Projected Income Statement: Nel ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nel ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -2,303 -2,700 - -3,341 -1,616 -1,592 -1,070 -1,021
Change - -17.24% - - 51.63% 1.46% 32.79% 4.58%
Announcement Date 18/02/21 16/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nel ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 232.2 377.2 739.8 680.3 367.1 428.6 537.7
Change - 62.43% - -8.05% -46.04% 16.75% 25.46%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -448.1 -826.6 -1,409 -823.5 -770.7 -410 -513
Change - -84.48% - 41.58% 6.41% 46.8% -25.11%
Announcement Date 18/02/21 16/02/22 28/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nel ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -38.58% -59.55% -78.49% -26.72% -11.57% -40.59% -13.07% -2.55%
EBIT Margin (%) -63.59% -73.04% -128.69% -39.45% -26.05% -71.45% -30.27% -15.94%
EBT Margin (%) 191.07% -211.01% -119.47% -49.21% -17.67% -65.09% -26.81% -15.67%
Net margin (%) 193.58% -208.88% -117.87% -48.23% -16.34% -63.86% -26.36% -16.14%
FCF margin (%) -68.74% -103.59% - -79.49% -55.09% -93.82% -30.01% -26.23%
FCF / Net Income (%) -35.51% 49.59% - 164.82% 337.02% 146.91% 113.84% 162.54%

Profitability

        
ROA - -27.45% - -11.55% -3.45% -5.41% -3.41% -
ROE -11.44% -31.73% - -14.68% -4.37% -11.24% -8.02% -8.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 35.62% 47.26% - 41.73% 45.51% 44.68% 31.36% 27.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -92.33% -79.36% - -156.18% -393.37% -110.09% -239.91% -1,077.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -51.82% -45.63% - -52.49% -82.61% -47.63% -104.53% -104.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.1555 -0.3098 - -0.4054 -0.1446 -0.16 - 0.3
Change - -99.2% - - 64.34% -10.67% - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 3.884 3.473 - 3.752 2.979 2.695 2.478 2.301
Change - -10.6% - - -20.61% -9.52% -8.04% -7.17%
EPS 1 0.91 -1.15 -0.76 -0.52 -0.15 -0.3021 -0.2058 -0.1756
Change - -226.37% 33.91% 31.58% 71.15% -101.37% 31.88% 14.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,407,401 1,460,396 1,562,907 1,670,907 1,670,907 1,838,040 1,838,040 1,838,040
Announcement Date 18/02/21 16/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1NOK
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio -9.68x -14.2x
PBR 1.08x 1.18x
EV / Sales 4.6x 3.15x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
2.924NOK
Average target price
2.593NOK
Spread / Average Target
-11.31%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise