Financials Mobico Group Plc

Equities

NEX

GB0006215205

Passenger Transportation, Ground & Sea

Real-time Estimate Cboe Europe 09:45:00 02/05/2024 BST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
56.9 GBX +1.16% Intraday chart for Mobico Group Plc +1.70% -32.92%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 2,394 1,455 1,577 796.4 518.4 344.7 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 3,673 2,414 2,647 2,004 1,720 1,525 1,458 1,390
P/E ratio 17.1 x -4.1 x -15.3 x -3.27 x -2.8 x 16.9 x 6.11 x 5.38 x
Yield 3.48% - - 3.85% 2.01% - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 0.87 x 0.74 x 0.73 x 0.28 x 0.16 x 0.1 x 0.1 x 0.09 x
EV / Revenue 1.34 x 1.23 x 1.22 x 0.71 x 0.55 x 0.45 x 0.42 x 0.38 x
EV / EBITDA 7.2 x 12.9 x 8.82 x 4.79 x 4.46 x 3.75 x 3.2 x 2.78 x
EV / FCF 14.7 x -7.74 x -95.9 x 38.4 x 16.9 x 23.9 x 10.1 x 8.47 x
FCF Yield 6.79% -12.9% -1.04% 2.6% 5.92% 4.18% 9.88% 11.8%
Price to Book 2.23 x 0.95 x 1.12 x 0.59 x - 0.41 x 0.28 x 0.28 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 509,755 612,682 613,209 612,597 612,818 612,818 - -
Reference price 2 4.696 2.374 2.572 1.300 0.8460 0.5625 0.5625 0.5625
Announcement Date 27/02/20 18/03/21 10/03/22 02/03/23 22/04/24 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 2,744 1,956 2,170 2,808 3,151 3,361 3,491 3,678
EBITDA 1 510.1 186.6 300 418.1 386 407.2 456.4 500.7
EBIT 1 295.3 -50.8 87 197.3 168.6 205.3 239.7 272
Operating Margin 10.76% -2.6% 4.01% 7.03% 5.35% 6.11% 6.87% 7.4%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 187 -444.7 -84.9 -209.9 -98.3 76.6 102.8 156.8
Net income 1 141.1 -331.7 -81.6 -221.8 -163.8 35.8 73.24 93.3
Net margin 5.14% -16.96% -3.76% -7.9% -5.2% 1.07% 2.1% 2.54%
EPS 2 0.2750 -0.5790 -0.1680 -0.3970 -0.3020 0.0332 0.0921 0.1046
Free Cash Flow 1 249.4 -312 -27.6 52.2 101.8 63.76 144 164.1
FCF margin 9.09% -15.95% -1.27% 1.86% 3.23% 1.9% 4.12% 4.46%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 48.89% - - 12.49% 26.37% 15.66% 31.56% 32.77%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 176.75% - - - - 178.11% 196.62% 175.87%
Dividend per Share 2 0.1635 - - 0.0500 0.0170 - - -
Announcement Date 27/02/20 18/03/21 10/03/22 02/03/23 22/04/24 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 S1 2021 S1 2022 S1 2023 S1
Net sales 1 1,032 992.4 1,324 1,569
EBITDA - - - -
EBIT -30.6 -26.1 90.5 -
Operating Margin -2.97% -2.63% 6.83% -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - -
Net income 1 - - - -40.6
Net margin - - - -2.59%
EPS 2 - - - -8.300
Dividend per Share - - - -
Announcement Date 13/08/20 29/07/21 28/07/22 27/07/23
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 1,279 960 1,070 1,208 1,202 1,180 1,114 1,045
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.508 x 5.142 x 3.566 x 2.889 x 3.113 x 2.899 x 2.44 x 2.088 x
Free Cash Flow 1 249 -312 -27.6 52.2 102 63.8 144 164
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 15.7% -6.54% 1.52% 1.87% - 6.68% 7.31% 10.3%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 4.44% -1.87% - - - - - -
Assets 1 3,177 17,753 - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 2.100 2.490 2.300 2.200 - 1.360 1.980 2.000
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.6900 -0.1700 0.2800 0.3600 0.3700 0.5000 0.5400 0.6400
Capex 1 117 215 169 169 128 176 222 226
Capex / Sales 4.25% 11.01% 7.76% 6.02% 4.07% 5.24% 6.36% 6.15%
Announcement Date 27/02/20 18/03/21 10/03/22 02/03/23 22/04/24 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
0.5625 GBP
Average target price
0.9325 GBP
Spread / Average Target
+65.78%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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