Projected Income Statement: McDonald's Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 30,914 33,320 32,574 37,339 39,199 39,699 39,881 38,637
Change - 7.78% -2.24% 14.63% 4.98% 1.28% 0.46% -3.12%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 31/01/23 05/02/24 10/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,040 1,899 2,357 2,775 3,365 3,767 3,857 3,846
Change - -6.9% 24.13% 17.71% 21.26% 11.95% 2.4% -0.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,102 5,488 7,254 6,672 7,186 7,795 8,748 9,975
Change - -22.73% 32.2% -8.03% 7.7% 8.48% 12.23% 14.02%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 31/01/23 05/02/24 10/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.41% 46.38% 54.88% 54.4% - 55.13% 55.56% 56%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.37% 44.78% 47.1% 46.31% 46.94% 47.23% 47.55% 48.15%
EBT Margin (%) 39.31% 33.76% 41.27% 39.91% 40.53% 41.61% 42.41% 42.98%
Net margin (%) 32.49% 26.65% 33.22% 31.72% 31.85% 32.52% 33.2% 33.42%
FCF margin (%) 30.58% 23.67% 28.46% 25.74% 26.73% 27.15% 28.84% 31.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 94.12% 88.83% 85.66% 81.14% 83.92% 83.48% 86.88% 93.62%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.2% 11.85% 15.89% 14.77% 14.93% 15.48% 16.2% 16.27%
ROE - - - - - - 519.15% 268.49%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.59x 3.1x 2.33x 2.65x - 2.51x 2.37x 2.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.35x 6.07x 4.49x 5.6x 5.45x 5.09x 4.56x 3.87x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.78% 8.19% 9.25% 10.71% 12.52% 13.12% 12.72% 12.06%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.09% 17.66% 16.85% 19.68% - 23.8% 22.89% 21.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.73% 34.61% 32.5% 41.59% 46.83% 48.32% 44.09% 38.56%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.16 9.964 13.13 13.09 14.73 16.52 17.92 19.57
Change - -18.05% 31.72% -0.3% 12.54% 12.18% 8.49% 9.18%
Dividend per Share 1 5.25 5.66 6.23 6.78 7.17 7.494 7.915 8.461
Change - 7.81% 10.07% 8.83% 5.75% 4.52% 5.62% 6.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 -6.178 -8.098 -6.427 -5.26 - 1.185 4.212 7.541
Change - -31.1% 20.64% 18.17% - - 255.47% 79.03%
EPS 1 10.04 8.33 11.56 11.39 11.95 13.17 14.29 15.36
Change - -17.03% 38.78% -1.47% 4.92% 10.2% 8.48% 7.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 747,245 732,424 725,342 716,620 712,154 710,828 710,828 710,828
Announcement Date 27/01/22 31/01/23 05/02/24 10/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 23.6x 21.8x
PBR 263x 73.9x
EV / Sales 9.09x 8.61x
Yield 2.41% 2.54%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
36
Last Close Price
311.36USD
Average target price
343.91USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MCD Stock
  4. Financials McDonald's Corporation