 10.51% | 28.47% | 7.06% | 11.64% | 8.83% | 5.87% |
| Announcement Date | 03/06/21 | 31/05/22 | 01/06/23 | 21/05/24 | 03/06/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Pennon Group Plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 190.1 | 225.6 | 331.2 | 598.1 | 668.6 | 715.9 | 652.1 | 614.4 |
| Change | - | 18.67% | 46.81% | 80.59% | 11.79% | 7.08% | -8.91% | -5.78% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 20.4 | 26.7 | -178.6 | -362.4 | -569.6 | -377 | -261.5 | -180.5 |
| Change | - | 30.88% | -768.91% | -102.91% | -57.17% | 33.81% | 30.64% | 30.98% |
| Announcement Date | 03/06/21 | 31/05/22 | 01/06/23 | 21/05/24 | 03/06/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Pennon Group Plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 53.63% | 48.45% | 38.61% | 37.27% | 32.03% | 41.28% | 44.3% | 45.84% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 34.5% | 29.94% | 19.2% | 18.32% | 14.17% | 25.94% | 28.22% | 29.3% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 21.17% | 16.12% | -1.07% | -1% | -6.94% | 11.49% | 12.65% | 12.29% |
| Net margin (%) | 282.36% | 1.94% | 0.01% | -1.05% | -5.53% | 10.04% | 11.24% | 11.17% |
| FCF margin (%) | 3.27% | 3.37% | -22.4% | -39.92% | -54.36% | -29.28% | -18.91% | -12.38% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 1.16% | 173.38% | -178,600% | 3,814.74% | 983.77% | -291.75% | -168.23% | -110.84% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 26.74% | 2.35% | 0.39% | 0.22% | -0.86% | 1.46% | 1.55% | 1.8% |
| ROE | 5.71% | 6.49% | 1.7% | 1.09% | -4.35% | 8.66% | 10.81% | 11.72% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 6.99x | 9.63x | 11.26x | 12.15x | 8.57x | 8.09x | 7.85x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 100.48x | -16.6x | -10.51x | -7.16x | -12.08x | -18.95x | -29.06x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 30.46% | 28.47% | 41.55% | 65.88% | 63.81% | 55.6% | 47.16% | 42.13% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 56.8% | 58.77% | 107.6% | 176.8% | 199.23% | 134.7% | 106.45% | 91.91% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 931.86% | 844.94% | -185.44% | -165.04% | -117.38% | -189.9% | -249.38% | -340.4% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.747 | 0.804 | 0.5826 | 0.5585 | 0.2594 | 0.8336 | 0.8938 | 0.9266 |
| Change | - | 7.64% | -27.54% | -4.14% | -53.55% | 221.34% | 7.23% | 3.66% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.3261 | 0.3853 | 0.4273 | 0.4437 | 0.3157 | 0.2972 | 0.3052 | 0.3108 |
| Change | - | 18.15% | 10.9% | 3.84% | -28.85% | -5.86% | 2.68% | 1.84% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 10.61 | 4.812 | 4.304 | 4.356 | 4.017 | 3.037 | 3.05 | 3.098 |
| Change | - | -54.63% | -10.55% | 1.19% | -7.77% | -24.4% | 0.42% | 1.57% |
| EPS 1 | 6.254 | 0.049 | - | -0.036 | -0.161 | 0.2518 | 0.3008 | 0.3325 |
| Change | - | -99.22% | - | - | -347.22% | 256.37% | 19.48% | 10.55% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 281,015 | 264,418 | 261,066 | 285,885 | 471,809 | 471,851 | 471,851 | 471,851 |
| Announcement Date | 03/06/21 | 31/05/22 | 01/06/23 | 21/05/24 | 03/06/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 19.4x | 16.2x |
| PBR | 1.61x | 1.6x |
| EV / Sales | 5.33x | 5.25x |
| Yield | 6.09% | 6.25% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Global
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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