Projected Income Statement: Mercialys

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mercialys

Forecast Balance Sheet - Mercialys
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,130 1,042 1,064 1,003 1,155 1,183 1,226 1,259
Change - -7.79% 2.11% -5.73% 15.15% 2.46% 3.63% 2.69%
Announcement Date 14/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 - - 22.53 28.78 - 136 116 46
Change - - - 27.73% - - -14.71% -60.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 150.5 209.1 111.7 132.8 29.99 135 134 159
Change - 38.99% -46.57% 18.81% -77.41% 350.12% -0.74% 18.66%
Announcement Date 14/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 84.01% 83.24% 83.93% 81.97% 82.45% 82.51% 83.21% 84.15%
EBIT Margin (%) 60.08% 61.3% 48.21% 56.89% 43.62% 75.58% 74.85% 74.03%
EBT Margin (%) 40.44% 28.94% 25.56% 30.69% 20.54% 43.92% 53.88% 52.79%
Net margin (%) 36.1% 24.87% 29.98% 29.94% 18.81% 57.55% 68.89% 71.97%
FCF margin (%) 87.36% 120.69% 62.77% 73.94% 16.61% 71.8% 69.17% 79.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 241.97% 485.28% 209.35% 246.94% 88.31% 124.77% 100.4% 110.96%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.47% 4.91% 5.25% 5.12% 5.9% 5.9% 6%
ROE - 14.37% 15.54% 17.29% 19.17% 14.23% 14.48% 14.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.81x 7.23x 7.12x 6.81x 7.75x 7.63x 7.6x 7.51x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.51x 4.98x 9.52x 7.55x 38.5x 8.77x 9.15x 7.92x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 12.66% 16.03% - 72.33% 59.88% 23.1%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - 15.08% 19.56% - 87.67% 71.96% 27.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 20.17% 21.68% - 100.74% 86.57% 28.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 1.68 1.741 1.781 1.853
Change - - - - - 3.64% 2.28% 4.04%
Dividend per Share 1 0.92 0.96 0.99 1 1.002 1.025 1.05 1.07
Change - 4.35% 3.13% 1.01% 0.2% 2.31% 2.42% 1.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 18.39 18.42 16.29 16.29 16.96 17.21 17.54 17.94
Change - 0.16% -11.56% 0% 4.11% 1.45% 1.96% 2.26%
EPS 1 0.94 0.46 0.57 0.58 0.36 0.8771 1.111 1.119
Change - -51.06% 23.91% 1.75% -37.93% 143.64% 26.62% 0.74%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 93,406 93,180 93,168 93,115 93,351 93,302 93,302 93,302
Announcement Date 14/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11x 8.66x
PBR 0.56x 0.55x
EV / Sales 11.1x 11x
Yield 10.7% 10.9%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Mercialys


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Mercialys
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Mercialys
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Mercialys
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
9.620EUR
Average target price
12.81EUR
Spread / Average Target
+33.20%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - Mercialys