Projected Income Statement: Nestlé

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nestlé

Forecast Balance Sheet - Nestlé
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 32,579 47,625 49,390 56,005 51,382 50,923 49,062 46,051
Change - 46.18% 3.71% 13.39% -8.25% -0.89% -3.65% -6.14%
Announcement Date 17/02/22 16/02/23 22/02/24 13/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nestlé

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,341 5,095 5,714 5,963 4,911 4,394 4,574 4,668
Change - -4.61% 12.15% 4.36% -17.64% -10.52% 4.09% 2.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,523 6,570 10,403 10,666 9,154 9,779 10,371 11,687
Change - -22.91% 58.34% 2.53% -14.18% 6.83% 6.05% 12.69%
Announcement Date 17/02/22 16/02/23 22/02/24 13/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nestlé

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.31% 20.8% 20.98% 21.11% 20.14% 20.04% 20.72% 21.06%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.36% 17.05% 17.26% 17.19% 16.08% 16.39% 16.82% 17.1%
EBT Margin (%) 12.41% 11.95% 13.66% 14.49% 12.01% 12.83% 14.03% 14.75%
Net margin (%) 19.41% 9.82% 12.05% 11.91% 10.09% 10.89% 12.03% 12.59%
FCF margin (%) 9.79% 6.96% 11.19% 11.68% 10.23% 10.86% 11.17% 12.19%
FCF / Net Income (%) 50.42% 70.87% 92.81% 98% 101.34% 99.73% 92.83% 96.76%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.85% 6.76% 9.71% 8.19% 8.54% 8.24% 9.21% 9.67%
ROE 34.21% 19.49% 28.84% 30.38% 33.1% 34.39% 34.62% 33.95%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.76x 2.42x 2.53x 2.9x 2.85x 2.82x 2.55x 2.28x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.82x 7.25x 4.75x 5.25x 5.61x 5.21x 4.73x 3.94x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.13% 5.4% 6.14% 6.53% 5.49% 4.88% 4.93% 4.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.78% 25.94% 29.29% 30.92% 27.25% 24.35% 23.77% 23.12%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 62.67% 77.55% 54.93% 55.91% 53.65% 44.94% 44.1% 39.94%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.967 4.395 6.025 6.423 6.174 5.042 5.588 5.91
Change - -11.52% 37.07% 6.62% -3.88% -18.33% 10.82% 5.77%
Dividend per Share 1 2.8 2.95 3 3.05 3.1 3.141 3.203 3.301
Change - 5.36% 1.69% 1.67% 1.64% 1.32% 1.99% 3.05%
Book Value Per Share 1 19.26 15.21 13.15 13.96 12.76 13.34 14.25 15.49
Change - -21% -13.58% 6.19% -8.63% 4.57% 6.81% 8.74%
EPS 1 6.06 3.42 4.23 4.19 3.51 3.804 4.355 4.706
Change - -43.56% 23.68% -0.95% -16.23% 8.37% 14.49% 8.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,750,456 2,759,592 2,588,141 2,571,306 2,572,715 2,572,225 2,572,225 2,572,225
Announcement Date 17/02/22 16/02/23 22/02/24 13/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20x 17.5x
PBR 5.7x 5.33x
EV / Sales 2.74x 2.63x
Yield 4.13% 4.21%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Nestlé


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Nestlé
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Nestlé
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Ratings Surperformance© - Nestlé
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
76.00CHF
Average target price
88.23CHF
Spread / Average Target
+16.09%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Nestlé